Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction

Trabzonspor
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Beşiktaş
Papara Park, Trabzon·Cihan Aydin, Türkiye 19/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap-3.1%
Trabzonspor Rest
4 days
Beşiktaş Rest
3 days

Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş: the result in context

Trabzonspor beat Beşiktaş 2-0 in the Süper Lig on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Referee Cihan Aydin averages 4.19 cards a game, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.42
X
26%3.72
2
34%2.57
Double Chance
1X
66%1.46
X2
60%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 1.3 = 2.95
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
39%2.30
Under 1.5
18%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.40
Under 3.5
61%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.9 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.37
Over 9.5
56%1.67
Over 10.5
45%2.09
Under 8.5
33%2.75
Under 9.5
44%2.07
Under 10.5
55%1.66
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.8 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
63%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
37%-

Match Events

21'O. Tufan
32'F. MirettiRoughing
33'FabinhoTripping
60'E. TopcuHolding
63'O. Tufan INT. Jabol-Folcarelli out
71'M. SalahAssist: Franculino
77'F. Miretti INK. Ouattara out
77'V. Cerny INOh Hyeon-Gyu out
77'R. Yilmaz INI. Fakili out
81'A. Simsir INN. Saviolo out
85'I. FakiliHolding
85'J. Olaitan INW. Ndidi out
88'Franculino INU. Nayir out
89'E. Muci INC. Ozkacar out
90'S. Ozcan INK. Kayra Yilmaz out
90'K. OuattaraHolding

Lineups

Trabzonspor
4-2-3-1
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1
Avg rating7.17
Avg rating6.79
André Onana7.924A. Onana
Wagner Pina6.920W. Pina
Chibuike Nwaiwu7.627C. Nwaiwu
Stefan SavićC7.315S. Savić
Sidny Lopes Cabral6.955S. Lopes Cabral
Ozan Tufan7.211O. Tufan
Fabinho6.36Fabinho
Mohamed Salah7.610M. Salah
Ernest Muçi6.77E. Muçi
Aral Şimşir7.758A. Şimşir
Franculino Djú7.39F. Djú
Alexander Nübel7.21A. Nübel
Amir Murillo6.362A. Murillo
Emmanuel Agbadou7.312E. Agbadou
Emirhan Topçu7.353E. Topçu
Rıdvan YılmazC6.933R. Yılmaz
Salih Özcan7.06S. Özcan
Václav Černý6.318V. Černý
Junior Olaitan6.715J. Olaitan
Fabio Miretti6.721F. Miretti
Leandro Trossard7.319L. Trossard
Dušan Vlahović6.528D. Vlahović

Trabzonspor Substitutes

96Erol Can Çolak
1Ahmet Doğan Yıldırım
4Samet Akaydın
81Mustafa Kuzey Akcay
39Cenk Özkaçar89'for E. Muci
26Tim Jabol-Folcarelli63'for O. Tufan6.6
77Metehan Mimaroğlu
70Noah Saviolo81'for A. Simsir
99Ali Habeşoğlu
14Umut Nayir88'for Franculino

Beşiktaş Substitutes

80Doğan Alemdar
35Tiago Djaló
22Taylan Bulut
50Ümit Akdağ
11Kassoum Ouattara77'for F. Miretti90'6.7
8Kartal Kayra Yılmaz90'for S. Ozcan
4Wilfred Ndidi85'for J. Olaitan
29İlhan Fakılı77'for R. Yilmaz85'6.5
9Hyeon-gyu Oh77'for V. Cerny6.3
17Ernest Poku

Match Stats

TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots19
8Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box9
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls17
2Offsides5
7Goalkeeper Saves6
291Total Passes474
221Passes Accurate409
76%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
1853Elo Rating 1843
3.01Attack 1.78
1.86Defense 1.68
100%Hit Rate 58%
14.3Shots per Game 14.8
6.9Shots on Target 5.1
4.9Corners per Game 4.1
2.1Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 1.2 in first half)
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
BeşiktaşBeşiktaş3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig09/05/2026
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
12
Süper Lig14/12/2025
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
33
Süper Lig15/02/2025
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
21
Süper Lig15/09/2024
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
11
Türkiye Kupası23/05/2024
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
32
Süper Lig04/02/2024
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
20
Süper Lig17/09/2023
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
30
Süper Lig16/04/2023
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
00
Süper Lig16/10/2022
BeşiktaşTrabzonspor
22
Süper Lig03/04/2022
TrabzonsporBeşiktaş
11

Referee Profile

Cihan Aydin135 matches

4.19Cards per match
3.99Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Cihan Aydin4.19
Other referees4.81

4.19 cards a match, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.81).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1081123:12+1125WWWWL
2AmedAmed1072125:11+1423WWWDW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1071224:8+1622WWWWW
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1051424:10+1416LLWWW
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1051421:16+516WLWWL
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1051411:9+216DWLLW
9GöztepeGöztepe1043321:17+415WWWWD
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1042417:16+114WLWDW
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK104249:15-614LWWDW
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
13RizesporRizespor1032511:15-411DLLLD
14KonyasporKonyaspor102266:13-78LWLDD
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK102269:17-88LLLLL
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1011810:26-164LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor101093:28-253LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1023:1225
2AmedAmed1025:1123
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1024:822
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1024:1016
6Çorum FKÇorum FK1021:1616
7KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
8KocaelisporKocaelispor1011:916
9GöztepeGöztepe1021:1715
10BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1017:1614
11Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK109:1514
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
13RizesporRizespor1011:1511
14KonyasporKonyaspor106:138
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK109:178
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1010:264
18EyüpsporEyüpspor103:283
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş forecast

As a derby, this Süper Lig meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Trabzonspor are 3rd in the Süper Lig, 4 points ahead of Beşiktaş in 4th. League goal record so far: Trabzonspor 24-8, Beşiktaş 18-10. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Trabzonspor have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.