Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago Prediction

Ergilio Hato Stadium, Willemstad 02/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-2.2%
Curaçao Rest
3 days
Trinidad and Tobago Rest
3 days

Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago: the result in context

Curaçao beat Trinidad and Tobago 1-0 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 1 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Curaçao had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Trinidad and Tobago.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.50
X
23%4.20
2
13%5.50
Double Chance
1X
87%1.14
X2
36%2.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.74
No
50%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.24 + 0.76 = 3.00
Over 1.5
77%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.66
Over 3.5
35%2.57
Under 1.5
23%4.46
Under 2.5
45%2.13
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Levi García INReon Moore out
57'Andrew gannes de INNoah Powder out
57'real gill INLuke Phillip out
58'Juninho BacunaAssist: Tahith Chong
68'Dantaye·Gilbert
70'michel angeron poon
71'Dantaye·Gilbert
73'Jürgen Locadia INJeremy Antonisse out
76'Rio Cardines INdaniel david out
76'Jesse Khan INandre rampersad out
89'Leandro Bacuna(Penalty missed)
90+1'Livano Comenencia INNicky Souren out
90+3'Noah Powder

Lineups

Curaçao
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Advocaat
Trinidad and Tobago
4-2-3-1Coach: D. King
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.23
E. Room7.01E. Room
S. Sambo7.12S. Sambo
J. Gaari8.53J. Gaari
A. Obispo7.518A. Obispo
S. Floranus7.25S. Floranus
L. Comenencia6.68L. Comenencia
L. Bacuna6.210L. Bacuna
T. Chong8.521T. Chong
J. Bacuna8.17J. Bacuna
K. Gorré7.514K. Gorré
J. Locadia5.89J. Locadia
D. Smith22D. Smith
Rio Cardines6.419R. Cardines
K. Henry6.53K. Henry
44J. Joseph
66A. gannes de
M. Poon-Angeron5.916M. Poon-Angeron
D. Gilbert4.515D. Gilbert
R. Telfer6.87R. Telfer
M. Khan6.510M. Khan
2020r. gill
L. García6.511L. García

Curaçao Substitutes

23K. Zeggen
11J. Antonisse73'for Jürgen Locadia6.7
22T. Bodak
20J. Brenet
4J. Carolina
16J. Margaritha
15A. Martha
17T. Noslin
12K. Penso
6N. Souren90+1'for Livano Comenencia

Trinidad and Tobago Substitutes

9daniel david76'replaced by Rio Cardines
17J. Garcia
5N. Hackshaw
12shervohnez hamilton
13R. Moore14'for Levi García6.4
8Luke Phillip57'replaced by real gill
23N. Powder57'replaced by Andrew gannes de90+3'6.6
18andre rampersad76'replaced by Jesse Khan
21Jahiem Atladdin Wickham
1Jabari Brice

Match Stats

CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
56%Ball Possession44%
9Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
19Total Shots9
9Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal5
16Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls7
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves8
468Total Passes474
429Passes Accurate427
7Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

CuraçaoCuraçao
Trinidad and TobagoTrinidad and Tobago
1526Elo Rating 1422
2.33Attack 1.08
1.76Defense 1.33
59%Hit Rate 0%
19.6Shots per Game 13.9
7.5Shots on Target 4.1
6.7Corners per Game 6.6
1.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+104 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals

Game State Tendencies

CuraçaoCuraçao
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Trinidad and TobagoTrinidad and Tobago
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CuraçaoCuraçao1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
Trinidad and TobagoTrinidad and Tobago1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF15/10/2025
CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
11
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF06/09/2025
Trinidad and TobagoCuraçao
00
CONCACAF Nations League18/10/2023
CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
53
CONCACAF Nations League08/09/2023
Trinidad and TobagoCuraçao
10

Recent Form

CuraçaoCuraçao
4W3D3L
28/09/2026
CuraçaoNicaragua
61
W
25/09/2026
Costa RicaCuraçao
34
W
25/06/2026
CuraçaoIvory Coast
02
L
21/06/2026
EcuadorCuraçao
00
D
14/06/2026
GermanyCuraçao
71
L
07/06/2026
CuraçaoAruba
40
W
30/05/2026
ScotlandCuraçao
41
L
19/11/2025
JamaicaCuraçao
00
D
14/11/2025
BermudaCuraçao
07
W
15/10/2025
CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
11
D
Trinidad and TobagoTrinidad and Tobago
1W3D6L
28/09/2026
Trinidad and TobagoDominican Republic
12
L
25/09/2026
HaitiTrinidad and Tobago
32
L
26/07/2026
Louisville CityTrinidad and Tobago
10
L
09/06/2026
RussiaTrinidad and Tobago
30
L
31/05/2026
South KoreaTrinidad and Tobago
50
L
19/11/2025
Trinidad and TobagoBermuda
22
D
14/11/2025
Trinidad and TobagoJamaica
11
D
15/10/2025
CuraçaoTrinidad and Tobago
11
D
11/10/2025
BermudaTrinidad and Tobago
03
W
10/09/2025
JamaicaTrinidad and Tobago
20
L

About the Curaçao vs Trinidad and Tobago forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.