Charlotte vs Columbus Crew Prediction

Charlotte
3-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Columbus Crew
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte·Filip Dujic, Canada 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Charlotte Rest
4 days
Columbus Crew Rest
4 days

Charlotte vs Columbus Crew: the result in context

Charlotte beat Columbus Crew 3-1 in the Major League Soccer on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.26
X
25%3.60
2
35%2.91
Double Chance
1X
65%1.38
X2
60%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.57
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.17 = 2.61
Over 1.5
76%1.20
Over 2.5
55%1.70
Over 3.5
33%2.70
Under 1.5
24%4.20
Under 2.5
45%2.12
Under 3.5
67%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
57%1.60
Over 9.5
46%2.00
Over 10.5
33%2.63
Under 8.5
43%2.18
Under 9.5
54%1.74
Under 10.5
67%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
53%1.38
Over 4.5
27%1.91
Under 3.5
47%2.87
Under 4.5
73%1.80

Match Events

1'B. BronicoAssist: D. Schnegg
9'L. Abada(Penalty)
39'D. Schnegg
41'C. Adams
46'C. Adams INB. Mendez out
46'T. Karumanchi INA. Gomes out
46'L. Giaccone INS. Moreira out
46'L. de la Torre INA. Saint-Maximin out
56'N. Byrne INW. Cleary out
56'I. Toklomati INA. Goodwin out
57'D. Smith
60'H. Kessler
71'M. Amundsen INA. Herrera out
71'D. Gazdag INJ. Martinez out
71'L. Abada INR. Aloko out
73'P. BielAssist: R. Aloko
87'P. Biel INT. Smalls out
89'A. Westwood

Lineups

Charlotte
4-1-4-1Coach: Dean Smith
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Coach: Laurent Courtois
Avg rating7.08
Avg rating6.56
K. Kahlina6.61K. Kahlina
N. Byrne7.214N. Byrne
H. Kessler7.022H. Kessler
T. Ream7.23T. Ream
D. Schnegg6.923D. Schnegg
A. WestwoodC7.58A. Westwood
P. Biel7.216P. Biel
B. Bronico7.313B. Bronico
L. de la Torre6.917L. de la Torre
L. Abada7.511L. Abada
I. Toklomati6.79I. Toklomati
P. Schulte7.328P. Schulte
B. Lennon5.611B. Lennon
C. Ruvalcaba7.312C. Ruvalcaba
S. ZawadzkiC6.225S. Zawadzki
M. Amundsen6.218M. Amundsen
T. Habroune6.716T. Habroune
D. Chambost6.77D. Chambost
T. Karumanchi6.950T. Karumanchi
L. Giaccone6.526L. Giaccone
C. Adams46C. Adams
D. Gazdag6.38D. Gazdag

Charlotte Substitutes

21T. Miller
4A. Privett
44M. Agyemang
35W. Cleary56'for N. Byrne7.3
28D. Diani
37R. Aloko71'for L. Abada7.0
7A. Goodwin56'for I. Toklomati6.3
25T. Smalls87'for P. Biel6.9
10A. Saint-Maximin46'for L. de la Torre7.7

Columbus Crew Substitutes

1N. Hagen
4R. Camacho
2A. Herrera71'for M. Amundsen6.5
31S. Moreira46'for L. Giaccone6.0
10B. Mendez46'for C. Adams6.7
20A. Gomes46'for T. Karumanchi6.6
14A. Sejdic
23M. Farsi
77J. Martinez71'for D. Gazdag6.2

Match Stats

CharlotteColumbus Crew
30%Ball Possession70%
1Corner Kicks13
3Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots26
7Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal11
7Shots Inside Box17
2Shots Outside Box9
0Blocked Shots11
9Fouls9
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
313Total Passes722
263Passes Accurate665
84%Pass Accuracy92%

Team Comparison

CharlotteCharlotte
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
1658Elo Rating 1660
1.63Attack 2.25
1.08Defense 1.87
34%Hit Rate 63%
12.3Shots per Game 16.3
4.1Shots on Target 8.4
5.0Corners per Game 6.1
2.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

CharlotteCharlotte
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CharlotteCharlotte3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew2Wins · 25%
3.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer25/05/2025
CharlotteColumbus Crew
32
Major League Soccer04/05/2025
Columbus CrewCharlotte
42
Major League Soccer18/07/2024
Columbus CrewCharlotte
11
Major League Soccer24/03/2024
CharlotteColumbus Crew
20
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
Columbus CrewCharlotte
42
Major League Soccer23/04/2023
CharlotteColumbus Crew
10
Major League Soccer06/10/2022
CharlotteColumbus Crew
22
Major League Soccer19/06/2022
Columbus CrewCharlotte
11

Recent Form

CharlotteCharlotte
5W2D3L
12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
01
L
08/08/2026
CharlotteAtlas
20
W
05/08/2026
CharlotteU.N.A.M. - Pumas
30
W
02/08/2026
Chicago FireCharlotte
21
L
26/07/2026
New York Red BullsCharlotte
02
W
23/07/2026
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
22
D
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
W
17/05/2026
CharlotteToronto FC
31
W
14/05/2026
CharlotteNew York City FC
01
L
10/05/2026
CharlotteFC Cincinnati
22
D
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew
6W3D1L
12/08/2026
Columbus CrewU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3121
W
08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
21
W
05/08/2026
Columbus CrewAtlas
31
W
02/08/2026
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
22
D
26/07/2026
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati
21
W
23/07/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
12
L
12/07/2026
Columbus CrewBurnley
11
D
24/05/2026
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC
20
W
21/05/2026
Columbus CrewNew York City FC
10
W
17/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
11
D

Referee Profile

Filip Dujic121 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Filip Dujic4.05
Other referees4.34

4.05 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Charlotte vs Columbus Crew forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Charlotte and Columbus Crew in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Charlotte are 5th and Columbus Crew 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlotte 59-48, Columbus Crew 52-49. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.