Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami Prediction

Subaru Park, Chester·F. Dujic 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 3.5 Goals
2.00
SignalNEUTRALModel43%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Philadelphia Union Rest
3 days
Inter Miami Rest
3 days

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami: result, form and history

Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 20 Aug 2026. Philadelphia Union had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Inter Miami.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Philadelphia Union tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 2.7 for Inter Miami.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%2.40
X
26%3.90
2
44%2.55
Double Chance
1X
56%1.49
X2
70%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.39
No
36%2.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.69 = 3.15
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
64%1.40
Over 3.5
53%2.00
Under 1.5
17%6.28
Under 2.5
36%2.88
Under 3.5
47%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.50
Over 9.5
47%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.33
Under 8.5
39%2.42
Under 9.5
53%1.86
Under 10.5
67%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.5
70%1.38
Over 4.5
57%1.84
Under 3.5
30%2.60
Under 4.5
43%1.86

Match Events

11'I. VassilevAssist: F. Westfield
21'D. PinterAssist: L. Suarez
26'L. MessiAssist: I. Fray
43'K. Wagner
50'S. Reguilon
55'I. Fray
58'N. PierreAssist: M. Iloski
62'Goal Disallowed - offsideM. Iloski
68'I. Vassilev INQ. Sullivan out
73'S. Reguilon INN. Allen out
73'T. Segovia IND. Ayala out
82'B. Damiani INE. Alladoh out
82'J. Bueno INA. Bedoya out
87'M. Iloski
90+5'E. Alladoh
90+9'D. Pinter IND. Ruiz out
90+13'Q. Sullivan
90+13'C. Sullivan
90+13'Y. Bright

Lineups

Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Ryan Richter
Inter Miami
4-3-3Coach: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.98
Andre BlakeC6.718A. Blake
Frankie Westfield7.539F. Westfield
Neil Pierre7.744N. Pierre
Nathan Harriel6.226N. Harriel
Kai Wagner7.027K. Wagner
Cavan Sullivan6.96C. Sullivan
Danley Jean Jacques7.221D. Jean Jacques
Jesus Bueno6.98J. Bueno
Indiana Vassilev7.619I. Vassilev
Bruno Damiani7.59B. Damiani
Milan Iloski7.310M. Iloski
Dayne St. Clair7.797D. St. Clair
Ian Fray6.517I. Fray
Gonzalo Luján6.32G. Luján
Maximiliano Falcón6.937M. Falcón
Sergio Reguilón6.23S. Reguilón
Yannick Bright6.742Y. Bright
Casemiro8.05Casemiro
Telasco Segovia6.58T. Segovia
Lionel MessiC9.010L. Messi
Luis Suárez6.79L. Suárez
Daniel Pinter7.056D. Pinter

Philadelphia Union Substitutes

33Quinn Sullivan68'for I. Vassilev90+13'6.7
11Alejandro Bedoya82'for J. Bueno6.3
23Ezekiel Alladoh82'for B. Damiani90+5'6.3
76Andrew Rick
5Japhet Sery Larsen
28Agustin Anello
16Ben Bender
14Jeremy Rafanello
51Malik Jakupovic

Inter Miami Substitutes

32Noah Allen73'for S. Reguilon6.7
22David Ayala73'for T. Segovia6.6
41David Ruíz90+9'for D. Pinter
34Rocco Ríos Novo
15Fricio Caicedo
4Facundo Mura
88Alexander Shaw
59Preston Plambeck
54Lovens Delinois

Match Stats

Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
43%Ball Possession57%
4Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards1
17Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal0
14Shots Inside Box3
3Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
18Fouls13
3Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves4
330Total Passes457
261Passes Accurate365
79%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
Inter MiamiInter Miami
1745Elo Rating 1740
2.84Attack 2.49
1.28Defense 2.12
73%Hit Rate 69%
17.6Shots per Game 11.7
6.8Shots on Target 6.1
6.0Corners per Game 2.7
2.1Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Inter MiamiInter Miami5Wins · 50%
3.8Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
64
Major League Soccer25/05/2025
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
33
Major League Soccer30/03/2025
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
21
Major League Soccer15/09/2024
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
31
Major League Soccer16/06/2024
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
12
Major League Soccer25/06/2023
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
41
Major League Soccer05/03/2023
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
20
Major League Soccer14/07/2022
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
12
Major League Soccer19/05/2022
Philadelphia UnionInter Miami
00
Major League Soccer26/07/2021
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
11

Recent Form

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
5W1D4L
17/08/2026
New York City FCPhiladelphia Union
23
W
14/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionSantos Laguna
02
L
10/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionNecaxa
31
W
07/08/2026
Cruz AzulPhiladelphia Union
10
L
02/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC
32
W
26/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
10
W
23/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls
31
W
25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
64
L
17/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
11
D
14/05/2026
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
43
L
Inter MiamiInter Miami
6W1D3L
16/08/2026
Nashville SCInter Miami
41
L
13/08/2026
Inter MiamiLeon
23
L
09/08/2026
Inter MiamiMonterrey
12
L
06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
42
W
02/08/2026
Inter MiamiColumbus Crew
22
D
26/07/2026
CF MontrealInter Miami
01
W
23/07/2026
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
32
W
25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
64
W
18/05/2026
Inter MiamiPortland Timbers
20
W
14/05/2026
FC CincinnatiInter Miami
35
W

Referee Profile

F. Dujic121 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.79Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Dujic4.05
Other referees4.33

4.05 cards a match, 0.28 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Inter Miami are 3rd and Philadelphia Union 6th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Philadelphia Union 62-50, Inter Miami 75-55. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Inter Miami have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.