Toronto FC vs New England Revolution Prediction

BMO Field, Toronto·Joseph Dickerson, USA 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.1%
Toronto FC Rest
15 days
New England Revolution Rest
7 days

Toronto FC vs New England Revolution: result, form and history

Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Joseph Dickerson averages 5.25 cards a game, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.00
X
25%3.70
2
25%3.40
Double Chance
1X
74%1.30
X2
50%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.57
No
36%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.3 = 2.80
Over 1.5
78%1.20
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.63
Under 1.5
22%4.40
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
65%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.3 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.36
Over 9.5
46%1.63
Over 10.5
33%2.00
Under 8.5
43%2.90
Under 9.5
54%2.16
Under 10.5
67%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%1.64
Over 4.5
42%2.15
Under 3.5
38%2.19
Under 4.5
58%1.65

Match Events

25'B. Raines
40'P. Miller ING. Yow out
43'W. SandsOG
45+6'N. DorschAssist: D. Mihailovic
73'D. Turgeman INW. Harris out
74'W. Zimmerman
76'D. Mihailovic
81'M. Polster INM. Zambrano out
81'T. Corbeanu INZ. Monlouis out
81'D. Salloi INA. Coello out
86'B. Raines IND. Fagundez out
90'W. HarrisAssist: J. Harrison
90+1'J. Sargent INE. Aristizabal out
90+1'M. Cimermancic INK. Franklin out

Lineups

Toronto FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Robin Fraser
New England Revolution
4-3-3Coach: Marko Mitrovic
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.73
L. Gavran6.71L. Gavran
R. Laryea7.222R. Laryea
W. ZimmermanC7.325W. Zimmerman
B. Kuscevic6.213B. Kuscevic
J. Gilman6.738J. Gilman
M. Cimermancic6.971M. Cimermancic
N. Dorsch7.56N. Dorsch
T. Corbeanu7.07T. Corbeanu
D. Mihailovic6.210D. Mihailovic
D. Salloi7.020D. Salloi
J. Sargent7.29J. Sargent
M. Turner6.330M. Turner
M. Polster6.98M. Polster
E. Kohler6.922E. Kohler
M. Fofana6.92M. Fofana
W. Sands5.923W. Sands
C. GilC7.310C. Gil
B. Raines6.221B. Raines
A. Yusuf6.680A. Yusuf
J. Harrison7.911J. Harrison
D. Turgeman6.299D. Turgeman
P. Miller6.725P. Miller

Toronto FC Substitutes

23W. Yarbrough
19K. Franklin90+1'for M. Cimermancic
44R. Edwards
12Z. Monlouis81'for T. Corbeanu6.5
14A. Coello81'for D. Salloi6.3
78M. Henry
11D. Etienne
99J. Vilsaint
17E. Aristizabal90+1'for J. Sargent

New England Revolution Substitutes

33D. Parisian
4T. Beason
15C. Baker
14J. Yueill
65J. Siqueira
77D. Fagundez86'for B. Raines6.7
7G. Yow40'for P. Miller6.7
17M. Zambrano81'for M. Polster6.5
27W. Harris73'for D. Turgeman90'7.3

Match Stats

Toronto FCNew England Revolution
29%Ball Possession71%
0Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
3Total Shots24
1Shots on Goal7
1Shots off Goal11
2Shots Inside Box17
1Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots6
11Fouls5
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves0
264Total Passes622
199Passes Accurate565
75%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

Toronto FCToronto FC
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
1563Elo Rating 1648
2.17Attack 1.96
1.18Defense 1.48
61%Hit Rate 86%
12.8Shots per Game 9.6
5.0Shots on Target 5.2
4.6Corners per Game 3.9
2.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Toronto FCToronto FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Toronto FCToronto FC2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer23/07/2026
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
Major League Soccer14/09/2025
New England RevolutionToronto FC
11
Major League Soccer03/05/2025
Toronto FCNew England Revolution
02
Major League Soccer21/04/2024
Toronto FCNew England Revolution
10
Major League Soccer03/03/2024
New England RevolutionToronto FC
01
Major League Soccer25/06/2023
New England RevolutionToronto FC
21
Major League Soccer07/05/2023
Toronto FCNew England Revolution
02
Major League Soccer18/08/2022
Toronto FCNew England Revolution
22
Major League Soccer31/07/2022
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
Major League Soccer15/08/2021
Toronto FCNew England Revolution
12

Recent Form

Toronto FCToronto FC
0W4D6L
01/08/2026
New York City FCToronto FC
11
D
26/07/2026
DC UnitedToronto FC
21
L
23/07/2026
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
D
17/07/2026
CF MontrealToronto FC
00
D
24/05/2026
Chicago FireToronto FC
21
L
17/05/2026
CharlotteToronto FC
31
L
09/05/2026
Toronto FCInter Miami
24
L
06/05/2026
Toronto FCAtlético Ottawa
13
L
02/05/2026
Toronto FCSan Jose Earthquakes
11
D
25/04/2026
Toronto FCAtlanta United FC
12
L
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
4W2D4L
08/08/2026
New England RevolutionHouston Dynamo
02
L
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
22
D
26/07/2026
New England RevolutionAtlanta United FC
41
W
23/07/2026
New England RevolutionToronto FC
00
D
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
L
17/05/2026
New England RevolutionMinnesota United FC
21
W
14/05/2026
New England RevolutionNashville SC
03
L
10/05/2026
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
21
W
03/05/2026
New England RevolutionCharlotte
10
W
30/04/2026
New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
34
L

Referee Profile

Joseph Dickerson12 matches

5.25Cards per match
4.83Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joseph Dickerson5.25
Other referees4.19

5.25 cards a match, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC33228369:25+4474WDWDW
2Inter MiamiInter Miami331611677:56+2159WDLWW
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution331841155:46+958LWWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire331671061:50+1155WDWLL
5CharlotteCharlotte331581063:48+1553WWLDL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union331381262:51+1147LDLDW
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3312101167:73-646WDWWL
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew331351555:49+644WWWWW
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC331271462:78-1643LDDWD
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls331161645:62-1739LLWLL
11New York City FCNew York City FC339121248:45+339DWDDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC339121251:63-1239LWLWD
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC33961843:57-1433WLLLW
14DC UnitedDC United337121439:60-2133LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal33681937:67-3026DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3369:2574
2Inter MiamiInter Miami3377:5659
3New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3355:4658
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3361:5055
5CharlotteCharlotte3363:4853
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3362:5147
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3367:7346
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3355:4944
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3362:7843
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3345:6239
11New York City FCNew York City FC3348:4539
12Toronto FCToronto FC3351:6339
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3343:5733
14DC UnitedDC United3339:6033
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3337:6726
Promotion

About the Toronto FC vs New England Revolution forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Toronto FC and New England Revolution in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: New England Revolution are 3rd in the Major League Soccer, while Toronto FC sit 12th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: Toronto FC 51-63, New England Revolution 55-46. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

New England Revolution have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.