Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Prediction

Chicago Fire
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Inter Miami
Soldier Field, Chicago·Jair Antonio Maruffo, USA 10/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Chicago Fire Rest
4 days
Inter Miami Rest
4 days

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami: result, form and history

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Referee Jair Antonio Maruffo averages 3.40 cards a game, 1.02 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.20
X
24%4.10
2
27%2.70
Double Chance
1X
73%1.44
X2
51%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%1.25
No
30%3.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.25 = 2.98
Over 1.5
90%1.06
Over 2.5
68%1.25
Over 3.5
45%1.63
Under 1.5
10%8.50
Under 2.5
32%3.83
Under 3.5
55%2.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.1 = 9
Over 8.5
52%1.94
Over 9.5
43%2.50
Over 10.5
33%3.42
Under 8.5
48%1.80
Under 9.5
57%1.47
Under 10.5
67%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.70
Over 4.5
44%2.46
Under 3.5
37%2.10
Under 4.5
56%1.50

Match Events

4'Telasco SegoviaNot retreating
10'Robert LewandowskiAssist: Andrew Gutman
24'Maximiliano FalconFoul
48'Carlos Henrique CasimiroAssist: Lionel Messi
50'Jonathan DeanFoul
56'Robin Lod INPuso Dithejane out
59'Djé D'AvillaFoul
67'Jonathan Dean INLeonardo José Caetano Barroso out
67'Maren Haile-Selassie INSergio Oregel out
71'Germán BerterameFoul
78'Fricio Caicedo INFacundo Mura out
78'Telasco Segovia INAlexander Shaw out
90+4'Anton Saletros INMauricio Pineda out

Lineups

Chicago Fire
4-4-2Coach: G. Berhalter
Inter Miami
4-3-3Coach: Kily González
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.67
C. Brady8.01C. Brady
J. Dean6.024J. Dean
J. Elliott6.53J. Elliott
N. Allen6.732N. Allen
A. Gutman7.115A. Gutman
P. Zinckernagel6.811P. Zinckernagel
A. Salétros7.26A. Salétros
T. D'Avilla6.142T. D'Avilla
M. Haile-Selassie6.37M. Haile-Selassie
R. Lewandowski8.09R. Lewandowski
R. Lod6.317R. Lod
D. St. Clair6.997D. St. Clair
I. Fray6.617I. Fray
Casemiro7.85Casemiro
M. Falcón6.237M. Falcón
F. Caicedo7.015F. Caicedo
R. De Paul6.57R. De Paul
Y. Bright6.442Y. Bright
T. Segovia6.58T. Segovia
G. Berterame6.119G. Berterame
L. Messi7.710L. Messi
L. Suárez6.49L. Suárez

Chicago Fire Substitutes

37R. Turdean
12P. Dithejane56'for Robin Lod6.5
44J. Cohen
2Leonardo Barroso67'for Jonathan Dean6.3
18J. Gómez
35S. Oregel67'for Maren Haile-Selassie6.9
22M. Pineda90+4'for Anton Saletros
29D. Poręba
5S. Rogers

Inter Miami Substitutes

22D. Ayala
54L. Delinois
4F. Mura78'for Fricio Caicedo6.2
56Daniel Pinter
59P. Plambeck
34R. Ríos Novo
88A. Shaw78'for Telasco Segovia6.3
76Ezequiel Abadia-Reda
70D. Sumalla

Match Stats

Chicago FireInter Miami
44%Ball Possession56%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal8
3Shots off Goal4
7Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box10
4Blocked Shots8
16Fouls14
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
407Total Passes515
346Passes Accurate448
85%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Chicago FireChicago Fire
Inter MiamiInter Miami
1643Elo Rating 1740
1.26Attack 2.49
1.68Defense 2.12
50%Hit Rate 69%
15.9Shots per Game 11.7
5.6Shots on Target 6.1
5.1Corners per Game 2.7
2.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.98 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Inter MiamiInter Miami
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Chicago FireChicago Fire4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Inter MiamiInter Miami4Wins · 40%
4.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer23/07/2026
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
32
Major League Soccer01/10/2025
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
35
Major League Soccer13/04/2025
Chicago FireInter Miami
00
Major League Soccer01/09/2024
Chicago FireInter Miami
14
Major League Soccer21/07/2024
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
21
Major League Soccer05/10/2023
Chicago FireInter Miami
41
Major League Soccer26/03/2023
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
23
Major League Soccer11/09/2022
Chicago FireInter Miami
31
Major League Soccer27/02/2022
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
00
Major League Soccer19/08/2021
Inter MiamiChicago Fire
32

Recent Form

Chicago FireChicago Fire
6W3D1L
06/09/2026
Toronto FCChicago Fire
44
D
29/08/2026
Seattle SoundersChicago Fire
22
D
26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
21
L
23/08/2026
New York Red BullsChicago Fire
11
D
20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
12
W
17/08/2026
Chicago FirePortland Timbers
21
W
14/08/2026
Cruz AzulChicago Fire
12
W
10/08/2026
Chicago FireSantos Laguna
31
W
07/08/2026
Chicago FireNecaxa
20
W
02/08/2026
Chicago FireCharlotte
21
W

Referee Profile

Jair Antonio Maruffo20 matches

3.40Cards per match
3.25Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jair Antonio Maruffo3.40
Other referees4.42

3.40 cards a match, 1.02 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.42).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chicago Fire and Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Inter Miami are 3rd in the Major League Soccer, 4 points ahead of Chicago Fire in 4th. League goal record so far: Chicago Fire 57-48, Inter Miami 75-55. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Inter Miami have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.