Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.58
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Bucaramanga Rest
4 days
Deportivo Pasto Rest
4 days
Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto: result, form and history
Bucaramanga beat Deportivo Pasto 2-1 in the Primera A on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Steven Camargo averages 6.85 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
157%1.58
X24%3.71
219%5.80
Double Chance
1X81%1.11
X243%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%2.15
No54%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.71 = 2.41
Over 1.570%1.36
Over 2.545%2.15
Over 3.527%3.88
Under 1.530%2.89
Under 2.555%1.67
Under 3.573%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.9 = 8.9
Over 8.553%2.00
Over 9.540%2.66
Over 10.529%3.76
Under 8.547%1.74
Under 9.560%1.41
Under 10.571%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.548%-
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.552%-
Match Events
23'H. MancillaAssist: J. Micolta Piedahita
31'F. Sambueza(Penalty missed)
43'E. Batalla
56'J. Perlaza INM. Pisano out
61'J. Rios INM. S. Jimenez out
61'M. Gil INJ. Obregon out
66'L. Pons
75'F. Hinestroza INA. Murrilo out
75'F. Leys
76'E. C. Serje Orozco IND. Chavez out
77'F. Leys INJ. Mendez out
80'L. Flores INV. Cantillo out
82'J. Mendez
84'N. Castrillon
85'A. Murrilo
90+1'F. Sambueza INA. Gutierrez out
90+1'N. Castrillon INK. Londono out
90+5'D. Chavez
90+5'F. Charrupi
Lineups
BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
4-4-2Avg ratingAvg rating
25C. Fiermarín
6N. Castrillón
24J. Ortiz
4J. García
8F. Hinestroza
21F. Charrupí
28L. Flores
22F. Castro
C10F. Sambueza
27L. Pons
17E. Batalla
12G. Banguera
33M. Garavito
C2F. Torijano
5N. Gil Uribe
3J. Ossa
15H. Mancilla
8E. Serje
25F. Leys
18J. Micolta
16M. Gil
7J. PerlazaBucaramanga Substitutes
16Luis Matheus
19Aldair Gutiérrez90+1'for F. Sambueza
3Martín Rea
7Kevin Londoño90+1'for N. Castrillon
30Víctor Cantillo80'for L. Flores
20Aldair Zárate
32Nilzo Ramírez
9Brandon Caicedo
5Adrián Murillo75'for F. Hinestroza85'
Deportivo Pasto Substitutes
36Julián Quiñones
6Santiago Jiménez61'for J. Rios
27Hervin Goyes
10Diego Chávez76'for E. C. Serje Orozco90+5'
17John Méndez77'for F. Leys82'
32Matías Pisano56'for J. Perlaza
24Kevin Santacruz
9Jorge Obregón61'for M. Gil
13Luis Marquínez
Match Stats
BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto 64%Ball Possession36%
2Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards4
21Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box10
11Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
13Fouls11
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
505Total Passes282
417Passes Accurate208
83%Pass Accuracy74%
Team Comparison
BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto1589Elo Rating 1458
1.05Attack 0.27
1.73Defense 1.70
14%Hit Rate 27%
9.6Shots per Game 9.2
2.9Shots on Target 1.5
2.7Corners per Game 2.6
2.4Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+131 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Bucaramanga- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Bucaramanga4Wins · 40%Draws220%
Deportivo Pasto4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%1.7Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
07/02/2026Deportivo PastoBucaramanga00
14/11/2025Deportivo PastoBucaramanga30
25/05/2025BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto21
25/10/2024BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto00
18/10/2024Deportivo PastoBucaramanga12
24/08/2024Deportivo PastoBucaramanga12
20/02/2024BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto10
22/09/2023BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto02
14/04/2023Deportivo PastoBucaramanga10
07/08/2022Deportivo PastoBucaramanga10
Recent Form
Bucaramanga4W4D2L
27/10/2026
Santa FeBucaramangaBucaramanga
Águilas DoradasBucaramanga
Junior
Once CaldasBucaramangaBucaramanga
Internacional de BogotaBucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo PereiraBucaramanga
Deportivo CaliBucaramanga
Santa FeBucaramanga21
L24/10/2026
ChicoBucaramanga
ChicoBucaramanga10
L18/10/2026Bucaramanga
America de Cali
14/10/2026BucaramangaAmerica de Cali11
DBucaramangaÁguilas Doradas11
D05/10/2026BucaramangaJunior31
W26/09/2026Once CaldasBucaramanga13
W20/09/2026BucaramangaInternacional de Bogota20
W18/09/2026BucaramangaIndependiente Medellin22
D13/09/2026Deportivo PereiraBucaramanga13
W31/08/2026Deportivo CaliBucaramanga11
DDeportivo Pasto3W2D5L
26/10/2026
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
Atletico NacionalDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Fortaleza FCChicoDeportivo PastoDeportivo PastoOnce CaldasAmerica de CaliDeportivo PastoDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto01
W23/10/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Pasto30
L20/10/2026Deportivo Pasto
Alianza Valledupar
04/10/2026Deportivo PastoAlianza Valledupar01
LDeportivo PastoFortaleza FC00
D26/09/2026ChicoDeportivo Pasto30
L20/09/2026Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas10
W15/09/2026America de CaliDeportivo Pasto01
W10/09/2026Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
L06/09/2026
CucutaDeportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira12
LReferee Profile
6.85Cards per match
6.58Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.85 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.87).
Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LLWLW |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:14 | +19 | 36 | WWWDW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26:17 | +9 | 29 | LWLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 25 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 12 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 17 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 17 | 26:17 | 29 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 17:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar 29/10/26
- America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC 30/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe 30/10/26
- Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares 30/10/26
- Llaneros vs Junior 01/11/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Chico 01/11/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Alianza Valledupar 02/11/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC 02/11/26
About the Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Bucaramanga and Deportivo Pasto in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Deportivo Pasto are 3rd and Bucaramanga 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Bucaramanga 26-20, Deportivo Pasto 29-25. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.