Inter Miami vs CF Montreal Prediction

Inter Miami
7-1
Finished
HT 2-1
CF Montreal
Nu Stadium, Miami·E. Arreguin 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.69
SignalGOODModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+12.1%
Inter Miami Rest
7 days
CF Montreal Rest
7 days

Inter Miami vs CF Montreal: the result in context

Inter Miami beat CF Montreal 7-1 in the Major League Soccer on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Inter Miami have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game. CF Montreal tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.7 for Inter Miami.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.40
X
20%5.50
2
15%6.15
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
35%2.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.39
No
39%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.25 + 0.93 = 3.18
Over 1.5
89%1.06
Over 2.5
71%1.23
Over 3.5
48%1.61
Under 1.5
11%8.70
Under 2.5
29%4.00
Under 3.5
52%2.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 3.9 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.69
Over 9.5
56%2.05
Over 10.5
40%2.63
Under 8.5
33%2.02
Under 9.5
44%1.67
Under 10.5
60%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.49
Over 4.5
26%2.06
Under 3.5
50%2.42
Under 4.5
74%1.70

Match Events

11'I. Fray
20'CasemiroAssist: T. Segovia
35'F. Herbers
37'F. HerbersAssist: N. Streit
39'N. Streit
40'L. PetrassoOG
52'L. Messi
59'S. Piette IND. Pereira out
59'G. Synchuk IND. Sealy out
60'F. Herbers INA. Sanchez out
76'T. Segovia INA. Shaw out
80'L. SuarezAssist: L. Messi
83'L. MessiAssist: R. de Paul
84'J. Neal INB. Craig out
84'N. Streit INW. Carmona out
86'I. Fray INF. Mura out
86'N. Allen INC. Abadia-Reda out
89'A. Shaw
90+6'L. Messi

Lineups

Inter Miami
Coach: Kily Gonzalez
CF Montreal
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

Inter Miami Starting XI

97Dayne St. Clair7.7
17Ian Fray11'86'replaced by F. Mura7.6
37Maximiliano Falcón7.5
5Casemiro20'8.9
32Noah Allen86'replaced by C. Abadia-Reda6.9
7Rodrigo De Paul7.2
42Yannick Bright7.5
8Telasco Segovia76'replaced by A. Shaw6.6
10Lionel MessiC52'83'90+6'10.0
9Luis Suárez80'7.9
19Germán Berterame7.6
Avg rating7.64

CF Montreal Starting XI

31Thomas Gillier6.9
27Dawid Bugaj5.0
2Jalen Neal84'replaced by B. Craig5.9
4Brayan Vera4.9
13Luca Petrasso40'4.6
8Matthew Longstaff6.7
6Samuel PietteC59'replaced by D. Pereira6.6
21Fabian Herbers35'37'60'replaced by A. Sanchez7.9
18Hennadii Synchuk59'replaced by D. Sealy6.9
9Prince Owusu6.0
23Noah Streit6.2
Avg rating6.21

Inter Miami Substitutes

88Alexander Shaw76'for T. Segovia89'7.7
4Facundo Mura86'for I. Fray6.9
76Ezequiel Abadia-Reda86'for N. Allen6.9
34Rocco Ríos Novo
15Fricio Caicedo
59Preston Plambeck
22David Ayala
54Lovens Delinois
56Daniel Pinter

CF Montreal Substitutes

7Daniel Pereira59'for S. Piette6.5
17Dante Sealy59'for G. Synchuk6.2
10Alexis Sánchez60'for F. Herbers6.3
5Brandan Craig84'for J. Neal6.2
16Wikelman Carmona84'replaced by N. Streit6.5
1Sebastian Breza
22Victor Loturi
29Olger Escobar
14Daniel Rios

Match Stats

Inter MiamiCF Montreal
57%Ball Possession43%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots10
11Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box8
7Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls11
3Goalkeeper Saves5
572Total Passes435
520Passes Accurate385
91%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Inter MiamiInter Miami
CF MontrealCF Montreal
1740Elo Rating 1473
2.49Attack 0.56
2.12Defense 1.26
69%Hit Rate 0%
11.7Shots per Game 10.6
6.1Shots on Target 4.3
2.7Corners per Game 5.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+267 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CF MontrealCF Montreal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Inter MiamiInter Miami6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
CF MontrealCF Montreal3Wins · 30%
3.6Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer26/07/2026
CF MontrealInter Miami
01
Major League Soccer06/07/2025
CF MontrealInter Miami
14
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
42
Major League Soccer12/05/2024
CF MontrealInter Miami
23
Major League Soccer10/03/2024
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
23
Major League Soccer28/05/2023
CF MontrealInter Miami
10
Major League Soccer26/02/2023
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
20
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
13
Major League Soccer07/08/2022
CF MontrealInter Miami
22
Major League Soccer01/08/2021
Inter MiamiCF Montreal
21

Recent Form

Inter MiamiInter Miami
4W2D4L
23/08/2026
Inter MiamiToronto FC
12
L
20/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
22
D
16/08/2026
Nashville SCInter Miami
41
L
13/08/2026
Inter MiamiLeon
23
L
09/08/2026
Inter MiamiMonterrey
12
L
06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
42
W
02/08/2026
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
22
D
26/07/2026
CF MontrealInter Miami
01
W
23/07/2026
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
32
W
25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
64
W
CF MontrealCF Montreal
3W5D2L
23/08/2026
CF MontrealLos Angeles Galaxy
22
D
20/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Montreal
12
W
16/08/2026
CF MontrealDC United
11
D
02/08/2026
CF MontrealNew England Revolution
22
D
26/07/2026
CF MontrealInter Miami
01
L
23/07/2026
Nashville SCCF Montreal
10
L
17/07/2026
CF MontrealToronto FC
00
D
13/07/2026
CF MontrealVancouver FC
21
W
09/07/2026
Vancouver FCCF Montreal
12
W
24/05/2026
DC UnitedCF Montreal
44
D

Referee Profile

E. Arreguin108 matches

4.37Cards per match
4.21Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

E. Arreguin4.37
Other referees4.25

4.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Inter Miami vs CF Montreal forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Inter Miami and CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: Inter Miami are 3rd in the Major League Soccer, while CF Montreal sit 15th, 31 points behind. League goal record so far: Inter Miami 75-55, CF Montreal 36-66. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Inter Miami have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.