New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison·F. Dujic 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
New York Red Bulls Rest
7 days
Orlando City SC Rest
7 days

New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC: result, form and history

New York Red Bulls beat Orlando City SC 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. New York Red Bulls tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 3.4 for Orlando City SC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.25
X
23%4.00
2
35%2.70
Double Chance
1X
66%1.44
X2
58%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.30
No
39%3.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.33 = 2.74
Over 1.5
81%1.08
Over 2.5
61%1.30
Over 3.5
37%1.80
Under 1.5
19%7.50
Under 2.5
39%3.40
Under 3.5
63%2.00
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
60%1.44
Over 9.5
46%1.75
Over 10.5
32%2.23
Under 8.5
40%2.50
Under 9.5
54%1.97
Under 10.5
68%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
59%1.45
Over 4.5
36%1.91
Under 3.5
41%2.52
Under 4.5
64%1.79

Match Events

23'M. JimenezAssist: G. Berggren
27'D. Nealis
43'E. ForsbergAssist: C. Cowell
46'A. Gomez INB. Rhein out
46'Tiago INT. Spicer out
52'T. SpicerAssist: B. Ojeda
59'J. Che
60'M. JimenezAssist: C. Cowell
62'E. Atuesta INLuis Otavio out
63'G. DorseyAssist: A. Griezmann
69'I. Angulo
70'M. Jimenez INM. Sofo out
72'G. Dorsey INZ. Taifi out
75'D. Nealis INT. Parker out
75'M. Dos Santos INJ. Marshall-Rutty out
85'C. Cowell INC. Harper out
85'E. Forsberg INN. Benedetti out
87'J. Ellis INH. Sarajian out
88'H. Sarajian
90+6'J. Marshall-Rutty

Lineups

New York Red Bulls
4-3-3
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Coach: Oscar Pareja
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.80
Ethan Horvath6.634E. Horvath
Dylan Nealis6.312D. Nealis
Justin Che7.02J. Che
Julián Bazán6.614J. Bazán
Matthew Dos Santos5.956M. Dos Santos
Ronald Donkor7.948R. Donkor
Gustav Berggren7.94G. Berggren
Emil ForsbergC7.910E. Forsberg
Cade Cowell8.37C. Cowell
Mijahir Jimenez7.991M. Jimenez
Julian Hall6.916J. Hall
Maxime Crépeau7.371M. Crépeau
Griffin Dorsey5.924G. Dorsey
David Brekalo7.24D. Brekalo
Robin JanssonC7.06R. Jansson
Adrián Marín6.23A. Marín
Iván Angulo6.977I. Angulo
Braian Ojeda8.08B. Ojeda
Eduard Atuesta6.220E. Atuesta
Tiago Souza6.511T. Souza
Justin Ellis6.322J. Ellis
Antoine Griezmann7.37A. Griezmann

New York Red Bulls Substitutes

77John McCarthy
3Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty75'for M. Dos Santos90+6'6.7
6Robert Voloder
26Tim Parker75'for D. Nealis6.3
80Nathan Worth
17Cameron Harper85'for C. Cowell6.9
39Nehuen Benedetti85'for E. Forsberg6.3
37Mohammed Sofo70'for M. Jimenez6.7
33Roald Mitchell

Orlando City SC Substitutes

12Javier Otero
57Iago Silva
44Bernardo Rhein46'replaced by A. Gomez6.6
19Zakaria Taifi72'for G. Dorsey6.7
5Luis Otávio62'for E. Atuesta6.9
16Wilder Cartagena
23Harvey Sarajian87'for J. Ellis88'6.5
65Gustavo Caraballo
14Tyrese Spicer46'for Tiago52'7.3

Match Stats

New York Red BullsOrlando City SC
40%Ball Possession60%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box16
4Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots8
11Fouls10
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
399Total Passes599
332Passes Accurate532
83%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
1501Elo Rating 1633
1.15Attack 2.96
1.31Defense 0.43
34%Hit Rate 46%
18.1Shots per Game 13.8
5.8Shots on Target 5.4
6.8Corners per Game 3.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
  • No tendency data available
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer22/02/2026
Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls
12
Major League Soccer12/04/2025
Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls
00
Major League Soccer15/03/2025
New York Red BullsOrlando City SC
22
Major League Soccer01/12/2024
Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls
01
Major League Soccer02/06/2024
New York Red BullsOrlando City SC
10
Major League Soccer31/03/2024
Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls
11
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
New York Red BullsOrlando City SC
03
Major League Soccer26/02/2023
Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls
10
Major League Soccer14/08/2022
New York Red BullsOrlando City SC
01
US Open Cup28/07/2022
Orlando City SCNew York Red Bulls
51

Recent Form

New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls
3W2D5L
26/07/2026
New York Red BullsCharlotte
02
L
23/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls
31
L
24/05/2026
Sporting Kansas CityNew York Red Bulls
12
W
17/05/2026
New York Red BullsNew York City FC
11
D
14/05/2026
New York Red BullsColumbus Crew
32
W
09/05/2026
Chicago FireNew York Red Bulls
13
W
03/05/2026
New York Red BullsFC Dallas
02
L
30/04/2026
New York Red BullsNew York City FC
13
L
26/04/2026
FC CincinnatiNew York Red Bulls
20
L
23/04/2026
New York Red BullsDC United
44
D
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
6W1D3L
26/07/2026
Orlando City SCNashville SC
10
W
23/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
04
W
24/05/2026
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC
62
L
20/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
41
W
17/05/2026
Orlando City SCAtlanta United FC
11
D
14/05/2026
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
43
W
09/05/2026
CF MontrealOrlando City SC
20
L
03/05/2026
Inter MiamiOrlando City SC
34
W
30/04/2026
New England RevolutionOrlando City SC
34
W
26/04/2026
DC UnitedOrlando City SC
32
L

Referee Profile

F. Dujic121 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Dujic4.05
Other referees4.34

4.05 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Orlando City SC are 7th and New York Red Bulls 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: New York Red Bulls 43-59, Orlando City SC 62-74. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.