Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK Prediction

Başakşehir
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Gaziantep FK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul·Alpaslan Sen, Türkiye 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.14
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.54
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Başakşehir Rest
7 days
Gaziantep FK Rest
7 days

Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK: result, form and history

Başakşehir beat Gaziantep FK 2-1 in the Süper Lig on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Başakşehir have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Gaziantep FK tend to win more corners, 5.3 a game to 3.3 for Başakşehir.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.64
X
23%4.15
2
20%4.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.19
X2
43%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.97 = 2.64
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.48
Over 3.5
39%2.23
Under 1.5
19%5.20
Under 2.5
40%2.42
Under 3.5
61%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.2 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.54
Over 9.5
53%1.91
Over 10.5
41%2.44
Under 8.5
35%2.31
Under 9.5
47%1.80
Under 10.5
59%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

9'E. Shomurodov
30'Goal Disallowed - offsideI. Brnic
36'O. Ak
45+3'S. Kharebashvili
46'S. Kharebashvili INO. Sahiner out
46'V. Gidado INA. Maxim out
46'A. Sylla INK. Calhanoglu out
51'J. Kaluzinski
57'T. Stewart INS. Dursun out
57'J. Kaluzinski INU. Gunes out
57'A. Skov Olsen INY. Sari out
58'D. Camara
64'D. Camara INK. Gassama out
66'S. DursunAssist: K. Kozlowski
72'U. Bozok INB. Yildirim out
72'I. Brnic INE. Visca out
75'O. Ba
79'U. Gunes
80'D. Sorescu
81'U. GunesAssist: E. Shomurodov
85'K. Kozlowski
85'L. Perez INS. Destici out
87'S. Dursun

Lineups

Başakşehir
4-2-3-1
Gaziantep FK
4-4-2
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.92
Muhammed Şengezer7.216M. Şengezer
Michał Karbownik6.633M. Karbownik
Emin Bayram6.923E. Bayram
Ousseynou Ba6.927O. Ba
Saba Kharebashvili6.238S. Kharebashvili
Olivier KemenC6.98O. Kemen
Jakub Kałuziński7.218J. Kałuziński
Andreas Skov Olsen7.970A. Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov7.314E. Shomurodov
Ivan Brnić6.977I. Brnić
Umut Bozok6.317U. Bozok
Kacper Tobiasz7.225K. Tobiasz
Luis Pérez6.72L. Pérez
Arda KızıldağC6.24A. Kızıldağ
Myenty Abena6.914M. Abena
Abakar Sylla6.521A. Sylla
Deian Sorescu7.518D. Sorescu
Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo6.38G. Victor Ntino-Emo
Ogün Özçiçek6.961O. Özçiçek
Drissa Camara7.03D. Camara
Trivante Stewart6.79T. Stewart
Kacper Kozłowski7.910K. Kozłowski

Başakşehir Substitutes

42Ömer Ali Şahiner46'for S. Kharebashvili6.7
7Yusuf Sarı57'for A. Skov Olsen6.9
20Umut Güneş57'for J. Kaluzinski79'81'7.3
91Bertuğ Yıldırım72'for U. Bozok6.5
10Edin Višća72'for I. Brnic6.7
98Deniz Dilmen
15Hamza Güreler
11Abbosbek Fayzullaev
4Onur Ergün
19Berkay Özcan

Gaziantep FK Substitutes

23Kerim Çalhanoğlu46'for A. Sylla6.5
44Alexandru Maxim46'for V. Gidado6.9
19Serdar Dursun57'for T. Stewart66'87'7.9
17Karamba Gassama64'for D. Camara6.7
35Ataberk Dadakdeniz
77Sabahattin Destici85'for L. Perez
5Efe Sarıkaya
7Juninho Bacuna
22Sontje Hansen
28Halil Dervişoğlu

Match Stats

BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
50%Ball Possession50%
4Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
28Fouls15
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves4
481Total Passes479
422Passes Accurate411
88%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
1702Elo Rating 1600
1.12Attack 1.50
1.53Defense 1.14
39%Hit Rate 27%
11.0Shots per Game 15.8
4.4Shots on Target 4.3
3.3Corners per Game 5.3
2.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+102 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK2Wins · 20%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig16/05/2026
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
12
Süper Lig22/12/2025
BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
51
Süper Lig20/04/2025
BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
21
Süper Lig23/11/2024
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
30
Süper Lig24/02/2024
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
02
Süper Lig07/10/2023
BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
20
Süper Lig30/05/2023
BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
30
Süper Lig05/01/2023
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
11
Süper Lig12/02/2022
BaşakşehirGaziantep FK
20
Süper Lig22/09/2021
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
10

Recent Form

Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK
4W2D4L
11/10/2026
Gaziantep FKÇorum FK
03
L
19/09/2026
KocaelisporGaziantep FK
20
L
14/09/2026
Gaziantep FKFenerbahçe
00
D
07/09/2026
GöztepeGaziantep FK
24
W
29/08/2026
Gaziantep FKRizespor
12
L
23/08/2026
EyüpsporGaziantep FK
01
W
15/08/2026
Gaziantep FKAlanyaspor
11
D
03/08/2026
IMT Novi BeogradGaziantep FK
03
W
28/07/2026
OFK BeogradGaziantep FK
12
W
16/05/2026
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
12
L

Referee Profile

Alpaslan Sen104 matches

4.62Cards per match
4.29Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alpaslan Sen4.62
Other referees4.67

4.62 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1081123:12+1125WWWWL
2AmedAmed1072125:11+1423WWWDW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1071224:8+1622WWWWW
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1051424:10+1416LLWWW
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1051421:16+516WLWWL
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1051411:9+216DWLLW
9GöztepeGöztepe1043321:17+415WWWWD
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1042417:16+114WLWDW
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK104249:15-614LWWDW
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
13RizesporRizespor1032511:15-411DLLLD
14KonyasporKonyaspor102266:13-78LWLDD
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK102269:17-88LLLLL
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1011810:26-164LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor101093:28-253LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1023:1225
2AmedAmed1025:1123
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1024:822
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1024:1016
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1021:1616
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1011:916
9GöztepeGöztepe1021:1715
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1017:1614
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK109:1514
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
13RizesporRizespor1011:1511
14KonyasporKonyaspor106:138
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK109:178
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1010:264
18EyüpsporEyüpspor103:283
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Başakşehir and Gaziantep FK in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Başakşehir are 10th and Gaziantep FK 15th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Başakşehir 17-16, Gaziantep FK 9-17. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.