New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+10.7%
New England Revolution Rest
6 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
6 days
New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo: the result in context
Houston Dynamo beat New England Revolution 2-0 in the Major League Soccer on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Houston Dynamo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for New England Revolution.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%2.40
X28%3.50
225%2.77
Double Chance
1X75%1.40
X253%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.62
No39%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.18 = 2.68
Over 1.580%1.23
Over 2.557%1.77
Over 3.532%2.92
Under 1.520%4.00
Under 2.543%2.00
Under 3.568%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.560%1.46
Over 9.546%1.77
Over 10.532%2.23
Under 8.540%2.54
Under 9.554%1.95
Under 10.568%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.5 = 5.4
Over 3.574%1.67
Over 4.557%2.27
Under 3.526%2.10
Under 4.543%1.51
Match Events
45+1'Guilherme
54'Lawrence EnnaliFoul
54'Matt Polster INCody Baker out
54'Marcos Zambrano INJack Harrison out
63'Agustin ReschAssist: Jack McGlynn
72'Jack McGlynn INAgustín Bouzat out
79'Peyton Miller INGriffin Yow out
79'Alhassan Yusuf INDiego Fagúndez out
81'Ezequiel Ponce INDuncan McGuire out
81'Mateusz Bogusz INIbrahim Aliyu out
87'William Sands INWilson Harris out
89'Guilherme INOndrej Lingr out
89'Héctor Herrera INDiadié Samassékou out
90+3'Brooklyn RainesFoul
Lineups
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
Coach: Ben OlsenNew England Revolution Starting XI
30Matt Turner
8Matt Polster54'replaced by Cody Baker
22Ethan Kohler
2Mamadou Fofana
23William Sands87'replaced by Wilson Harris
21Brooklyn Raines90+3'
10Carles GilC
80Alhassan Yusuf79'replaced by Diego Fagúndez
25Peyton Miller79'replaced by Griffin Yow
99Dor Turgeman
17Marcos Zambrano54'replaced by Jack Harrison
Avg rating
Houston Dynamo Starting XI
31Jonathan Bond
36Felipe Andrade
5Lucas Halter
34Agustin Resch63'
11Lawrence Ennali54'
6ArturC
16Héctor Herrera89'replaced by Diadié Samassékou
19Mateusz Bogusz81'replaced by Ibrahim Aliyu
8Jack McGlynn72'replaced by Agustín Bouzat
20Guilherme45+1'89'replaced by Ondrej Lingr
10Ezequiel Ponce81'replaced by Duncan McGuire
Avg rating
New England Revolution Substitutes
15Cody Baker54'for Matt Polster
11Jack Harrison54'for Marcos Zambrano
7Griffin Yow79'for Peyton Miller
77Diego Fagúndez79'for Alhassan Yusuf
27Wilson Harris87'for William Sands
33Donovan Parisian
4Tanner Beason
38Eric Klein
14Jackson Yueill
Houston Dynamo Substitutes
30Agustín Bouzat72'for Jack McGlynn
24Ibrahim Aliyu81'for Mateusz Bogusz
23Duncan McGuire81'for Ezequiel Ponce
9Ondrej Lingr89'for Guilherme
18Diadié Samassékou89'for Héctor Herrera
26Blake Gillingham
21Franco Negri
28Erik Sviatchenko
14Duane Holmes
Match Stats
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo 48%Ball Possession52%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
9Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal7
0Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots2
10Fouls10
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
495Total Passes553
430Passes Accurate495
87%Pass Accuracy90%
Team Comparison
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo1615Elo Rating 1611
1.52Attack 1.90
1.18Defense 0.77
64%Hit Rate 0%
11.2Shots per Game 12.6
5.1Shots on Target 3.4
5.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.6Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
New England Revolution- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Houston Dynamo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
New England Revolution1Wins · 33%Draws00%
Houston Dynamo2Wins · 67%
2Wins · 67%3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3
Previous meetings
03/10/2024Houston DynamoNew England Revolution21
05/03/2023New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo30
14/09/2022Houston DynamoNew England Revolution31
Recent Form
New England Revolution4W3D3L
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
CF MontrealNew England Revolution22
D26/07/2026New England Revolution
Atlanta United FC
23/07/2026New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC41
WNew England Revolution
Toronto FC00
D24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
CharlotteNew England Revolution10
L17/05/2026New England Revolution
Minnesota United FC
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC21
W14/05/2026New England Revolution
Nashville SC
New England RevolutionNashville SC03
L10/05/2026New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union21
W03/05/2026New England RevolutionCharlotte
New England RevolutionCharlotte10
W30/04/2026New England Revolution
Orlando City SC
New England RevolutionOrlando City SC34
L26/04/2026
Inter MiamiNew England Revolution
Inter MiamiNew England Revolution11
DHouston Dynamo6W2D2L
02/08/2026
Sporting Kansas CityHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
AustinHouston Dynamo
DC United
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo02
W26/07/2026Houston DynamoAustin30
W23/07/2026Houston DynamoDC United11
D16/07/2026Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
Houston DynamoAmerica de Cali21
W12/07/2026Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
Houston DynamoCD Olimpia30
W24/05/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles GalaxyHouston Dynamo11
D20/05/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo4222
L17/05/2026Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps10
W14/05/2026
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo
Real Salt LakeHouston Dynamo30
L11/05/2026
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo
Los Angeles FCHouston Dynamo14
WReferee Profile
4.24Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.24 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).
Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67:33 | +34 | 58 | WLWDD |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 58:49 | +9 | 54 | LWDWL |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 58:47 | +11 | 51 | LLLDW |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | +3 | 51 | WDDDD |
| 5 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | +7 | 49 | DLDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | +1 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 56:62 | -6 | 35 | LDDDL |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 38:80 | -42 | 22 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 67:33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 32 | 58:49 | 54 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 32 | 58:47 | 51 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 54:47 | 49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 44:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 41:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 13 | San Diego | 32 | 56:62 | 35 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 32 | 38:80 | 22 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 |  FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 |  Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
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This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake 02/08/26
- Colorado Rapids vs Austin 02/08/26
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas 02/08/26
- Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders 02/08/26
- Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls 16/08/26
- Charlotte vs Columbus Crew 16/08/26
- Toronto FC vs New England Revolution 16/08/26
- CF Montreal vs DC United 16/08/26
About the New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
New England Revolution have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.