Jamaica vs Guatemala Prediction

Jamaica
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Guatemala
26/09/2026
JamaicaJamaica
3-2
Finished
GuatemalaGuatemala

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-12.4%
Jamaica Rest
121 days
Guatemala Rest
110 days

Jamaica vs Guatemala: the result in context

Jamaica beat Guatemala 3-2 in the CONCACAF Nations League on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.83
X
29%3.30
2
27%4.20
Double Chance
1X
73%1.20
X2
56%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.00
No
55%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.16 = 2.77
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.21
Over 3.5
26%4.05
Under 1.5
32%2.88
Under 2.5
56%1.62
Under 3.5
74%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'D. LomFoul
2'Oscar SantisAssist: Rubio Rubin
7'Javon EastFoul
37'Kasey Palmer
45'Javon East INKaheim Dixon out
45'Tyreece Campbell INRenaldo Cephas out
51'Kaheim DixonFoul
53'Rumarn BurrellAssist: Kasey Palmer
57'Rudy Josué Muñoz Boteo INWilliam Fajardo out
65'Kasey Palmer INCourtney Alphonso Clarke out
67'Oscar SantisAssist: D. Lom
72'Richard KingFoul
72'Rumarn Burrell INB. Cadamarteri out
77'Rubio Rubin INMatthew Dominic Evans Wolff out
83'Jorge Aparicio INjonathan franco out
83'Oscar Santis INOlger Escobar out
84'William FajardoFoul
90+4'Renaldo CephasAssist: Isaac Hayden

Lineups

Jamaica
3-5-2Coach: R. Speid
Guatemala
4-4-2Coach: L. Tena
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.38
A. Blake6.01A. Blake
R. King6.16R. King
J. Latibeaudiere6.815J. Latibeaudiere
D. Lowe7.017D. Lowe
T. Campbell6.011T. Campbell
I. Hayden6.414I. Hayden
K. Palmer8.18K. Palmer
Karoy Anderson6.616K. Anderson
R. Webster5.822R. Webster
R. Burrell8.121R. Burrell
J. East6.212J. East
K. Navarro5.712K. Navarro
A. Herrera6.67A. Herrera
A. Yanes5.915A. Yanes
N. Samayoa6.33N. Samayoa
J. Morales6.416J. Morales
Ó. Santis8.818Ó. Santis
J. Rosales6.45J. Rosales
J. Aparicio6.223J. Aparicio
R. Muñoz5.911R. Muñoz
R. Rubín6.69R. Rubín
D. Lom6.914D. Lom

Jamaica Substitutes

7J. Lyle
2M. Freckleton
13A. Knight
10K. Dixon45'for Javon East51'6.3
19T. Gray
4C. Ainsworth
18D. Atkinson
9B. Cadamarteri72'for Rumarn Burrell6.5
20R. Cephas45'for Tyreece Campbell90+4'8.2
5Courtney Clarke65'for Kasey Palmer6.2
3Brandon Ashley Cover
23S. Davis

Guatemala Substitutes

10O. Escobar83'for Oscar Santis6.2
2C. Estrada
8M. Evans77'for Rubio Rubin5.8
19W. Fajardo57'for Rudy Josué Muñoz Boteo84'6.1
22J. Franco83'for Jorge Aparicio5.9
1N. Hagen
20K. Ramírez
13S. Robles
4K. Ruiz
6C. Calderón
21L. Morán
17Ó. Castellanos

Match Stats

JamaicaGuatemala
58%Ball Possession42%
1Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box14
3Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots5
14Fouls9
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
511Total Passes359
448Passes Accurate279
8Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

JamaicaJamaica
GuatemalaGuatemala
1554Elo Rating 1526
1.22Attack 2.19
2.20Defense 2.36
39%Hit Rate 61%
10.0Shots per Game 13.4
2.8Shots on Target 4.1
3.4Corners per Game 4.7
2.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

JamaicaJamaica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
GuatemalaGuatemala
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

JamaicaJamaica2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
GuatemalaGuatemala1Wins · 33%
1.7Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

CONCACAF Gold Cup17/06/2025
JamaicaGuatemala
01
World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF11/06/2025
JamaicaGuatemala
30
CONCACAF Gold Cup09/07/2023
GuatemalaJamaica
01

Recent Form

JamaicaJamaica
5W2D3L
27/05/2026
JamaicaIndia
20
W
31/03/2026
Congo DRJamaica
1000
L
27/03/2026
New CaledoniaJamaica
01
W
19/11/2025
JamaicaCuraçao
00
D
14/11/2025
Trinidad and TobagoJamaica
11
D
15/10/2025
JamaicaBermuda
40
W
11/10/2025
CuraçaoJamaica
20
L
10/09/2025
JamaicaTrinidad and Tobago
20
W
06/09/2025
BermudaJamaica
04
W
25/06/2025
PanamaJamaica
41
L
GuatemalaGuatemala
3W2D5L
07/06/2026
EcuadorGuatemala
30
L
05/06/2026
Czech RepublicGuatemala
31
L
19/11/2025
GuatemalaSuriname
31
W
14/11/2025
GuatemalaPanama
23
L
15/10/2025
El SalvadorGuatemala
01
W
10/10/2025
SurinameGuatemala
11
D
09/09/2025
PanamaGuatemala
11
D
05/09/2025
GuatemalaEl Salvador
01
L
03/07/2025
USAGuatemala
21
L
29/06/2025
CanadaGuatemala
5161
W

About the Jamaica vs Guatemala forecast

This is a CONCACAF Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONCACAF Nations League

More CONCACAF Nations League fixtures and forecasts are on the CONCACAF Nations League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.