Empoli vs Cremonese Prediction

Empoli
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cremonese
Carlo Castellani, Empoli·Paride Tremolada, Italy 22/08/2026
EmpoliEmpoli
1-0
Finished
CremoneseCremonese

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.74
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Empoli Rest
5 days
Cremonese Rest
5 days

Empoli vs Cremonese: result, form and history

Empoli beat Cremonese 1-0 in the Serie B on 22 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Cremonese had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Empoli.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 4 matches. Referee Paride Tremolada averages 5.45 cards a game, 0.87 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.89
X
33%3.07
2
30%2.54
Double Chance
1X
70%1.49
X2
63%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.75
No
51%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.02 = 2.30
Over 1.5
69%1.34
Over 2.5
41%2.09
Over 3.5
24%3.70
Under 1.5
31%3.10
Under 2.5
59%1.74
Under 3.5
76%1.26
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.6 = 9.3
Over 8.5
59%1.59
Over 9.5
50%2.00
Over 10.5
39%2.50
Under 8.5
41%2.22
Under 9.5
50%1.74
Under 10.5
61%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.6 = 5.4
Over 3.5
75%1.29
Over 4.5
58%1.65
Under 3.5
25%2.92
Under 4.5
42%2.05

Match Events

16'J. VandeputteFoul
19'M. Collocolo INS. Elia out
21'S. ShpendiAssist: C. Cauz
45+2'M. BianchettiFoul
57'F. Di Stefano INB. Popov out
59'J. CeesayFoul
63'S. Shpendi INK. Zedadka out
65'M. De Luca INM. Nasti out
65'S. Elia INT. Berti out
77'G. Yepes INL. Deli out
77'E. Biondini INL. Belardinelli out
77'E. Saporiti INS. Romagnoli out
82'S. Luperto INY. Rocchetti out
85'F. BonazzoliUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+4'B. PopovDelay of game

Lineups

Empoli
4-2-3-1Coach: Guido Pagliuca
Cremonese
4-2-3-1Coach: Marco Giampaolo
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.57
Jacopo Seghetti7.312J. Seghetti
Matteo Egan6.235M. Egan
Marco Curto6.625M. Curto
Cristian Cauz6.933C. Cauz
Joseph Ceesay6.315J. Ceesay
Luca MagninoC6.28L. Magnino
Gerard Yepes7.021G. Yepes
Edoardo Biondini6.639E. Biondini
Edoardo Saporiti7.010E. Saporiti
Filippo Distefano6.520F. Distefano
Stiven Shpendi7.011S. Shpendi
Andrea Fulignati7.01A. Fulignati
Alessandro Vogliacco6.338A. Vogliacco
Matteo BianchettiC6.715M. Bianchetti
Sebastiano Luperto6.35S. Luperto
Giuseppe Pezzella6.23G. Pezzella
Simone Lottici Tessadri6.98S. Lottici Tessadri
Fabio Gerli6.716F. Gerli
Michele Collocolo6.518M. Collocolo
Federico Bonazzoli6.990F. Bonazzoli
Jari Vandeputte6.727J. Vandeputte
Manuel De Luca6.39M. De Luca

Empoli Substitutes

77Bogdan Popov57'for F. Di Stefano90+4'
22Federico Brancolini
1Samuele Perisan
29Lorenzo Tosto
31Samsondeen Babalola
6Simone Romagnoli77'for E. Saporiti
28Gabriele Indragoli
38Mattia Huqi
44Lapo Deli77'for G. Yepes
98Karim Zedadka63'for S. Shpendi
57Luca Belardinelli77'for E. Biondini
9Flavio Bianchi

Cremonese Substitutes

71Salvatore Elia19'for M. Collocolo65'for T. Berti6.3
22Federico Agazzi
12Marco Festa
13Fellipe Jack
21Yuri Rocchetti82'for S. Luperto
23Francesco Folino
14Tommaso Berti65'replaced by S. Elia
25Dachi Lordkipanidze
19Marco Nasti65'for M. De Luca

Match Stats

EmpoliCremonese
25%Ball Possession75%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots6
17Fouls11
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
235Total Passes707
186Passes Accurate657
79%Pass Accuracy93%

Team Comparison

EmpoliEmpoli
CremoneseCremonese
1554Elo Rating 1601
0.78Attack 0.51
0.98Defense 1.76
0%Hit Rate 0%
11.2Shots per Game 12.8
3.4Shots on Target 4.4
3.9Corners per Game 3.9
1.6Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EmpoliEmpoli
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CremoneseCremonese
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

EmpoliEmpoli2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
CremoneseCremonese1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie A14/04/2023
CremoneseEmpoli
10
Serie A11/11/2022
EmpoliCremonese
20
Serie B13/04/2021
CremoneseEmpoli
22
Serie B15/12/2020
EmpoliCremonese
10

Recent Form

EmpoliEmpoli
2W4D4L
17/08/2026
PisaEmpoli
4131
L
08/08/2026
LivornoEmpoli
11
D
01/08/2026
EmpoliSpezia
11
D
25/07/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
10
W
08/05/2026
MonzaEmpoli
22
D
01/05/2026
EmpoliAvellino
10
W
25/04/2026
VeneziaEmpoli
20
L
19/04/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
11
D
12/04/2026
PadovaEmpoli
10
L
06/04/2026
SampdoriaEmpoli
10
L
CremoneseCremonese
4W3D3L
17/08/2026
CremoneseSampdoria
20
W
01/08/2026
CremoneseLumezzane
00
D
29/07/2026
CremoneseCittadella
11
D
24/07/2026
CremoneseGiana Erminio
40
W
17/05/2026
UdineseCremonese
01
W
10/05/2026
CremonesePisa
30
W
04/05/2026
CremoneseLazio
12
L
24/04/2026
NapoliCremonese
40
L
19/04/2026
CremoneseTorino
00
D
11/04/2026
CagliariCremonese
10
L

Referee Profile

Paride Tremolada111 matches

5.45Cards per match
5.18Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Paride Tremolada5.45
Other referees4.58

5.45 cards a match, 0.87 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.58).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo871018:8+1022WWWWD
2ModenaModena961217:9+819WWLWW
3AscoliAscoli953116:6+1018WWDDW
4MantovaMantova952214:10+417LWLWD
5BeneventoBenevento943214:8+615DWDWW
6PisaPisa842215:10+514DWWDL
7PadovaPadova94149:10-113WWLLL
8SudtirolSudtirol934210:9+113LDLDW
9AvellinoAvellino933313:10+312DLDWL
10CesenaCesena925210:13-311WLDLD
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella924311:10+110DLWDD
12ArezzoArezzo83148:17-910LWDLW
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona823315:13+29DDLWL
14CremoneseCremonese92348:11-39WLLDD
15Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus923412:17-59LWDLL
16Juve StabiaJuve Stabia83329:8+18WWDDD
17EmpoliEmpoli92168:15-77LLDLL
18CarrareseCarrarese82157:9-27LWWLL
19SampdoriaSampdoria91268:18-105LDLLW
20CatanzaroCatanzaro912610:21-115DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo818:822
2ModenaModena917:919
3AscoliAscoli916:618
4MantovaMantova914:1017
5BeneventoBenevento914:815
6PisaPisa815:1014
7PadovaPadova99:1013
8SudtirolSudtirol910:913
9AvellinoAvellino913:1012
10CesenaCesena910:1311
11Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella911:1010
12ArezzoArezzo88:1710
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona815:139
14CremoneseCremonese98:119
15Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus912:179
16Juve StabiaJuve Stabia89:88
17EmpoliEmpoli98:157
18CarrareseCarrarese87:97
19SampdoriaSampdoria98:185
20CatanzaroCatanzaro910:215
PromotionRelegation

About the Empoli vs Cremonese forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Empoli and Cremonese in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cremonese are 14th and Empoli 17th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Empoli 8-15, Cremonese 8-11. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.