Seattle Sounders vs Austin Prediction

Seattle Sounders
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Austin
Lumen Field, Seattle·A. Chapman 20/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.56
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+6.8%
Seattle Sounders Rest
2 days
Austin Rest
3 days

Seattle Sounders vs Austin: result, form and history

Austin beat Seattle Sounders 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 20 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Austin had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Seattle Sounders.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee A. Chapman averages 3.54 cards a game, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.65
X
23%4.05
2
24%4.60
Double Chance
1X
76%1.18
X2
47%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.57
No
40%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.07 = 2.64
Over 1.5
77%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.54
Over 3.5
34%2.39
Under 1.5
23%4.92
Under 2.5
44%2.40
Under 3.5
66%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
65%1.32
Over 9.5
47%1.54
Over 10.5
34%1.91
Under 8.5
35%2.96
Under 9.5
53%2.26
Under 10.5
66%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
63%1.65
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
37%2.15
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

46'S. Gomez INS. Brunell out
48'K. Kossa-Rienzi
59'C. Fodrey INGuilherme Biro out
66'F. TorresAssist: Z. Kolmanic
69'J. Ragen INS. Hawkins out
71'P. Placheta INM. Desler out
71'J. Nelson INE. Torres out
76'P. Kingston INO. De Rosario out
79'Z. Kolmanic INM. Djordjevic out
79'I. Sanchez INB. Sabovic out
87'Guilherme BiroAssist: B. Vazquez
88'Nouhou INR. Jauregui out
90'S. HawkinsAssist: A. Rusnak

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Coach: Brian Schmetzer
Austin
3-4-2-1
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.88
Andrew Thomas6.326A. Thomas
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi6.685K. Kossa-Rienzi
Kim Kee-hee6.620K. Kee-hee
Jackson Ragen6.925J. Ragen
Nouhou Tolo6.75N. Tolo
Alex Roldán6.916A. Roldán
Peter Kingston6.945P. Kingston
Sebastian Gomez6.990S. Gomez
Albert RusnákC6.911A. Rusnák
Paul Rothrock6.614P. Rothrock
Daniel Musovski6.319D. Musovski
Damian Las7.912D. Las
Brendan Hines-Ike6.94B. Hines-Ike
Jonathan Bell6.715J. Bell
Žan Kolmanič7.323Ž. Kolmanič
Przemysław Płacheta6.277P. Płacheta
Ilie SánchezC7.36I. Sánchez
Jorge Alastuey7.224J. Alastuey
Calvin Fodrey6.319C. Fodrey
Facundo Torres7.911F. Torres
Jayden Nelson6.37J. Nelson
Brandon Vázquez6.99B. Vázquez

Seattle Sounders Substitutes

37Snyder Brunell46'for S. Gomez6.2
39Stuart Hawkins69'for J. Ragen90'7.3
95Osaze De Rosario76'for P. Kingston6.5
42Rafael Jauregui88'for Nouhou6.7
24Stefan Frei
35Antino Lopez
4Ryan Sailor
84Charlie Gaffney
32Xavi Gnaulati

Austin Substitutes

29Guilherme Biro59'for C. Fodrey87'7.5
3Mikkel Desler71'for P. Placheta6.5
38Ervin Torres71'for J. Nelson6.6
35Mateja Đorđević79'for Z. Kolmanic6.3
14Besard Sabović79'for I. Sanchez6.3
1Brad Stuver
2Riley Thomas
32Micah Burton

Match Stats

Seattle SoundersAustin
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots1
10Fouls9
0Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves6
454Total Passes561
382Passes Accurate486
84%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
AustinAustin
1619Elo Rating 1542
1.61Attack 1.19
2.19Defense 0.50
50%Hit Rate 0%
15.8Shots per Game 11.1
6.2Shots on Target 4.7
7.4Corners per Game 4.5
1.1Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
AustinAustin3Wins · 30%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer23/07/2026
AustinSeattle Sounders
31
Major League Soccer22/09/2025
AustinSeattle Sounders
21
Major League Soccer29/06/2025
Seattle SoundersAustin
20
Major League Soccer14/07/2024
AustinSeattle Sounders
01
Major League Soccer03/03/2024
Seattle SoundersAustin
00
Major League Soccer31/08/2023
AustinSeattle Sounders
12
Major League Soccer18/05/2023
Seattle SoundersAustin
12
Major League Soccer11/09/2022
Seattle SoundersAustin
30
Major League Soccer20/03/2022
AustinSeattle Sounders
11
Major League Soccer23/07/2021
AustinSeattle Sounders
01

Recent Form

Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders
1W0D9L
17/08/2026
Seattle SoundersVancouver Whitecaps
02
L
13/08/2026
Seattle SoundersGuadalajara Chivas
12
L
09/08/2026
Seattle SoundersClub Queretaro
30
W
06/08/2026
TolucaSeattle Sounders
30
L
02/08/2026
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders
21
L
26/07/2026
Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders
10
L
23/07/2026
AustinSeattle Sounders
31
L
17/07/2026
Seattle SoundersPortland Timbers
15
L
25/05/2026
Los Angeles FCSeattle Sounders
10
L
17/05/2026
Seattle SoundersLos Angeles Galaxy
02
L
AustinAustin
5W0D5L
17/08/2026
AustinFC Dallas
12
L
14/08/2026
Club AmericaAustin
5161
W
10/08/2026
AustinPuebla
30
W
07/08/2026
AustinClub Tijuana
20
W
02/08/2026
Colorado RapidsAustin
10
L
26/07/2026
Houston DynamoAustin
30
L
23/07/2026
AustinSeattle Sounders
31
W
08/07/2026
AustinSporting JAX
40
W
03/07/2026
AustinClub Queretaro
01
L
23/05/2026
St. Louis CityAustin
30
L

Referee Profile

A. Chapman139 matches

3.54Cards per match
3.44Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
21.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

A. Chapman3.54
Other referees4.39

3.54 cards a match, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).

Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps32177867:33+3458WLWDD
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes321310954:47+749DLDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids321271344:43+143DWDDD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3211101141:40+143LDDLW
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego328111356:62-635LDDDL
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3267:3358
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3254:4749
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3244:4343
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3241:4043
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3256:6235
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the Seattle Sounders vs Austin forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Seattle Sounders and Austin in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Seattle Sounders are 8th and Austin 14th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Seattle Sounders 41-40, Austin 41-59. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.