Avellino vs Palermo Prediction

Serie BItaly Italy · Regular Season - 4
Avellino
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Palermo
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino 13/09/2026
AvellinoAvellino
1-1
Finished
PalermoPalermo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Avellino Rest
7 days
Palermo Rest
5 days

Avellino vs Palermo: result, form and history

Avellino and Palermo drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 13 Sep 2026. Palermo had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for Avellino.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.82
X
29%3.20
2
46%2.00
Double Chance
1X
54%1.77
X2
75%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.72
No
44%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 1.57 = 2.63
Over 1.5
78%1.27
Over 2.5
55%1.93
Over 3.5
33%3.23
Under 1.5
22%3.46
Under 2.5
45%1.90
Under 3.5
67%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 5.2 = 9.5
Over 8.5
57%1.56
Over 9.5
45%1.95
Over 10.5
39%2.44
Under 8.5
43%2.30
Under 9.5
55%1.75
Under 10.5
61%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.62
Over 4.5
39%2.00
Under 3.5
42%2.20
Under 4.5
61%1.73

Match Events

16'Tommaso Cancellotti INFilippo Missori out
35'Mattia BaniFoul
56'Filippo MissoriFoul
57'Luca Pandolfi INWalid Cheddira out
59'Emmanuel Gyasi INDennis Johnsen out
59'Jacopo Segre INNahuel Estévez out
60'Walid CheddiraAssist: Raffaele Russo
63'Dennis JohnsenAssist: Joel Pohjanpalo
76'Filippo·Ranocchia INClaudio Gomes out
77'Joel Pohjanpalo INAlessandro Gabrielloni out
84'Michael VenturiFoul
86'Brando Moruzzi INMarco Sala out
86'L. Di Maggio INDimitrios Sounas out
87'Raffaele Russo INTommaso Biasci out
87'Tommaso Cassandro INNiccolo Pierozzi out

Lineups

Avellino
3-5-2Coach: A. Nesta
Palermo
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Inzaghi
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.70
T. Martinelli6.550T. Martinelli
A. Izzo6.74A. Izzo
M. Venturi6.223M. Venturi
P. Enrici7.256P. Enrici
T. Cancellotti6.329T. Cancellotti
M. Palumbo6.820M. Palumbo
M. Besaggio6.039M. Besaggio
L. Di Maggio6.68L. Di Maggio
B. Moruzzi6.427B. Moruzzi
L. Pandolfi6.77L. Pandolfi
R. Russo7.210R. Russo
M. Fortin7.014M. Fortin
T. Cassandro6.784T. Cassandro
M. Bani6.613M. Bani
F. Barba7.193F. Barba
E. Gyasi6.411E. Gyasi
J. Segre6.68J. Segre
F. Ranocchia6.310F. Ranocchia
T. Augello6.93T. Augello
A. Palumbo6.35A. Palumbo
D. Vavassori6.39D. Vavassori
J. Pohjanpalo6.920J. Pohjanpalo

Avellino Substitutes

77S. Di Paolo
30E. Adamo
18Thomas Berenbruch
14T. Biasci87'for Raffaele Russo6.4
9W. Cheddira57'for Luca Pandolfi60'7.6
5A. Di Bitonto
16G. Faticanti
1A. Iannarilli
2F. Missori16'for Tommaso Cancellotti56'6.9
6L. Palmiero
3M. Sala86'for Brando Moruzzi6.5
24D. Sounas86'for L. Di Maggio6.4

Palermo Substitutes

63N. Balagušs
33A. Bozzolan
32P. Ceccaroni
24N. Estévez59'for Jacopo Segre6.5
99A. Gabrielloni77'for Joel Pohjanpalo6.7
6C. Gomes76'for Filippo·Ranocchia6.4
96G. Magnani
12M. Nespola
27N. Pierozzi87'for Tommaso Cassandro6.5
17D. Johnsen59'for Emmanuel Gyasi63'8.2

Match Stats

AvellinoPalermo
47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots2
8Fouls9
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
417Total Passes475
348Passes Accurate401
9Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

AvellinoAvellino
PalermoPalermo
1568Elo Rating 1765
1.31Attack 2.43
1.67Defense 2.04
19%Hit Rate 83%
18.0Shots per Game 19.3
4.8Shots on Target 6.8
4.8Corners per Game 4.1
1.6Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AvellinoAvellino
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PalermoPalermo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

AvellinoAvellino3Wins · 38%
Draws225%
PalermoPalermo3Wins · 37%
2.0Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie B05/04/2026
PalermoAvellino
20
Serie B20/12/2025
AvellinoPalermo
22
Serie C - Girone C13/03/2022
AvellinoPalermo
12
Serie C - Girone C31/10/2021
PalermoAvellino
11
Serie C - Girone A26/05/2021
AvellinoPalermo
10
Serie C - Girone A23/05/2021
PalermoAvellino
10
Serie C - Girone C07/02/2021
AvellinoPalermo
10
Serie C - Girone C11/10/2020
PalermoAvellino
02

Recent Form

AvellinoAvellino
5W0D5L
06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
01
W
29/08/2026
AvellinoVicenza Virtus
30
W
22/08/2026
AvellinoArezzo
12
L14/08/2026
MonzaAvellino
30
L
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
L
01/08/2026
LazioAvellino
63
L
26/07/2026
SambenedetteseAvellino
05
W
22/07/2026
AvellinoScafatese
31
W
12/05/2026
CatanzaroAvellino
30
L
08/05/2026
AvellinoModena
10
W
PalermoPalermo
7W2D1L
07/09/2026
PalermoSampdoria
31
W03/09/2026
PalermoMantova
52
W
30/08/2026
ArezzoPalermo
23
W
23/08/2026
PalermoJuve Stabia
10
W
17/08/2026
PalermoLecce
20
W
11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
20
L
07/08/2026
Melbourne CityPalermo
02
W
29/07/2026
PalermoIraklis 1908
11
D
25/07/2026
Palermo1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
22/07/2026
PalermoParadiso
70
W

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2ModenaModena961217:9+819WWLWW
3AscoliAscoli953116:6+1018WWDDW
4MantovaMantova952214:10+417LWLWD
5BeneventoBenevento943214:8+615DWDWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7PadovaPadova94149:10-113WWLLL
8SudtirolSudtirol934210:9+113LDLDW
9AvellinoAvellino933313:10+312DLDWL
10CesenaCesena925210:13-311WLDLD
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella924311:10+110DLWDD
12ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
14CremoneseCremonese92348:11-39WLLDD
15Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus923412:17-59LWDLL
16Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
17EmpoliEmpoli92168:15-77LLDLL
18CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
19SampdoriaSampdoria91268:18-105LDLLW
20CatanzaroCatanzaro912610:21-115DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2ModenaModena917:919
3AscoliAscoli916:618
4MantovaMantova914:1017
5BeneventoBenevento914:815
6PisaPisa815:1014
7PadovaPadova99:1013
8SudtirolSudtirol910:913
9AvellinoAvellino913:1012
10CesenaCesena910:1311
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella911:1010
12ArezzoArezzo88:1710
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
14CremoneseCremonese98:119
15Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus912:179
16Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
17EmpoliEmpoli98:157
18CarrareseCarrarese87:97
19SampdoriaSampdoria98:185
20CatanzaroCatanzaro910:215
PromotionRelegation

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About the Avellino vs Palermo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Avellino and Palermo in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Palermo are 1st and Avellino 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Avellino 13-10, Palermo 18-8. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.