Nicaragua vs Costa Rica Prediction

CONCACAF Nations LeagueWorld World · League A - 1
Cup
Nicaragua
0-3
Finished
HT 0-0
Costa Rica
Nicaragua National Football Stadium, Managua 02/10/2026
NicaraguaNicaragua
0-3
Finished
Costa RicaCosta Rica

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-15.6%
Nicaragua Rest
4 days
Costa Rica Rest
4 days

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica: the result in context

Costa Rica beat Nicaragua 3-0 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 2 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
12%11.50
X
19%6.00
2
69%1.20
Double Chance
1X
31%3.83
X2
88%1.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.16
No
54%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.03 + 1.62 = 2.65
Over 1.5
75%1.14
Over 2.5
53%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.35
Under 1.5
25%4.45
Under 2.5
47%2.27
Under 3.5
67%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Jeyland Mitchell INJuan Pablo Vargas out
56'Darril Araya INJohn Ruiz out
56'Claudio Montero INErson Mendez out
57'Orlando SinclairAssist: Yerlan Sosa
59'Jonathan Moncada INBancy Cristhoffer Hernández Soza out
60'Carlos MoraAssist: Erson Mendez
63'Justing Cano INByron Bonilla out
70'Jorge García Hurtado INEfraín Mejía out
71'luis juan perez
73'Efraín Mejía
77'Carlos Mora
78'Carlos Mora INCelso Borges out
78'Orlando Sinclair INGerson Torres out
90+1'Ramon Estrada
90+4'Erson Mendez

Lineups

Nicaragua
5-4-1Coach: J. Real
Costa Rica
4-2-3-1Coach: Bryan Ruiz
Avg rating6.11
Avg rating7.06
B. Mayorga6.21B. Mayorga
R. Cole6.016R. Cole
J. Cano6.15J. Cano
M. Fletes6.44M. Fletes
J. Pérez19J. Pérez
Ó. Acevedo5.43Ó. Acevedo
J. Moncada5.820J. Moncada
2222R. Estrada
K. Cole6.514K. Cole
W. Talavera6.413W. Talavera
J. Garcia6.37J. Garcia
K. Navas6.81K. Navas
Yerlan Sosa8.92Y. Sosa
J. Mitchell6.63J. Mitchell
F. Calvo7.415F. Calvo
D. Araya6.48D. Araya
S. Acuña6.422S. Acuña
R. Wilson6.612R. Wilson
K. Michel20K. Michel
C. Montero11C. Montero
C. Mora7.717C. Mora
O. Sinclair8.019O. Sinclair

Nicaragua Substitutes

10B. Bonilla63'for Justing Cano6.3
6E. Gomez
2Joab Gutierrez
11B. Hernández59'for Jonathan Moncada6.0
15melvin hernandez
8J. Montes
9Efraín Mejía70'replaced by Jorge García Hurtado73'
21C. Reyes
17O. Salinas
23J. Vega
18Amadeus Zamora
12Huberts ibarra

Costa Rica Substitutes

4J. Vargas19'for Jeyland Mitchell7.5
13G. Torres78'for Orlando Sinclair6.2
10A. Soto
23P. Sequeira
7John Paul Ruíz56'for Darril Araya
14Y. Molina
9J. Méndez56'for Claudio Montero90+4'6.8
18A. Madríz
21D. López
5C. Borges78'for Carlos Mora6.5
16J. Azofeifa
6C. Barahona

Match Stats

NicaraguaCosta Rica
36%Ball Possession64%
4Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards2
4Total Shots13
1Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal5
2Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots2
14Fouls13
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
237Total Passes427
177Passes Accurate357
13Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

NicaraguaNicaragua
Costa RicaCosta Rica
1385Elo Rating 1595
0.80Attack 1.72
0.00Defense 1.95
0%Hit Rate 50%
8.0Shots per Game 14.9
1.3Shots on Target 4.7
4.2Corners per Game 5.4
2.8Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

NicaraguaNicaragua
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
Costa RicaCosta Rica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NicaraguaNicaragua0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
Costa RicaCosta Rica2Wins · 67%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF14/10/2025
Costa RicaNicaragua
41
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF06/09/2025
NicaraguaCosta Rica
11
CONCACAF Gold Cup17/06/2019
Costa RicaNicaragua
40

Recent Form

NicaraguaNicaragua
1W2D7L
28/09/2026
CuraçaoNicaragua
61
L25/09/2026
Dominican RepublicNicaragua
32
L
06/06/2026
ParaguayNicaragua
40
L
29/05/2026
South AfricaNicaragua
00
D
19/11/2025
HaitiNicaragua
20
L
14/11/2025
NicaraguaHonduras
20
W
14/10/2025
Costa RicaNicaragua
41
L
10/10/2025
NicaraguaHaiti
03
L
10/09/2025
HondurasNicaragua
20
L
06/09/2025
NicaraguaCosta Rica
11
D
Costa RicaCosta Rica
1W4D5L
28/09/2026
HaitiCosta Rica
20
L
25/09/2026
Costa RicaCuraçao
34
L
10/06/2026
EnglandCosta Rica
30
L
02/06/2026
ColombiaCosta Rica
31
L
19/11/2025
Costa RicaHonduras
00
D
14/11/2025
HaitiCosta Rica
10
L
14/10/2025
Costa RicaNicaragua
41
W
10/10/2025
HondurasCosta Rica
00
D
10/09/2025
Costa RicaHaiti
33
D
06/09/2025
NicaraguaCosta Rica
11
D

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About the Nicaragua vs Costa Rica forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.