Palermo vs Sampdoria Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.80
SignalNEUTRALModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Palermo Rest
4 days
Sampdoria Rest
9 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
154%1.64
X26%3.75
220%5.17
Double Chance
1X80%1.14
X246%2.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.80
No43%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.06 = 2.86
Over 1.580%1.27
Over 2.555%1.85
Over 3.535%3.13
Under 1.520%3.63
Under 2.545%1.95
Under 3.565%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1
Over 8.559%1.48
Over 9.548%1.84
Over 10.535%2.29
Under 8.541%2.45
Under 9.552%1.86
Under 10.565%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.550%1.40
Over 4.531%1.83
Under 3.550%2.69
Under 4.569%1.83
Match Events
9'Gabriel StrefezzaAssist: Tommaso Augello
18'Liam HendersonFoul
18'Lorenzo InsigneDissent
21'Gabriel Strefezza INDominic Vavassori out
33'Joel Pohjanpalo
45'Hernani INAntonio Palumbo out
47'Mattia BaniFoul
53'Danel Sinani INTjas Begic out
63'Lorenzo Insigne
65'Niccolo Pierozzi INTommaso Cassandro out
65'Filippo·Ranocchia INNahuel Estévez out
70'Lorenzo Insigne INOliver Abildgaard out
83'Yari Verschaeren INLorenzo Mezzotero out
84'Joel Pohjanpalo INAlessandro Gabrielloni out
90+2'Antonio PalumboFoul
90+4'Antonio PalumboAssist: Dennis Johnsen
90+6'Manuel CicconiFoul
Lineups
PalermoSampdoria
4-3-3Coach: B. CorradiAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Perin
27N. Pierozzi
13M. Bani
32P. Ceccaroni
3T. Augello
8J. Segre
10F. Ranocchia
23Hernani
7G. Strefezza
20J. Pohjanpalo
17D. Johnsen
1P. Vindahl
29A. Di Pardo
3S. Gartenmann
15F. Delli Carri
7M. Cicconi
45A. Makoumbou
16Y. Verschaeren
6L. Henderson
20D. Sinani
99G. Tutino
10L. InsignePalermo Substitutes
12M. Nespola
96G. Magnani
11E. Gyasi
6C. Gomes
99A. Gabrielloni84'for Joel Pohjanpalo
24N. Estévez65'for Filippo·Ranocchia
84T. Cassandro65'for Niccolo Pierozzi
33A. Bozzolan
93F. Barba
14M. Fortin
5A. Palumbo45'for Hernani90+2'90+4'
9D. Vavassori21'for Gabriel Strefezza
Sampdoria Substitutes
28O. Abildgaard70'for Lorenzo Insigne
11T. Begić53'for Danel Sinani
25A. Ferrari
96S. Massolo
39L. Mezzotero83'for Yari Verschaeren
41Noà Mondani
12A. Krastev
40Federico Piermattei
35Leo Rodella
Match Stats
PalermoSampdoria 46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots0
14Fouls10
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves3
423Total Passes489
333Passes Accurate404
10Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
PalermoSampdoria1764Elo Rating 1503
2.60Attack 0.87
1.49Defense 1.04
73%Hit Rate 14%
19.6Shots per Game 14.9
7.0Shots on Target 4.6
4.4Corners per Game 5.7
0.6Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+261 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Palermo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
Sampdoria- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Palermo2Wins · 29%Draws457%
Sampdoria1Wins · 14%
1Wins · 14%2.6Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7
Previous meetings
10/02/2026SampdoriaPalermo33
12/12/2025PalermoSampdoria10
08/03/2025SampdoriaPalermo11
24/11/2024PalermoSampdoria11
17/05/2024PalermoSampdoria20
06/04/2024PalermoSampdoria22
04/11/2023SampdoriaPalermo10
Recent Form
Palermo6W2D2L
03/09/2026Palermo
MantovaPalermo
Lecce
PalermoMantova52
W30/08/2026
ArezzoPalermo
ArezzoPalermo23
W23/08/2026Palermo
Juve Stabia
17/08/2026PalermoJuve Stabia10
WPalermoLecce20
W11/08/2026
JuventusPalermo
JuventusPalermo20
L07/08/2026
Melbourne CityPalermo
Melbourne CityPalermo02
W29/07/2026Palermo
Iraklis 1908
PalermoIraklis 190811
D25/07/2026Palermo
1. FC Nürnberg
Palermo1. FC Nürnberg22
D22/07/2026Palermo
Paradiso
PalermoParadiso70
W18/07/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04Palermo
FC Ingolstadt 04Palermo10
LSampdoria3W3D4L
29/08/2026SampdoriaJuve Stabia
23/08/2026SampdoriaJuve Stabia12
L
CesenaSampdoria11
D17/08/2026
CremoneseSampdoria20
L09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
ParmaSampdoria02
W01/08/2026Sampdoria
Novara
SampdoriaNovara12
L23/07/2026Sampdoria
Cagliari
SampdoriaCagliari00
D18/07/2026Sampdoria
Taverne
SampdoriaTaverne20
W08/05/2026
ReggianaSampdoria
ReggianaSampdoria10
L01/05/2026Sampdoria
Sudtirol
SampdoriaSudtirol10
W25/04/2026CesenaSampdoria
CesenaSampdoria00
DReferee Profile
4.32Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
28.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.32 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).
Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21:11 | +10 | 23 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | +8 | 20 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | +10 | 18 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 5 |  Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 | LDWDW |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | DLDLD |
| 8 |  Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 | WWLLL |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 12 | WDDLW |
| 10 |  Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 12 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | WWLLD |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 | DWLDL |
| 13 |  Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 10 | DLWDD |
| 14 |  Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 15 | Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 10 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 | LWWDD |
| 18 |  Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 | LDLLW |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 21:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Pisa | 9 | 18:13 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 10 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Padova | 9 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 9 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Carrarese | 9 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 15 | Arezzo | 9 | 9:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 18 | Empoli | 9 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 8:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 10:21 | 5 |
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About the Palermo vs Sampdoria forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Palermo and Sampdoria in the Serie B table
The table shows a wide gap: Palermo are 1st in the Serie B, while Sampdoria sit 19th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Palermo 21-11, Sampdoria 8-18. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.