Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC Prediction

Cruz Azul
2-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Atlante FC
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City·Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras, Mexico 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalHIGHModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.90
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Cruz Azul Rest
7 days
Atlante FC Rest
8 days

Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC: the result in context

Atlante FC beat Cruz Azul 3-2 in the Liga MX on 2 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Cruz Azul had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Atlante FC.

Referee Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
78%1.33
X
10%4.97
2
12%8.80
Double Chance
1X
88%1.06
X2
23%3.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.90
No
39%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.49 + 0.91 = 3.40
Over 1.5
88%1.18
Over 2.5
67%1.59
Over 3.5
47%2.50
Under 1.5
12%4.50
Under 2.5
33%2.25
Under 3.5
53%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.1 + 3.6 = 10.7
Over 8.5
66%1.43
Over 9.5
53%1.76
Over 10.5
37%2.18
Under 8.5
34%2.56
Under 9.5
47%1.97
Under 10.5
63%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3 = 5.3
Over 3.5
74%1.27
Over 4.5
57%1.62
Under 3.5
26%3.00
Under 4.5
43%2.20

Match Events

15'L. CalzadillaFoul
44'L. PuenteAssist: W. Portales
47'L. CalzadillaAssist: Jhojan Julio
57'G. Piovi INC. Rodriguez out
57'A. Montano INJ. Paradela out
59'L. Puente IND. Gonzalez out
60'N. IbanezAssist: C. Rodriguez
61'C. Ebere ING. Fernandez out
61'L. Romero INE. Lira out
68'C. RodriguezFoul
69'E. Pizzuto INL. Mejia out
73'W. DittaFoul
75'Jhojan Julio(Penalty)
81'W. Portales INA. Escobar out
81'L. Calzadilla INW. Clar out
86'N. Ibanez INE. Castaneda out
90+3'G. Fernandez(Penalty missed)
90+10'A. PalavecinoAssist: G. Fernandez

Match Stats

Cruz AzulAtlante FC
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots11
10Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box4
4Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots1
11Fouls11
4Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves8
525Total Passes324
442Passes Accurate249
84%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
Atlante FCAtlante FC
1781Elo Rating 1540
3.16Attack 0.99
1.58Defense 1.73
69%Hit Rate 37%
16.3Shots per Game 15.9
6.8Shots on Target 6.6
5.4Corners per Game 7.5
1.9Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+241 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.41 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.1 vs 1.1 in second half)
Atlante FCAtlante FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Cruz AzulCruz Azul
7W3D0L
26/07/2026
TolucaCruz Azul
13
W
22/07/2026
Cruz AzulPuebla
21
W
18/07/2026
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
23
W
05/07/2026
MonarcasCruz Azul
33
D
25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
12
W
22/05/2026
Cruz AzulU.N.A.M. - Pumas
00
D
17/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasCruz Azul
12
W
14/05/2026
Cruz AzulGuadalajara Chivas
22
D
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
W
03/05/2026
AtlasCruz Azul
23
W
Atlante FCAtlante FC
1W5D4L
25/07/2026
Atlante FCClub America
11
D
17/07/2026
NecaxaAtlante FC
21
L
10/07/2026
Atlante FCToluca
33
D
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
02/07/2026
New Mexico UnitedAtlante FC
33
D
28/06/2026
FC JuarezAtlante FC
20
L
27/04/2026
TepatitlánAtlante FC
20
L
24/04/2026
Atlante FCTepatitlán
20
W
18/04/2026
Atlante FCCA La Paz
11
D
12/04/2026
CancúnAtlante FC
21
L

Referee Profile

Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras77 matches

5.65Cards per match
5.17Yellow cards per match
0.48Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras5.65
Other referees4.69

5.65 cards a match, 0.96 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 23 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1585236:21+1529DDLWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1585225:14+1129WWWDD
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1592434:24+1029WWWWD
4AtlasAtlas1583426:26027WWLWD
5TolucaToluca1566331:21+1024DDDDL
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1557325:21+422DDWDD
7LeonLeon1564522:20+222LDWLD
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1571721:20+122WLWWW
9MonterreyMonterrey1463526:21+521DLWWD
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1555522:24-220WDLWD
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1462618:21-320LLLLW
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1554625:19+619WWLLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1554619:23-419LWWDL
14PueblaPuebla1544717:23-616LLLDD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1536615:22-715LDLDW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1535716:24-814LLWLL
17NecaxaNecaxa1524916:28-1210LDLLD
18FC JuarezFC Juarez15221112:34-228WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1536:2129
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1525:1429
3Cruz AzulCruz Azul1534:2429
4AtlasAtlas1526:2627
5TolucaToluca1531:2124
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1525:2122
7LeonLeon1522:2022
8Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1521:2022
9MonterreyMonterrey1426:2121
10U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1522:2420
11Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1418:2120
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca1525:1919
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1519:2319
14PueblaPuebla1517:2316
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1515:2215
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1516:2414
17NecaxaNecaxa1516:2810
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1512:348
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About the Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cruz Azul and Atlante FC in the Liga MX table

The table shows a wide gap: Cruz Azul are 3rd in the Liga MX, while Atlante FC sit 16th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Cruz Azul 34-24, Atlante FC 16-24. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cruz Azul have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Cruz Azul and Atlante FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.