Cesena vs Sampdoria Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Cesena Rest
6 days
Sampdoria Rest
6 days
Cesena vs Sampdoria: the result in context
Match Forecasts
Match Result
138%2.53
X29%3.18
233%2.78
Double Chance
1X67%1.41
X262%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.75
No51%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.11 = 2.26
Over 1.566%1.32
Over 2.539%2.00
Over 3.520%3.50
Under 1.534%3.25
Under 2.561%1.79
Under 3.580%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.5 = 10
Over 8.566%1.53
Over 9.557%1.89
Over 10.545%2.42
Under 8.534%2.33
Under 9.543%1.83
Under 10.555%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.561%1.28
Over 4.543%1.67
Under 3.539%2.95
Under 4.557%2.10
Match Events
17'C. ShpendiAssist: M. Guidi
38'Manuel CicconiFoul
43'Antonio DavidFoul
50'Antonio DavidFoul
50'Antonio DavidFoul
51'A. Fiori ING. Frabotta out
57'Cristian ShpendiArgument
58'A. Bellemo INT. Begic out
68'C. Shpendi INV. Magni out
70'F. Depaoli INY. Verschaeren out
76'M. Guidi INL. Schirone out
76'R. Pagano INM. Francesconi out
76'X. Druiventak INA. Debenedetti out
83'L. HendersonAssist: S. Gartenmann
Lineups
CesenaSampdoria
4-3-3Coach: Bernardo CorradiAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Siano
C15A. Ciofi
6M. Ilic
4J. Gelli
3A. David
10R. Pagano
14X. Druiventak
25D. Bisoli
18M. Guidi
80A. Fiori
9C. Shpendi
1P. Vindahl
29A. Di Pardo
3S. Gartenmann
2M. Viti
7M. Cicconi
C6L. Henderson
94S. Esposito
14A. Bellemo
20D. Sinani
99G. Tutino
23F. DepaoliCesena Substitutes
90T. Mazzi
39N. Fontana
7G. Frabotta51'for A. Fiori
2M. Natta
23V. Magni68'for C. Shpendi
5L. Schirone76'for M. Guidi
8M. Francesconi76'for R. Pagano
43F. Bertaccini
20M. Casadei
16L. D'Andrea
91A. Debenedetti76'for X. Druiventak
Sampdoria Substitutes
31S. Ghidotti
12A. Krastev
25A. Ferrari
4A. Riccio
16Y. Verschaeren70'for F. Depaoli
35L. Rodella
11T. Begic58'for A. Bellemo
21G. Forte
17L. Paratici
37S. Amarandei
Match Stats
CesenaSampdoria 35%Ball Possession65%
0Corner Kicks12
3Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots21
2Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal9
5Shots Inside Box11
2Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots3
18Fouls8
1Offsides2
8Goalkeeper Saves1
296Total Passes511
229Passes Accurate442
77%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
CesenaSampdoria1520Elo Rating 1511
0.68Attack 1.02
1.13Defense 1.05
0%Hit Rate 17%
11.5Shots per Game 14.7
2.6Shots on Target 3.8
3.9Corners per Game 6.2
1.7Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cesena- No tendency data available
Sampdoria- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Cesena2Wins · 50%Draws125%
Sampdoria1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%3.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4
Previous meetings
25/04/2026CesenaSampdoria00
13/09/2025SampdoriaCesena12
17/01/2025SampdoriaCesena12
20/10/2024CesenaSampdoria35
Recent Form
Cesena2W4D4L
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
SassuoloCesena30
L08/08/2026
ForliCesena
ForliCesena00
D05/08/2026Cesena
Vis Pesaro
CesenaVis Pesaro30
W01/08/2026Cesena
Fossombrone
CesenaFossombrone30
W08/05/2026Cesena
Padova
CesenaPadova34
L01/05/2026
CarrareseCesena
CarrareseCesena00
D25/04/2026CesenaSampdoria
CesenaSampdoria00
D18/04/2026
PalermoCesena
PalermoCesena20
L11/04/2026
Juve StabiaCesena
Juve StabiaCesena20
L06/04/2026Cesena
Sudtirol
CesenaSudtirol11
DSampdoria4W2D4L
17/08/2026
CremoneseSampdoria
CremoneseSampdoria20
L09/08/2026
ParmaSampdoria
ParmaSampdoria02
W01/08/2026Sampdoria
Novara
SampdoriaNovara12
L23/07/2026Sampdoria
Cagliari
SampdoriaCagliari00
D18/07/2026Sampdoria
Taverne
SampdoriaTaverne20
W08/05/2026
ReggianaSampdoria
ReggianaSampdoria10
L01/05/2026SampdoriaSudtirol
SampdoriaSudtirol10
W25/04/2026CesenaSampdoria
CesenaSampdoria00
D17/04/2026Sampdoria
Monza
SampdoriaMonza03
L11/04/2026
PescaraSampdoria
PescaraSampdoria12
WReferee Profile
4.32Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.32 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.61).
Cards come from 114 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Modena | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 19 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | +10 | 18 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Mantova | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 17 | LWLWD |
| 5 |  Benevento | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 15 | DWDWW |
| 6 |  Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 | DWWDL |
| 7 | Padova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 13 | LDLDW |
| 9 |  Avellino | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 12 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cesena | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | WLDLD |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 10 | DLWDD |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 | LWDLW |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Cremonese | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 15 |  Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 9 | LWDLL |
| 16 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 8 | WWDDD |
| 17 |  Empoli | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 7 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | LWWLL |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 | LDLLW |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 18:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Modena | 9 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 9 | 16:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Mantova | 9 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Benevento | 9 | 14:8 | 15 |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Padova | 9 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Sudtirol | 9 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Avellino | 9 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Cesena | 9 | 10:13 | 11 |
| 11 | Virtus Entella | 9 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 8 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 8 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 9 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vicenza Virtus | 9 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 17 | Empoli | 9 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Carrarese | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 9 | 8:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 9 | 10:21 | 5 |
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About the Cesena vs Sampdoria forecast
The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cesena and Sampdoria in the Serie B table
In the Serie B table, Cesena are 10th and Sampdoria 19th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Cesena 10-13, Sampdoria 8-18. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.