Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
Deportivo Pasto Rest
5 days
Once Caldas Rest
3 days
Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas: the result in context
Deportivo Pasto beat Once Caldas 1-0 in the Primera A on 20 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Once Caldas had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Deportivo Pasto.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
126%3.50
X28%3.24
246%2.05
Double Chance
1X55%1.68
X274%1.27
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.83
No48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.16 = 2.30
Over 1.570%1.33
Over 2.545%2.05
Over 3.525%3.75
Under 1.530%3.10
Under 2.555%1.72
Under 3.575%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.8 = 9.3
Over 8.555%1.75
Over 9.543%2.15
Over 10.537%2.85
Under 8.545%1.97
Under 9.557%1.59
Under 10.563%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.7 = 5.3
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.562%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.538%-
Match Events
19'Card upgrade confirmedMateo Zuleta García
21'Mateo Zuleta GarcíaViolent conduct
25'Jader QuinonesFoul
45'Michael BarriosFoul
45'Harrinson Mancilla INDiego Gabriel Chavez out
45'Nicolas Gil INPatrick Preciado out
49'Diego Gabriel ChavezAssist: Jonathan Perlaza
57'Andres ColoradoFoul
58'Mateo GaravitoFoul
64'Mateo Garavito INSantiago Jiménez out
64'Matias Pisano INYeiler Goez out
66'Jader Quinones INHelieyker Guzman out
75'Michael Barrios INEdwin Torres out
75'Dayro Moreno INJefry Zapata out
77'Yeiler GoezFoul
83'Jonathan Perlaza INSantiago Cordoba out
85'Andrés Roa INJuan Pablo Nieto out
90'Diego Gabriel Chavez
Lineups
Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas
4-2-3-1Coach: H. HerreraAvg ratingAvg rating
12G. Banguera
33M. Garavito2121D. Osede
5N. Gil
3J. Ossa
32M. Pisano
15H. Mancilla
25F. Leys
27H. Goyes
7J. Perlaza
18J. Micolta
99J. Parra
22J. Cuesta
16J. Castaño
30D. Londoño
3A. Correa
23A. Colorado
20A. Roa
7M. Barrios
42J. Quiñónes
28M. Zuleta
17D. MorenoDeportivo Pasto Substitutes
1E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
10D. Chávez45'for Harrinson Mancilla49'90'
29S. Córdoba83'for Jonathan Perlaza
23Y. Góez64'for Matias Pisano77'
6S. Jiménez64'for Mateo Garavito
35F. Martinez
26H. Valencia
19P. Preciado45'for Nicolas Gil
2F. Torijano
Once Caldas Substitutes
33J. Patiño
29E. Torres75'for Michael Barrios
5J. Nieto85'for Andrés Roa
6D. Marmolejo
21H. Guzman66'for Jader Quinones
19T. García
12J. Camargo
15J. Alvarado
14J. Zapata75'for Dayro Moreno
Match Stats
Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas 63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box6
10Shots Outside Box10
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls8
4Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves4
483Total Passes279
421Passes Accurate216
8Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas1434Elo Rating 1611
0.14Attack 1.23
1.47Defense 2.14
14%Hit Rate 42%
9.9Shots per Game 14.2
1.9Shots on Target 5.5
3.4Corners per Game 4.6
1.3Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo Pasto- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Deportivo Pasto4Wins · 40%Draws110%
Once Caldas5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
14/03/2026Once CaldasDeportivo Pasto42
09/11/2025Once CaldasDeportivo Pasto10
02/10/2025Once CaldasDeportivo Pasto40
29/08/2025Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas12
19/05/2025Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas21
14/10/2024Once CaldasDeportivo Pasto21
30/03/2024Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas00
30/08/2023Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas10
14/03/2023Once CaldasDeportivo Pasto01
23/08/2022Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas20
Recent Form
Deportivo Pasto2W2D6L
15/09/2026
America de CaliDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de BogotaDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
LlanerosDeportivo Pasto
Deportivo Cali
MillonariosDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
Águilas Doradas
America de CaliDeportivo Pasto01
W10/09/2026Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo PastoIndependiente Medellin14
L06/09/2026
CucutaDeportivo Pasto
01/09/2026CucutaDeportivo Pasto22
DDeportivo PastoDeportivo Pereira12
L28/08/2026Internacional de BogotaDeportivo Pasto11
D23/08/2026Deportivo PastoLlaneros01
L09/08/2026Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali02
L05/08/2026MillonariosDeportivo Pasto20
L01/08/2026Deportivo PastoÁguilas Doradas12
L29/07/2026
Bogota FCDeportivo Pasto
Bogota FCDeportivo Pasto03
WOnce Caldas4W3D3L
17/09/2026Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
14/09/2026Once CaldasDeportes Tolima10
WOnce CaldasDeportivo Cali12
L10/09/2026Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar10
W05/09/2026
ChicoOnce Caldas20
L02/09/2026
Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas12
W24/08/2026
JuniorOnce Caldas11
D10/08/2026
JaguaresOnce Caldas11
D06/08/2026Once CaldasAmerica de Cali01
L03/08/2026
Santa FeOnce Caldas22
D30/07/2026
EnvigadoOnce Caldas
EnvigadoOnce Caldas03
WReferee Profile
6.31Cards per match
6.15Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.31 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.91).
Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDDLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 | LWDLW |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin 18/09/26
- Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira 18/09/26
- Millonarios vs Chico 19/09/26
- Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta 20/09/26
- Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota 20/09/26
- Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali 21/09/26
- Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional 21/09/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares 23/09/26
About the Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportivo Pasto and Once Caldas in the Primera A table
Deportivo Pasto and Once Caldas are close in the Primera A table, 3rd and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Deportivo Pasto 29-25, Once Caldas 31-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.