Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor Prediction

Fenerbahçe
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Alanyaspor
Chobani Stadium, Istanbul·Cagdas Altay, Türkiye 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Value Analysis
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalSTRONGModel79%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Fenerbahçe Rest
2 days
Alanyaspor Rest
7 days

Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor: the result in context

Fenerbahçe beat Alanyaspor 3-0 in the Süper Lig on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fenerbahçe have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
75%1.26
X
16%5.55
2
9%9.35
Double Chance
1X
91%1.05
X2
25%3.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.83
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.38 + 0.83 = 3.21
Over 1.5
84%1.14
Over 2.5
64%1.49
Over 3.5
43%2.24
Under 1.5
16%5.15
Under 2.5
36%2.49
Under 3.5
57%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 4.1 = 10.8
Over 8.5
73%1.45
Over 9.5
62%1.75
Over 10.5
51%2.23
Under 8.5
27%2.49
Under 9.5
38%1.94
Under 10.5
49%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%-
Over 4.5
31%1.80
Under 3.5
50%-
Under 4.5
69%1.93

Match Events

17'M. Greenwood(Penalty missed)
18'Goal Disallowed - video reviewI. Kahveci
40'R. LukakuAssist: L. Mercan
48'Goal Disallowed - FoulI. Kahveci
60'Hwang Ui-Jo INM. Elia out
60'I. Kaya INI. Hagi out
67'M. Greenwood INK. Akturkoglu out
71'K. Akturkoglu
73'O. AydinFoul
74'A. Usluoglu INO. Ben Ali out
74'Ruan INE. Keskin out
77'I. Kahveci INM. Yandas out
77'L. Mercan INA. Brown out
81'O. Aydin IND. Nene out
81'R. Lukaku INV. Muriqi out
87'V. MuriqiAssist: K. Akturkoglu
90+1'B. Gezek INMaestro out

Lineups

Fenerbahçe
4-2-3-1
Alanyaspor
3-4-3
Avg rating7.28
Avg rating6.74
Ederson8.331Ederson
Nélson Semedo8.327N. Semedo
Milan ŠkriniarC7.037M. Škriniar
Nathan Aké7.215N. Aké
Levent Mercan8.022L. Mercan
N'Golo Kanté6.791N. Kanté
Mattéo Guendouzi8.36M. Guendouzi
İrfan Can Kahveci7.217İ. Can Kahveci
Mason Greenwood7.611M. Greenwood
Oğuz Aydın6.570O. Aydın
Romelu Lukaku6.69R. Lukaku
Paulo Victor7.248P. Victor
Nuno Lima7.23N. Lima
Fidan Aliti6.75F. Aliti
Fatih AksoyC5.720F. Aksoy
Florent Hadergjonaj7.394F. Hadergjonaj
Gaius Makouta7.342G. Makouta
Baran Ali Gezek7.755B. Ali Gezek
Ruan Pereira Duarte6.211R. Pereira Duarte
Hwang Ui-Jo6.716H. Ui-Jo
Arda Usluoğlu6.317A. Usluoğlu
Ibrahim Kaya6.97I. Kaya

Fenerbahçe Substitutes

34Mert Günok
3Archie Brown77'for L. Mercan6.7
14Yiğit Efe Demir
21Kojo Peprah Oppong
8Mert Hakan Yandaş77'for I. Kahveci6.6
28Bartuğ Elmaz
5İsmail Yüksek
7Kerem Aktürkoğlu67'for M. Greenwood71'7.9
19Vedat Muriqi81'for R. Lukaku87'7.2
45Dorgeles Nene81'for O. Aydin6.3

Alanyaspor Substitutes

10Ianis Hagi60'for I. Kaya6.7
23Mert Furkan Bayram
4Bedirhan Özyurt
88Yusuf Özdemir
26İzzet Çelik
8Enes Keskin74'for Ruan6.3
58Maestro90+1'for B. Gezek
14Emre Demir
9Omar Ben Ali74'for A. Usluoglu6.3
12Meschak Elia60'for Hwang Ui-Jo6.6

Match Stats

FenerbahçeAlanyaspor
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box9
8Blocked Shots3
18Fouls3
3Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves5
532Total Passes365
476Passes Accurate313
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
AlanyasporAlanyaspor
1833Elo Rating 1671
1.73Attack 1.59
1.01Defense 1.55
34%Hit Rate 41%
13.5Shots per Game 11.5
4.5Shots on Target 4.7
4.4Corners per Game 4.7
3.0Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+163 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AlanyasporAlanyaspor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FenerbahçeFenerbahçe7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
AlanyasporAlanyaspor1Wins · 10%
3.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig18/01/2026
AlanyasporFenerbahçe
23
Süper Lig17/09/2025
FenerbahçeAlanyaspor
22
Süper Lig09/02/2025
AlanyasporFenerbahçe
02
Süper Lig30/08/2024
FenerbahçeAlanyaspor
30
Süper Lig11/02/2024
FenerbahçeAlanyaspor
22
Süper Lig24/09/2023
AlanyasporFenerbahçe
01
Süper Lig19/03/2023
AlanyasporFenerbahçe
13
Süper Lig18/09/2022
FenerbahçeAlanyaspor
50
Süper Lig13/03/2022
AlanyasporFenerbahçe
25
Süper Lig24/10/2021
FenerbahçeAlanyaspor
12

Referee Profile

Cagdas Altay111 matches

4.54Cards per match
4.30Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Cagdas Altay4.54
Other referees4.76

4.54 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 96 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1081123:12+1125WWWWL
2AmedAmed1072125:11+1423WWWDW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1071224:8+1622WWWWW
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1061320:12+819DWLWL
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1045115:11+417DWWLD
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1051424:10+1416LLWWW
7Çorum FKÇorum FK1051421:16+516WLWWL
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1051411:9+216DWLLW
9GöztepeGöztepe1043321:17+415WWWWD
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1042417:16+114WLWDW
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK104249:15-614LWWDW
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor103349:16-712LLLDW
13RizesporRizespor1032511:15-411DLLLD
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1032512:18-611WLLDL
15KonyasporKonyaspor102266:13-78LWLDD
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK102269:17-88LLLLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1011810:26-164LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor101093:28-253LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1023:1225
2AmedAmed1025:1123
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1024:822
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1020:1219
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1015:1117
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1024:1016
7Çorum FKÇorum FK1021:1616
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1011:916
9GöztepeGöztepe1021:1715
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1017:1614
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK109:1514
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor109:1612
13RizesporRizespor1011:1511
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1012:1811
15KonyasporKonyaspor106:138
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK109:178
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1010:264
18EyüpsporEyüpspor103:283
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fenerbahçe and Alanyaspor in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Fenerbahçe are 6th and Alanyaspor 12th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Fenerbahçe 24-10, Alanyaspor 9-16. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fenerbahçe have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.