Chicago Fire vs Charlotte Prediction

Chicago Fire
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Charlotte
Soldier Field, Chicago·J. Freemon 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+12.3%
Chicago Fire Rest
7 days
Charlotte Rest
7 days

Chicago Fire vs Charlotte: result, form and history

Chicago Fire beat Charlotte 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Charlotte have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 4.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.52
X
24%4.60
2
20%5.40
Double Chance
1X
80%1.14
X2
44%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.18 = 2.83
Over 1.5
81%1.12
Over 2.5
63%1.44
Over 3.5
37%2.10
Under 1.5
19%5.92
Under 2.5
37%2.75
Under 3.5
63%1.72
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.56
Over 9.5
47%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.43
Under 8.5
40%2.27
Under 9.5
53%1.80
Under 10.5
66%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.6 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%1.36
Over 4.5
51%1.75
Under 3.5
31%2.77
Under 4.5
49%2.00

Match Events

10'A. Saletros
18'P. BielAssist: I. Toklomati
20'R. LewandowskiAssist: P. Zinckernagel
59'J. Waterman
68'R. LewandowskiAssist: R. Lod
69'H. Toffolo IND. Schnegg out
74'J. Bamba INP. Dithejane out
77'L. Abada INR. Aloko out
86'L. de la Torre INB. Bronico out
86'I. Toklomati INA. Goodwin out
88'R. Lod INM. Haile-Selassie out
88'D. D'Avilla INM. Pineda out
90+5'R. Lewandowski

Lineups

Chicago Fire
4-4-2Coach: Mario Barcena
Charlotte
4-3-3Coach: Dean Smith
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.68
Chris Brady6.21C. Brady
Leonardo Barroso6.92L. Barroso
Joel Waterman7.216J. Waterman
Jack ElliottC7.53J. Elliott
Andrew Gutman6.615A. Gutman
Philip Zinckernagel7.611P. Zinckernagel
Dje Tah D'Avilla7.242D. Tah D'Avilla
Anton Salétros6.96A. Salétros
Jonathan Bamba6.919J. Bamba
Robert Lewandowski9.69R. Lewandowski
Robin Lod7.217R. Lod
Kristijan Kahlina6.71K. Kahlina
Nathan Byrne6.914N. Byrne
Morrison Agyemang6.644M. Agyemang
Henry Kessler6.722H. Kessler
Harry Toffolo6.515H. Toffolo
Luca De La Torre6.917L. De La Torre
Ashley WestwoodC7.28A. Westwood
Djibril Diani6.328D. Diani
Pep Biel7.516P. Biel
Idan Toklomati6.99I. Toklomati
Liel Abada6.211L. Abada

Chicago Fire Substitutes

12Puso Dithejane74'for J. Bamba6.3
22Mauricio Pineda88'for D. D'Avilla6.6
7Maren Haile-Selassie88'for R. Lod6.7
44Josh Cohen
24Jonathan Dean
14Viktor Radojević
5Samuel Rogers
35Sergio Oregel
20Jason Shokalook

Charlotte Substitutes

23David Schnegg69'for H. Toffolo6.7
37Rodolfo Aloko77'for L. Abada6.3
13Brandt Bronico86'for L. de la Torre6.5
7Archie Goodwin86'for I. Toklomati6.3
21Tyler Miller
4Andrew Privett
35Will Cleary
20Baye Coulibaly
25Tyger Smalls

Match Stats

Chicago FireCharlotte
46%Ball Possession54%
8Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards0
14Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots9
8Fouls7
3Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves3
462Total Passes532
405Passes Accurate478
88%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Chicago FireChicago Fire
CharlotteCharlotte
1643Elo Rating 1658
1.26Attack 1.63
1.68Defense 1.08
50%Hit Rate 34%
15.9Shots per Game 12.3
5.6Shots on Target 4.1
5.1Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CharlotteCharlotte
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Chicago FireChicago Fire3Wins · 38%
Draws00%
CharlotteCharlotte5Wins · 62%
4.1Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer29/06/2025
Chicago FireCharlotte
32
Major League Soccer18/05/2025
CharlotteChicago Fire
14
Major League Soccer03/10/2024
CharlotteChicago Fire
43
Major League Soccer16/05/2024
Chicago FireCharlotte
01
Major League Soccer08/10/2023
Chicago FireCharlotte
02
Major League Soccer18/05/2023
CharlotteChicago Fire
21
Major League Soccer18/09/2022
Chicago FireCharlotte
23
Major League Soccer07/08/2022
CharlotteChicago Fire
23

Recent Form

Chicago FireChicago Fire
4W1D5L
26/07/2026
New York City FCChicago Fire
31
L
23/07/2026
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
32
L
24/05/2026
Chicago FireToronto FC
21
W
16/05/2026
CF MontrealChicago Fire
02
W
14/05/2026
DC UnitedChicago Fire
13
W
09/05/2026
Chicago FireNew York Red Bulls
13
L
03/05/2026
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati
23
L
30/04/2026
Chicago FireSt. Louis City
12
L
26/04/2026
Chicago FireSporting Kansas City
50
W
19/04/2026
FC CincinnatiChicago Fire
33
D
CharlotteCharlotte
3W2D5L
26/07/2026
New York Red BullsCharlotte
02
W
23/07/2026
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
22
D
24/05/2026
CharlotteNew England Revolution
10
W
17/05/2026
CharlotteToronto FC
31
W
14/05/2026
CharlotteNew York City FC
01
L
10/05/2026
CharlotteFC Cincinnati
22
D
03/05/2026
New England RevolutionCharlotte
10
L
29/04/2026
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
02
L
26/04/2026
Nashville SCCharlotte
42
L
23/04/2026
Orlando City SCCharlotte
41
L

Referee Profile

J. Freemon126 matches

4.67Cards per match
4.48Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Freemon4.67
Other referees4.34

4.67 cards a match, 0.33 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 115 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Chicago Fire vs Charlotte forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chicago Fire and Charlotte in the Major League Soccer table

Chicago Fire and Charlotte are close in the Major League Soccer table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Chicago Fire 57-48, Charlotte 59-48. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.