Empoli vs Arezzo Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 4
Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli 11/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+7.6%
Empoli Rest
5 days
Arezzo Rest
5 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.04
X32%3.25
224%3.79
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X256%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.87
No44%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.01 = 2.61
Over 1.575%1.36
Over 2.553%2.15
Over 3.529%3.84
Under 1.525%3.10
Under 2.547%1.72
Under 3.571%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.2
Over 8.557%1.95
Over 9.545%2.50
Over 10.533%3.29
Under 8.543%1.76
Under 9.555%1.47
Under 10.567%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.556%-
Over 4.537%1.91
Under 3.544%-
Under 4.563%1.80
Match Events
18'Edoardo BiondiniFoul
25'Matteo Egan INKarim Zedadka out
43'Card upgrade confirmedMarco Curto
45'Marco CurtoSerious foul
45'Alessandro Arena INEmiliano Pattarello out
45'Edoardo Biondini INSimone Romagnoli out
62'Mattia Viviani INAlberto Cerri out
62'Pietro Cianci INLeonardo Mancuso out
68'Steven Shpendi INBogdan Popov out
72'Marco Olivieri INmattia sala out
73'Joseph Ceesay INLuca Belardinelli out
73'Gerard Yepes INFilippo Bandinelli out
74'Simone RomagnoliOG
88'Shaka Mawuli Eklu INLuca Chierico out
89'matteo gilliFoul
Lineups
EmpoliArezzo
4-3-3Coach: C. BucchiAvg ratingAvg rating
12J. Seghetti
8L. Magnino
25M. Curto
33C. Cauz
35M. Egan
39E. Biondini
21G. Yepes
10E. Saporiti
91N. Corrado
11S. Shpendi
15J. Ceesay
14A. Nunziante
6A. Renzi
13M. Gilli
4M. Coppolaro
37S. Righetti
17A. Ioniţă
23M. Viviani
8S. Mawuli
30A. Arena
71P. Cianci
99M. OlivieriEmpoli Substitutes
57L. Belardinelli73'for Joseph Ceesay
23F. Bandinelli73'for Gerard Yepes
36D. Bembnista
5D. Degli Innocenti
44L. Deli
20F. Distefano
28G. Indragoli
16F. Meznar
1S. Perisan
77B. Popov68'for Steven Shpendi
6S. Romagnoli45'for Edoardo Biondini74'
98K. Zedadka25'for Matteo Egan
Arezzo Substitutes
9A. Cerri62'for Mattia Viviani
24L. Chierico88'for Shaka Mawuli Eklu
7Giuseppe Kevin Leone
33D. Mancini
11L. Mancuso62'for Pietro Cianci
47Aleandro Manes
2M. Mena
10E. Pattarello45'for Alessandro Arena
16Mattia Sala72'for Marco Olivieri
90A. Seculin
22F. Serban
32A. Cagnano
Match Stats
EmpoliArezzo 45%Ball Possession55%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box8
4Blocked Shots5
16Fouls15
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
377Total Passes469
302Passes Accurate404
14Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
EmpoliArezzo1554Elo Rating 1571
0.78Attack 0.76
0.98Defense 1.30
0%Hit Rate 37%
11.2Shots per Game 12.9
3.4Shots on Target 3.1
3.9Corners per Game 4.4
1.6Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Empoli- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arezzo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Empoli4W3D3L
05/09/2026
CarrareseEmpoli
CarrareseEmpoli01
W30/08/2026
MantovaEmpoli
22/08/2026MantovaEmpoli31
LEmpoli
Cremonese10
W17/08/2026
PisaEmpoli4131
L08/08/2026
LivornoEmpoli
LivornoEmpoli11
D01/08/2026Empoli
Spezia
EmpoliSpezia11
D25/07/2026Empoli
Virtus Entella
EmpoliVirtus Entella10
W08/05/2026
MonzaEmpoli
MonzaEmpoli22
D01/05/2026Empoli
Avellino
EmpoliAvellino10
W25/04/2026
VeneziaEmpoli
VeneziaEmpoli20
LArezzo4W2D4L
06/09/2026
Hellas VeronaArezzo
Hellas VeronaArezzo50
L30/08/2026Arezzo
Palermo
22/08/2026ArezzoPalermo23
LAvellinoArezzo12
W14/08/2026
CagliariArezzo10
L09/08/2026Arezzo
Union Brescia
ArezzoUnion Brescia20
W30/07/2026
ParmaArezzo
ParmaArezzo11
D29/07/2026Arezzo
Albinoleffe
ArezzoAlbinoleffe13
L25/07/2026Arezzo
Folgore Caratese
ArezzoFolgore Caratese11
D22/07/2026
NapoliArezzo
NapoliArezzo13
W26/04/2026Arezzo
Torres
ArezzoTorres31
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21:11 | +10 | 23 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | +10 | 18 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 17 | LWLWD |
| 5 |  Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 15 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Pisa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 7 |  Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 | WWLLL |
| 8 |  Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 13 | LDLDW |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 12 | WDDLW |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 12 | DLDWL |
| 11 |  Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | WLDLD |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 10 | DLWDD |
| 13 | Carrarese | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 14 | Arezzo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 10 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 17 |  Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 | LWWDD |
| 18 | Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 | LDLLW |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 9 | 21:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Modena | 9 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 9 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Benevento | 9 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Pisa | 9 | 18:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Padova | 9 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 9 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Avellino | 9 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Cesena | 9 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 9 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Arezzo | 9 | 9:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 9 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 18 | Empoli | 9 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 8:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 10:21 | 5 |
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About the Empoli vs Arezzo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Empoli and Arezzo in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Arezzo are 14th and Empoli 18th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Empoli 8-15, Arezzo 9-19. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Empoli and Arezzo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.