Jamaica vs Honduras Prediction

Jamaica
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Honduras
Independence Park, Kingston 29/09/2026
JamaicaJamaica
0-1
Finished
HondurasHonduras

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
Jamaica Rest
3 days
Honduras Rest
2 days

Jamaica vs Honduras: the result in context

Honduras beat Jamaica 1-0 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 29 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Jamaica had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Honduras.

Jamaica have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Honduras tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.4 for Jamaica.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.15
X
30%3.25
2
28%3.25
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
58%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.85
No
52%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.88 = 2.25
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.11
Over 3.5
26%3.75
Under 1.5
31%3.00
Under 2.5
55%1.68
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Renaldo Cephas INTyreece Campbell out
14'keyrol figuoraAssist: Jonathan Toro
27'brandon cover
37'Joel Latibeaudiere
41'B. Cadamarteri
46'brandon cover INMiguel Freckleton out
51'Cristoper Melendez
56'Denil Maldonado
62'Kasey Palmer INJavon East out
62'Isaac Hayden INCourtney Alphonso Clarke out
68'Dereck Moncada
71'Jonathan Toro INKervin Arriaga out
72'alejandro reyes INAlenis Vargas out
75'keyrol figuora INBryan Rochez out
83'Luis Palma INExon Arzú out
83'ronaldo webster INdwayne atkinson out
85'dwayne atkinson

Lineups

Jamaica
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Speid
Honduras
4-2-3-1Coach: José Molina
Avg rating6.50
Avg rating6.65
A. Blake7.81A. Blake
Brandon Ashley Cover5.93B. Ashley Cover
R. King7.46R. King
J. Latibeaudiere6.415J. Latibeaudiere
2222r. webster
Karoy Anderson6.016K. Anderson
I. Hayden6.514I. Hayden
R. Cephas6.420R. Cephas
K. Palmer6.58K. Palmer
K. Dixon6.810K. Dixon
B. Cadamarteri6.29B. Cadamarteri
E. Menjívar6.81E. Menjívar
C. Meléndez6.36C. Meléndez
G. Sacaza7.03G. Sacaza
D. Maldonado6.62D. Maldonado
J. Rosales6.78J. Rosales
D. Flores6.920D. Flores
A. Reyes14A. Reyes
D. Moncada6.018D. Moncada
J. Toro7.47J. Toro
L. Palma6.810L. Palma
99k. figuora

Jamaica Substitutes

7J. Lyle
4C. Ainsworth
18D. Atkinson83'replaced by ronaldo webster85'6.1
11T. Campbell12'for Renaldo Cephas6.2
5Courtney Clarke62'for Isaac Hayden5.9
23S. Davis
12J. East62'for Kasey Palmer6.7
2M. Freckleton46'for brandon cover6.9
19T. Gray
13A. Knight
17D. Lowe

Honduras Substitutes

23Clinton Bennett
12A. Güity
22L. Ortiz
13J. Portillo
19E. Puerto
21B. Rochez75'replaced by keyrol figuora6.4
16E. Rodríguez
15Victor Vandenbroucke
17A. Vargas72'for alejandro reyes6.7
4L. Vega
5K. Arriaga71'for Jonathan Toro6.5
11E. Arzú83'for Luis Palma6.5

Match Stats

JamaicaHonduras
47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
15Fouls15
1Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves3
385Total Passes437
306Passes Accurate370
14Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

JamaicaJamaica
HondurasHonduras
1554Elo Rating 1545
1.22Attack 0.89
2.20Defense 1.86
39%Hit Rate 23%
10.0Shots per Game 15.1
2.8Shots on Target 4.5
3.4Corners per Game 6.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JamaicaJamaica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
HondurasHonduras
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

JamaicaJamaica5Wins · 83%
Draws117%
HondurasHonduras0Wins · 0%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

CONCACAF Nations League15/10/2024
JamaicaHonduras
00
CONCACAF Nations League11/09/2024
HondurasJamaica
12
CONCACAF Nations League09/09/2023
JamaicaHonduras
10
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF31/03/2022
JamaicaHonduras
21
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF14/10/2021
HondurasJamaica
02
CONCACAF Gold Cup18/06/2019
JamaicaHonduras
32

Recent Form

JamaicaJamaica
6W2D2L
26/09/2026
JamaicaGuatemala
32
W
27/05/2026
JamaicaIndia
20
W
31/03/2026
Congo DRJamaica
1000
L
27/03/2026
New CaledoniaJamaica
01
W
19/11/2025
JamaicaCuraçao
00
D
14/11/2025
Trinidad and TobagoJamaica
11
D
15/10/2025
JamaicaBermuda
40
W
11/10/2025
CuraçaoJamaica
20
L
10/09/2025
JamaicaTrinidad and Tobago
20
W
06/09/2025
BermudaJamaica
04
W
HondurasHonduras
3W3D4L
26/09/2026
HondurasSuriname
23
L
07/06/2026
ArgentinaHonduras
20
L
19/11/2025
Costa RicaHonduras
00
D
14/11/2025
NicaraguaHonduras
20
L
14/10/2025
HondurasHaiti
30
W
10/10/2025
HondurasCosta Rica
00
D
10/09/2025
HondurasNicaragua
20
W
06/09/2025
HaitiHonduras
00
D
03/07/2025
MexicoHonduras
10
L
29/06/2025
PanamaHonduras
4151
W

About the Jamaica vs Honduras forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.