Guadeloupe vs Barbados Prediction

Guadeloupe
2-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Barbados
Darren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet 28/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Guadeloupe Rest
3 days
Barbados Rest
2 days

Guadeloupe vs Barbados: result, form and history

Guadeloupe and Barbados drew 2-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.25
X
29%3.12
2
26%3.00
Double Chance
1X
75%1.33
X2
55%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.73
No
49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.94 + 0.97 = 3.91
Over 1.5
72%1.29
Over 2.5
51%1.95
Over 3.5
32%3.30
Under 1.5
28%3.23
Under 2.5
49%1.79
Under 3.5
68%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

36'jaylan gilkes
36'Jacob Gollop
46'Jaron oughterson INThierry Gale out
46'Jacob Gollop INMario·Williams out
46'Colin Griffith INNiall stephen reid out
49'Djamalee BoisneAssist: Ange-Freddy Plumain
58'Shay Prescod INZachary applewhite out
64'Yonel Raddas
67'Zachary applewhite
71'Dwen Capraja INAllan Vulgaire out
74'Mario·Williams
76'Thierry GaleAssist: Niall stephen reid
78'Niall stephen reidAssist: Andreas Applewhaite
82'Ange-Freddy Plumain INMathis Citronnelle out
82'Mickaël Alphonse INWillis Francillonne out
90+1'Djamalee BoisneAssist: Kendy Giblaca
90+4'Taïryk Arconte INhans dezac out

Lineups

Guadeloupe
4-1-4-1Coach: Jocelyn Angloma
Barbados
3-4-3Coach: Kent Hall
Avg rating6.10
Avg rating6.60
D. Rouyard5.923D. Rouyard
2222S. Darase
55Y. Raddas
44K. montantin
2121F. Geran
22M. Alphonse
1717K. Giblaca
1818D. Capraja
A. Plumain6.88A. Plumain
1010D. Boisne
T. Arconte5.59T. Arconte
J. Blackman5.91J. Blackman
22R. Clarke
1515S. Prescod
2020T. Bailey-Edwards
2323J. Gollop
55J. Neblett
1212j. gilkes
A. Applewhaite7.23A. Applewhaite
T. James6.59T. James
1919C. Griffith
77J. oughterson

Guadeloupe Substitutes

13Meddy Cysique
7Mathis Citronnelle82'replaced by Ange-Freddy Plumain
20Thomas Davillars
15hans dezac90+4'replaced by Taïryk Arconte
6Willis Francillonne82'replaced by Mickaël Alphonse
11Jonathan Gamby
14Willan Jacques
19Luidgi Mausse
16Mathieu Philemon
1Alexis Silo
12Allan Vulgaire71'replaced by Dwen Capraja

Barbados Substitutes

22Zachary Applewhite58'replaced by Shay Prescod67'
14Ajani Banton
16Ross Bourne
11T. Gale46'replaced by Jaron oughterson76'7.4
6Sheran Hoyte
13Darico king
8Omani Leacock
18Jireh malcolm
10Niall stephen reid46'replaced by Colin Griffith78'
17Thorne Davion
4Mario·Williams46'replaced by Jacob Gollop74'

Match Stats

GuadeloupeBarbados
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards4
5Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal4
3Shots Inside Box3
2Shots Outside Box7
0Blocked Shots3
13Fouls12
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
274Total Passes423
219Passes Accurate370
10Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

GuadeloupeGuadeloupe
BarbadosBarbados
1485Elo Rating 1356
1.83Attack 2.15
0.61Defense 1.52
23%Hit Rate 50%
12.7Shots per Game 13.4
5.6Shots on Target 5.9
5.0Corners per Game 6.0
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

GuadeloupeGuadeloupe
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
BarbadosBarbados
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

GuadeloupeGuadeloupe2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
BarbadosBarbados0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

CONCACAF Nations League13/06/2022
GuadeloupeBarbados
21
CONCACAF Nations League10/06/2022
BarbadosGuadeloupe
01

Recent Form

GuadeloupeGuadeloupe
5W1D4L
25/09/2026
BermudaGuadeloupe
12
W
25/06/2025
GuadeloupeGuatemala
23
L
21/06/2025
JamaicaGuadeloupe
21
L
17/06/2025
PanamaGuadeloupe
52
L
26/03/2025
NicaraguaGuadeloupe
01
W
22/03/2025
GuadeloupeNicaragua
10
W
19/11/2024
GuadeloupeCayman Islands
10
W
15/11/2024
Cayman IslandsGuadeloupe
06
W
16/10/2024
MartiniqueGuadeloupe
00
D
11/10/2024
GuadeloupeMartinique
01
L
BarbadosBarbados
5W1D4L
26/09/2026
BarbadosSt. Lucia
20
W
11/06/2025
St. LuciaBarbados
21
L
04/06/2025
BarbadosAruba
11
D
20/11/2024
GuyanaBarbados
53
L
16/11/2024
BarbadosGuyana
14
L
16/10/2024
BarbadosBahamas
62
W
10/10/2024
US Virgin IslandsBarbados
05
W
10/09/2024
BarbadosUS Virgin Islands
30
W
07/09/2024
BahamasBarbados
23
W
09/06/2024
BarbadosHaiti
13
L

About the Guadeloupe vs Barbados forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Guadeloupe and Barbados have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.