Barbados vs Bermuda Prediction

CONCACAF Nations LeagueWorld World · League B - 2
Cup
Barbados
4-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Bermuda
BFA Technical Centre, Bridgetown 03/10/2026
BarbadosBarbados
4-1
Finished
BermudaBermuda

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-7.4%
Barbados Rest
4 days
Bermuda Rest
4 days

Barbados vs Bermuda: the result in context

Barbados beat Bermuda 4-1 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Barbados tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 3.0 for Bermuda.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.80
X
22%4.00
2
27%3.40
Double Chance
1X
73%1.26
X2
49%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.35
No
39%2.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.25 + 1.11 = 3.36
Over 1.5
82%1.07
Over 2.5
64%1.33
Over 3.5
45%1.89
Under 1.5
18%6.60
Under 2.5
36%2.88
Under 3.5
55%1.83
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Tyrique Bailey-Edwards
8'Djair Parfitt WilliamsAssist: Deniche Hill
20'Justin·Donawa
26'Thierry Gale
29'Andreas ApplewhaiteAssist: Jaheim Neblett
41'Thierry GaleAssist: Andreas Applewhaite
44'Nahki Wells
46'Robinson l. INRiley robinson out
56'Djair Parfitt Williams
64'Djair Parfitt Williams INAjani·Burchall out
64'Justin·Donawa INBlayz Borgesson out
68'Omani Leacock INSheran Hoyte out
78'Nahki Wells INTokia russell out
78'Ajani·Burchall INzeiko lewis out
79'Jaheim Neblett INDarico king out
79'Jacob Gollop INThorne Davion out
86'Niall stephen reidAssist: Thierry Gale
87'Colin Griffith INZachary applewhite out
87'Niall stephen reid INRoss Bourne out

Lineups

Barbados
3-4-3Coach: Kent Hall
Bermuda
4-4-2Coach: John Barry Nusum
Avg rating7.09
Avg rating6.72
J. Blackman6.51J. Blackman
2020T. Bailey-Edwards
44Mario·Williams
1414A. Banton
2323J. Gollop
88O. Leacock
55J. Neblett
A. Applewhaite7.63A. Applewhaite
1010N. stephen reid
1919C. Griffith
T. Gale9.311T. Gale
1212J. Hill
77l. simmons
44L. jackson steede
1717H. twite
D. Hill6.911D. Hill
J. Donawa6.022J. Donawa
55J. ne tucker
1818R. l.
D. Parfitt-Williams7.58D. Parfitt-Williams
66S. hall
N. Wells6.621N. Wells

Barbados Substitutes

21Kaliq Lashley
12Lemar Catlyn
17Thorne Davion79'replaced by Jacob Gollop
22Zachary Applewhite87'replaced by Colin Griffith
16Ross Bourne87'replaced by Niall stephen reid
2Raquan Clarke
6Sheran Hoyte68'replaced by Omani Leacock
9T. James
13Darico king79'replaced by Jaheim Neblett
18Jireh malcolm
7Jaron oughterson
15Shay Prescod

Bermuda Substitutes

9Tokia russell78'replaced by Nahki Wells
20Riley robinson46'replaced by Robinson l.
3Diego richardson
1milai perott
2Emeer Peets
14Brighton Morrison
16Caleb Mcdowall
10Z. Lewis78'replaced by Ajani·Burchall
23Cj Fubler
15Elisha Darrell
13Blayz Borgesson64'replaced by Justin·Donawa
19Ajani·Burchall64'replaced by Djair Parfitt Williams78'for zeiko lewis

Match Stats

BarbadosBermuda
53%Ball Possession47%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box8
11Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
8Fouls12
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
429Total Passes375
392Passes Accurate329
12Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

BarbadosBarbados
BermudaBermuda
1356Elo Rating 1308
2.15Attack 1.02
1.52Defense 0.00
50%Hit Rate 0%
13.4Shots per Game 9.1
5.9Shots on Target 3.1
6.0Corners per Game 3.0
2.3Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.36 goals

Game State Tendencies

BarbadosBarbados
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
BermudaBermuda
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

BarbadosBarbados0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BermudaBermuda1Wins · 100%
9.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

CONCACAF Gold Cup - Qualification03/07/2021
BermudaBarbados
81

Recent Form

BarbadosBarbados
5W2D3L
28/09/2026
GuadeloupeBarbados
22
D
26/09/2026
BarbadosSt. Lucia
20
W
11/06/2025
St. LuciaBarbados
21
L
04/06/2025
BarbadosAruba
11
D
20/11/2024
GuyanaBarbados
53
L
16/11/2024
BarbadosGuyana
14
L
16/10/2024
BarbadosBahamas
62
W
10/10/2024
US Virgin IslandsBarbados
05
W
10/09/2024
BarbadosUS Virgin Islands
30
W
07/09/2024
BahamasBarbados
23
W
BermudaBermuda
1W1D8L
29/09/2026
St. LuciaBermuda
52
L
25/09/2026
BermudaGuadeloupe
12
L
06/06/2026
Cape Verde IslandsBermuda
30
L
19/11/2025
Trinidad and TobagoBermuda
22
D
14/11/2025
BermudaCuraçao
07
L
15/10/2025
JamaicaBermuda
40
L
11/10/2025
BermudaTrinidad and Tobago
03
L
10/09/2025
CuraçaoBermuda
32
L
06/09/2025
BermudaJamaica
04
L
10/06/2025
CubaBermuda
12
W

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About the Barbados vs Bermuda forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Barbados and Bermuda have met only 1 time recently, with 9.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.