Leon vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Leon
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
CF Pachuca
Estadio Leon, Leon·Fernando Hernandez, Mexico 02/08/2026
LeonLeon
1-0
Finished
CF PachucaCF Pachuca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.61
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Leon Rest
7 days
CF Pachuca Rest
5 days

Leon vs CF Pachuca: result, form and history

Leon beat CF Pachuca 1-0 in the Liga MX on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Fernando Hernandez averages 5.24 cards a game, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.85
X
28%3.25
2
33%2.40
Double Chance
1X
66%1.53
X2
61%1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.61
No
39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.28 = 2.50
Over 1.5
72%1.22
Over 2.5
48%1.80
Over 3.5
27%3.00
Under 1.5
28%3.75
Under 2.5
52%1.97
Under 3.5
73%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.2 = 8.6
Over 8.5
53%1.44
Over 9.5
38%1.73
Over 10.5
29%2.17
Under 8.5
47%2.55
Under 9.5
62%2.00
Under 10.5
71%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%1.60
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%2.15

Match Events

24'F. Beltran CruzFoul
32'J. GuevaraUnsportsmanlike conduct
34'O. IdrissiFoul
37'S. VegasFoul
41'D. Arcila
52'F. VenegasFoul
57'F. Venegas INM. Isais out
57'N. Vallejo ING. Alvarez out
57'F. Beltran Cruz IND. Cambindo out
62'C. RiveraFoul
64'R. Pizarro INA. Bautista out
69'D. Arcila INL. Valadez out
69'E. Guerra INJ. Lara out
75'O. Idrissi INA. Dominguez out
75'S. Rondon INA. Alcaraz out
75'Eduardo BauermannFoul
82'C. MorenoUnsportsmanlike conduct
82'R. EcheverriaUnsportsmanlike conduct
84'S. D. BarretoUnsportsmanlike conduct
87'A. AlcarazFoul
90'I. Moreno INB. Colula out
90+2'A. MozoFoul

Lineups

Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: Javier Gandolfi
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1Coach: Benjamin Mora
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.67
Oscar García6.923O. García
Iván Moreno7.67I. Moreno
Jhohan Romaña7.214J. Romaña
Juan Guevara7.93J. Guevara
Sebastián Vegas7.05S. Vegas
José RodríguezC7.529J. Rodríguez
Jordi Cortizo7.516J. Cortizo
Rodrigo Echeverría6.920R. Echeverría
Fernando Beltrán6.76F. Beltrán
Edgar Guerra7.018E. Guerra
Daniel Arcila7.713D. Arcila
Carlos MorenoC7.625C. Moreno
Alan Mozo7.222A. Mozo
Eduardo Bauermann6.24E. Bauermann
Sergio Barreto7.22S. Barreto
Francisco Venegas6.515F. Venegas
Christian Rivera5.316C. Rivera
Elías Montiel7.310E. Montiel
Nicolás Vallejo6.221N. Vallejo
Rodolfo Pizarro6.97R. Pizarro
Oussama Idrissi6.711O. Idrissi
Salomón Rondón6.723S. Rondón

Leon Substitutes

27Diber Cambindo57'replaced by F. Beltran Cruz6.5
35Luis Valadez69'for D. Arcila6.3
203Jesús Lara69'for E. Guerra6.9
4Bryan Colula90'for I. Moreno6.9
25Paul Bellón
185Christopher Mora
22Sebastián Santos
247Isaac Espinosa
181Irving Martinez
197Gael Camarena

CF Pachuca Substitutes

6Mauricio Isais57'for F. Venegas7.0
187Gael Álvarez57'for N. Vallejo6.3
26Alan Bautista64'for R. Pizarro6.6
8Alexei Domínguez75'for O. Idrissi6.5
9Adrián Alcaraz75'for S. Rondon87'6.5
31Jose Eulogio
13Jorge Berlanga
14Carlos Sánchez
19Illian Hernandez
211Cristóbal Hernández

Match Stats

LeonCF Pachuca
52%Ball Possession48%
3Corner Kicks6
4Yellow Cards7
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
9Fouls17
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves5
426Total Passes382
358Passes Accurate322
84%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

LeonLeon
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1663Elo Rating 1619
1.89Attack 1.36
1.35Defense 0.97
44%Hit Rate 0%
11.5Shots per Game 15.7
5.0Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 5.0
2.3Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LeonLeon3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
CF PachucaCF Pachuca5Wins · 50%
2.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX14/01/2026
CF PachucaLeon
21
Liga MX24/08/2025
LeonCF Pachuca
11
Liga MX06/02/2025
CF PachucaLeon
12
Liga MX14/07/2024
LeonCF Pachuca
00
Liga MX08/02/2024
CF PachucaLeon
32
Liga MX11/07/2023
LeonCF Pachuca
40
Liga MX05/02/2023
LeonCF Pachuca
01
Liga MX22/08/2022
CF PachucaLeon
10
Liga MX23/01/2022
LeonCF Pachuca
21
Liga MX24/07/2021
CF PachucaLeon
40

Recent Form

LeonLeon
6W0D4L
25/07/2026
Club TijuanaLeon
10
L
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
L
03/07/2026
LeonTapatío
42
W
27/06/2026
LeonMineros de Zacatecas
74
W
26/04/2026
TolucaLeon
41
L
22/04/2026
LeonClub America
23
L
19/04/2026
LeonFC Juarez
31
W
11/04/2026
PueblaLeon
01
W
05/04/2026
LeonAtlas
20
W
22/03/2026
Atletico San LuisLeon
12
W
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
6W0D4L
27/07/2026
CF PachucaClub Queretaro
12
L
19/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
03
W
04/07/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
31
W
18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
L
15/05/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
W
11/05/2026
CF PachucaToluca
20
W
04/05/2026
TolucaCF Pachuca
01
W
26/04/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
02
L
23/04/2026
Club TijuanaCF Pachuca
31
L
19/04/2026
MonterreyCF Pachuca
13
W

Referee Profile

Fernando Hernandez166 matches

5.24Cards per match
4.85Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Hernandez5.24
Other referees4.57

5.24 cards a match, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 156 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1383233:18+1527LWWDW
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1355321:17+420WDDDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1333:1827
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
8Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1321:1720
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
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About the Leon vs CF Pachuca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

More Liga MX fixtures and forecasts are on the Liga MX Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.