Barcelona vs Alaves Prediction

Barcelona
6-1
Finished
HT 4-0
Alaves
Spotify Camp Nou, Barcelona·Adrian Cordero Vega 31/10/2026
BarcelonaBarcelona
6-1
Finished
AlavesAlaves

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel79%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+7.6%
Barcelona Rest
6 days
Alaves Rest
8 days

Barcelona vs Alaves: the result in context

Barcelona beat Alaves 6-1 in the La Liga on 31 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Barcelona had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Alaves.

Barcelona have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Barcelona tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.3 for Alaves.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
82%1.11
X
10%10.96
2
8%19.50
Double Chance
1X
92%1.02
X2
18%6.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.80
No
50%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.16 + 0.88 = 3.04
Over 1.5
88%1.04
Over 2.5
74%1.22
Over 3.5
55%1.54
Under 1.5
12%8.75
Under 2.5
26%4.29
Under 3.5
45%2.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.8 + 3.4 = 11.1
Over 8.5
73%1.26
Over 9.5
64%1.48
Over 10.5
53%1.84
Under 8.5
27%3.33
Under 9.5
36%2.40
Under 10.5
47%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%2.00
Over 4.5
24%3.02
Under 3.5
58%1.73
Under 4.5
76%1.36

Match Events

8'Raphael Dias BelloliAssist: Fermín López
23'Fermín LópezAssist: Lamine Yamal
27'Carlos ProtesoniFoul
40'PedriFoul
41'Raphael Dias BelloliAssist: Fermín López
45'Pedri INMarc Bernal out
45'Carlos Protesoni INToni Martínez out
45+1'Lamine YamalAssist: João Cancelo
45+3'Angel Pérez HidalgoFoul
55'Denis Suárez INPablo Ibanez Lumbreras out
55'Abderrahmane Rebbach INAitor Mañas out
57'João CanceloFoul
60'Pablo Ibanez LumbrerasDissent
62'João Cancelo INAlejandro Balde out
62'Raphael Dias Belloli INGabriel Jesus out
64'Lamine YamalAssist: Gabriel Jesus
64'Goal confirmedLamine Yamal
74'Lamine Yamal INAnthony Gordon out
74'Angel Pérez Hidalgo INHugo Novoa Ramos out
74'Lucas Boyé INMariano Díaz out
81'Anthony GordonAssist: Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante
82'Frenkie de Jong INGerard Martín out
84'Mariano Díaz

Lineups

Barcelona
4-3-3Coach: H. Flick
Alaves
4-5-1Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Avg rating7.38
Avg rating5.98
Joan García6.91J. García
B. Farinas7.14B. Farinas
Pau Cubarsí Paredes7.35P. Cubarsí Paredes
F. de Jong6.821F. de Jong
João Cancelo6.82J. Cancelo
Fermín9.57Fermín
Rodri7.716Rodri
Pedri6.68Pedri
Lamine Yamal9.210L. Yamal
Raphinha8.711Raphinha
K. Adeyemi6.414K. Adeyemi
Sivera5.31Sivera
Jonny5.417Jonny
N. Tenaglia5.614N. Tenaglia
V. Koski5.716V. Koski
Yusi5.53Yusi
Angel Pérez6.27A. Pérez
C. Benavídez5.723C. Benavídez
Guevara6.46Guevara
Denis Suárez6.34D. Suárez
A. Rebbach5.621A. Rebbach
L. Boyé6.215L. Boyé

Barcelona Substitutes

3Alejandro Balde62'for João Cancelo6.6
29H. Abdelkarim
22Marc Bernal45'for Pedri7.2
41A. Campos
9Gabriel Jesus62'for Raphael Dias Belloli7.0
6Gavi
17A. Gordon74'for Lamine Yamal81'7.5
25D. Livaković
18Gerard Martín82'for Frenkie de Jong6.7
13W. Szczęsny
30E. Tunkara
40Guillem Víctor

Alaves Substitutes

2N. Valentini
22Miguel Rodríguez
13A. Giménez
27X. Olaiz
12Hugo Novoa74'for Angel Pérez Hidalgo6.6
11Toni Martínez45'for Carlos Protesoni6.3
20Aitor Mañas55'for Abderrahmane Rebbach6.0
19Pablo Ibáñez55'for Denis Suárez60'5.9
9M. Díaz74'for Lucas Boyé84'7.1
24Selu Diallo
10Carles Aleñá
8Antonio Blanco

Match Stats

BarcelonaAlaves
77%Ball Possession23%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal1
10Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots3
14Fouls11
1Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves1
831Total Passes242
769Passes Accurate182
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

BarcelonaBarcelona
AlavesAlaves
2047Elo Rating 1734
2.79Attack 0.69
0.99Defense 1.74
50%Hit Rate 0%
19.4Shots per Game 13.4
7.7Shots on Target 4.1
5.5Corners per Game 3.3
1.7Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+314 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarcelonaBarcelona
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlavesAlaves
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BarcelonaBarcelona7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
AlavesAlaves1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

La Liga13/05/2026
AlavesBarcelona
10
La Liga29/11/2025
BarcelonaAlaves
31
La Liga02/02/2025
BarcelonaAlaves
10
La Liga06/10/2024
AlavesBarcelona
03
La Liga03/02/2024
AlavesBarcelona
13
La Liga12/11/2023
BarcelonaAlaves
21
La Liga23/01/2022
AlavesBarcelona
01
La Liga30/10/2021
BarcelonaAlaves
11
La Liga13/02/2021
BarcelonaAlaves
51
La Liga31/10/2020
AlavesBarcelona
11

Referee Profile

Adrian Cordero Vega160 matches

5.14Cards per match
4.96Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adrian Cordero Vega5.14
Other referees4.92

5.14 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.92).

Cards come from 131 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1191122:8+1428WWWWW
2BarcelonaBarcelona1090140:11+2927LWWWW
3Real MadridReal Madrid1080225:10+1524WWWLW
4Real BetisReal Betis1172218:15+323WDLWD
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1061319:18+119WWWWL
6SevillaSevilla1052316:16017WLDLW
7AlavesAlaves1033414:11+312DLLDL
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club933312:9+312LDDDD
9VillarrealVillarreal1133515:15012LWDLW
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1126310:10012LDWDW
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1033415:20-512LDDDW
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1025313:13011LDLDL
13EspanyolEspanyol1132613:14-111WLLDL
14OsasunaOsasuna1032510:20-1011LWLDL
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1032515:26-1111WLDLL
16ElcheElche1024414:17-310WDDWL
17LevanteLevante1124516:21-510LWDDL
18GetafeGetafe102355:15-109LDLWL
19ValenciaValencia101367:17-106LDDLW
20MalagaMalaga110568:21-135LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid1122:828
2BarcelonaBarcelona1040:1127
3Real MadridReal Madrid1025:1024
4Real BetisReal Betis1118:1523
5Real SociedadReal Sociedad1019:1819
6SevillaSevilla1016:1617
7AlavesAlaves1014:1112
8Athletic ClubAthletic Club912:912
9VillarrealVillarreal1115:1512
10Celta VigoCelta Vigo1110:1012
11Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano1015:2012
12Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna1013:1311
13EspanyolEspanyol1113:1411
14OsasunaOsasuna1010:2011
15Racing SantanderRacing Santander1015:2611
16ElcheElche1014:1710
17LevanteLevante1116:2110
18GetafeGetafe105:159
19ValenciaValencia107:176
20MalagaMalaga118:215
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Barcelona vs Alaves forecast

The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Barcelona and Alaves in the La Liga table

In the La Liga table, Barcelona are 2nd and Alaves 7th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Barcelona 40-11, Alaves 14-11. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.