New England Revolution vs New York City FC Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap+4.4%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap+8.4%
New England Revolution Rest
3 days
New York City FC Rest
3 days
New England Revolution vs New York City FC: result, form and history
New England Revolution and New York City FC drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. New York City FC tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 3.9 for New England Revolution.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%2.27
X27%3.60
228%2.92
Double Chance
1X72%1.38
X255%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.57
No35%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.23 = 2.94
Over 1.585%1.20
Over 2.563%1.70
Over 3.538%2.77
Under 1.515%4.22
Under 2.537%2.11
Under 3.562%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.6
Over 8.560%1.50
Over 9.549%1.85
Over 10.535%2.38
Under 8.540%2.42
Under 9.551%1.87
Under 10.565%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.566%1.33
Over 4.543%1.79
Under 3.534%2.88
Under 4.557%1.95
Match Events
27'Carles Gil(Penalty missed)
36'Dor TurgemanAssist: Peyton Miller
40'Jonathan Shore INKeaton Parks out
40'Tayvon Gray INMitja Ilenič out
45+1'James SandsAssist: Talles Magno
46'Talles Magno INLuighi Hanri out
61'Keaton ParksFoul
64'Jackson Yueill INJudah Siqueira out
68'Bénie Traoré INKevin O'Toole out
68'Andrés Perea INRaul Gustavo out
69'Jack HarrisonFoul
70'Matt Polster INCody Baker out
81'Jack Harrison INDiego Fagúndez out
81'Dor Turgeman INWilson Harris out
Lineups
New England RevolutionNew York City FC
Coach: Pascal JansenNew England Revolution Starting XI
30Matt Turner
8Matt Polster70'replaced by Cody Baker
22Ethan Kohler
2Mamadou Fofana
23William Sands
14Jackson Yueill64'replaced by Judah Siqueira
80Alhassan Yusuf
11Jack Harrison69'81'replaced by Diego Fagúndez
10Carles GilC
25Peyton Miller
99Dor Turgeman36'81'replaced by Wilson Harris
Avg rating
New York City FC Starting XI
49Matthew FreeseC
24Tayvon Gray40'replaced by Mitja Ilenič
23Max Murray
6James Sands45+1'
2Nico Cavallo
26Agustin Ojeda
32Jonathan Shore40'replaced by Keaton Parks
8Andrés Perea68'replaced by Raul Gustavo
9Bénie Traoré68'replaced by Kevin O'Toole
7Nicolás Fernández
11Talles Magno46'replaced by Luighi Hanri
Avg rating
New England Revolution Substitutes
65Judah Siqueira64'for Jackson Yueill
15Cody Baker70'for Matt Polster
77Diego Fagúndez81'for Jack Harrison
27Wilson Harris81'for Dor Turgeman
33Donovan Parisian
4Tanner Beason
88Andrew Farrell
7Griffin Yow
17Marcos Zambrano
New York City FC Substitutes
35Mitja Ilenič40'for Tayvon Gray
55Keaton Parks40'for Jonathan Shore61'
20Luighi Hanri46'for Talles Magno
34Raul Gustavo68'for Andrés Perea
22Kevin O'Toole68'for Bénie Traoré
30Tomás Romero
18Gregory Ranjitsingh
15Kevin Pierre
88Malachi Jones
Match Stats
New England RevolutionNew York City FC 52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots3
6Fouls12
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves4
499Total Passes466
441Passes Accurate396
88%Pass Accuracy85%
Team Comparison
New England RevolutionNew York City FC1648Elo Rating 1586
1.96Attack 1.33
1.48Defense 1.46
86%Hit Rate 27%
9.6Shots per Game 13.4
5.2Shots on Target 5.5
3.9Corners per Game 6.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
New England Revolution- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
New York City FC- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
New England Revolution2Wins · 20%Draws440%
New York City FC4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
20/04/2025New England RevolutionNew York City FC20
16/03/2025New York City FCNew England Revolution21
26/05/2024New England RevolutionNew York City FC01
14/04/2024New York City FCNew England Revolution20
03/06/2023New York City FCNew England Revolution00
02/04/2023New England RevolutionNew York City FC11
05/09/2022New England RevolutionNew York City FC30
09/07/2022New York City FCNew England Revolution42
26/05/2022New York City FCNew England Revolution1000
01/12/2021New England RevolutionNew York City FC3151
Recent Form
New England Revolution4W2D4L
20/08/2026
DC UnitedNew England Revolution
Toronto FCNew England RevolutionNew England Revolution
Houston DynamoNew England RevolutionToronto FC
DC UnitedNew England Revolution03
W16/08/2026Toronto FCNew England Revolution21
L08/08/2026New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo02
L02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
CF MontrealNew England Revolution22
D26/07/2026New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
23/07/2026New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC41
WNew England RevolutionToronto FC00
D24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
CharlotteNew England Revolution10
L17/05/2026New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC21
W14/05/2026New England Revolution
Nashville SC
New England RevolutionNashville SC03
L10/05/2026New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union21
WNew York City FC3W1D6L
20/08/2026
FC CincinnatiNew York City FCNew York City FCPhiladelphia Union
Cruz AzulNew York City FCNew York City FCToronto FCNew York City FC
Chicago Fire
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
FC CincinnatiNew York City FC21
L17/08/2026New York City FCPhiladelphia Union23
L14/08/2026New York City FC
Necaxa
10/08/2026New York City FCNecaxa12
LCruz AzulNew York City FC21
L07/08/2026New York City FC
Santos Laguna
01/08/2026New York City FCSantos Laguna20
WNew York City FCToronto FC11
D26/07/2026New York City FCChicago Fire31
W23/07/2026Columbus CrewNew York City FC12
W24/05/2026Nashville SCNew York City FC
Nashville SCNew York City FC21
L21/05/2026Columbus CrewNew York City FC
Columbus CrewNew York City FC10
LReferee Profile
4.47Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).
Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 69:25 | +44 | 74 | WDWDW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 77:56 | +21 | 59 | WDLWW |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 55:46 | +9 | 58 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 61:50 | +11 | 55 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Charlotte | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 63:48 | +15 | 53 | WWLDL |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 62:51 | +11 | 47 | LDLDW |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 67:73 | -6 | 46 | WDWWL |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 55:49 | +6 | 44 | WWWWW |
| 9 |  Orlando City SC | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62:78 | -16 | 43 | LDDWD |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 45:62 | -17 | 39 | LLWLL |
| 11 | New York City FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 48:45 | +3 | 39 | DWDDL |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 51:63 | -12 | 39 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 43:57 | -14 | 33 | WLLLW |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 39:60 | -21 | 33 | LLLLL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 37:67 | -30 | 26 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 69:25 | 74 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 33 | 77:56 | 59 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 55:46 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 61:50 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 33 | 63:48 | 53 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 62:51 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 67:73 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 55:49 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 62:78 | 43 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 33 | 48:45 | 39 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 33 | 51:63 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 43:57 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 39:60 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 33 | 37:67 | 26 |
Promotion
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About the New England Revolution vs New York City FC forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
New England Revolution and New York City FC in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, New England Revolution are 3rd and New York City FC 11th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: New England Revolution 55-46, New York City FC 48-45. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
New England Revolution have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.