Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union Prediction

Subaru Park, Chester·Juan Calderon, Costa Rica 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.50
SignalSTRONGModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+12.9%
Cruz Azul Rest
4 days
Philadelphia Union Rest
5 days

Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union: result, form and history

Cruz Azul beat Philadelphia Union 1-0 in the Leagues Cup on 7 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%2.52
X
17%3.60
2
21%2.50
Double Chance
1X
79%1.50
X2
38%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.17
Over 2.5
39%1.61
Over 3.5
19%2.45
Under 1.5
36%4.50
Under 2.5
61%2.25
Under 3.5
81%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'J. ParadelaAssist: O. Campos
10'J. Paradela
13'Goal Disallowed - offsideO. Campos
23'J. Bueno
53'E. Lira
65'G. Fernandez INN. Ibanez out
65'O. Campos INL. Romero out
66'Q. Sullivan INI. Vassilev out
66'E. Alladoh INB. Damiani out
78'J. Sery Larsen INN. Pierre out
78'J. Bueno INA. Anello out
78'N. Harriel INJ. Lukic out
88'W. Ditta INJ. Diaz out

Lineups

Cruz Azul
4-4-2Coach: Joel Huiqui
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Coach: Ryan Richter
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.61
Kevin Mier6.623K. Mier
Jeremy Márquez7.916J. Márquez
Willer Ditta7.94W. Ditta
Gonzalo Piovi6.933G. Piovi
Jesús Orozco7.35J. Orozco
José Paradela6.920J. Paradela
Agustín Palavecino6.78A. Palavecino
Erik LiraC6.76E. Lira
Omar Campos7.53O. Campos
Gabriel Fernández6.321G. Fernández
Carlos Rodríguez6.319C. Rodríguez
Andrew Rick6.576A. Rick
Frankie Westfield7.239F. Westfield
Japhet Sery Larsen6.25J. Sery Larsen
Nathan HarrielC6.526N. Harriel
Kai Wagner6.927K. Wagner
Quinn Sullivan6.533Q. Sullivan
Danley Jean Jacques6.921D. Jean Jacques
Jesus Bueno6.78J. Bueno
Cavan Sullivan6.66C. Sullivan
Milan Iloski6.510M. Iloski
Ezekiel Alladoh6.723E. Alladoh

Cruz Azul Substitutes

1Andrés Gudiño
61Bruno Salgado
66Javier Suárez
32Cristian Jiménez
49Josué Díaz
12Alan Montes
17Amaury Garcia
10Andres Montaño
7Nicolás Ibáñez65'for G. Fernandez6.3
18Luka Romero65'for O. Campos6.7
14Juan Calero

Philadelphia Union Substitutes

18Andre Blake
31George Marks
44Neil Pierre78'for J. Sery Larsen6.5
2Geiner Martínez
4Jovan Lukić78'for N. Harriel6.2
19Indiana Vassilev66'for Q. Sullivan6.7
28Agustin Anello78'for J. Bueno6.9
16Ben Bender
11Alejandro Bedoya
14Jeremy Rafanello
9Bruno Damiani66'for E. Alladoh6.3
51Malik Jakupovic

Match Stats

Cruz AzulPhiladelphia Union
52%Ball Possession48%
1Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
8Fouls6
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
452Total Passes397
361Passes Accurate297
80%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1763Elo Rating 1745
2.77Attack 2.84
1.51Defense 1.28
50%Hit Rate 73%
16.6Shots per Game 17.6
6.3Shots on Target 6.8
5.0Corners per Game 6.0
2.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
6W3D1L
02/08/2026
Cruz AzulAtlante FC
23
L
26/07/2026
TolucaCruz Azul
13
W
22/07/2026
Cruz AzulPuebla
21
W
18/07/2026
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
23
W
05/07/2026
MonarcasCruz Azul
33
D
25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
12
W
22/05/2026
Cruz AzulU.N.A.M. - Pumas
00
D
17/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
12
W
14/05/2026
Cruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
22
D
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
W
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
3W3D4L
02/08/2026
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC
32
W
26/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
10
W
23/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionNew York Red Bulls
31
W
25/05/2026
Inter MiamiPhiladelphia Union
64
L
17/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionColumbus Crew
11
D
14/05/2026
Orlando City SCPhiladelphia Union
43
L
10/05/2026
New England RevolutionPhiladelphia Union
21
L
03/05/2026
Philadelphia UnionNashville SC
00
D
26/04/2026
Columbus CrewPhiladelphia Union
20
L
23/04/2026
Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union
33
D

Referee Profile

Juan Calderon37 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Juan Calderon4.00
Other referees3.88

4.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.88).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

About the Cruz Azul vs Philadelphia Union forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Leagues Cup

More Leagues Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Leagues Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Philadelphia Union have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Cruz Azul and Philadelphia Union have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.