Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Llaneros Rest
8 days
Atletico Nacional Rest
3 days
Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional: result, form and history
Llaneros beat Atletico Nacional 2-0 in the Primera A on 21 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Atletico Nacional had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Llaneros.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them. Referee Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa averages 6.94 cards a game, 0.84 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
121%4.60
X27%3.56
252%1.70
Double Chance
1X48%2.05
X279%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.83
No48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.83 + 1.44 = 2.27
Over 1.572%1.29
Over 2.547%1.94
Over 3.527%3.30
Under 1.528%3.30
Under 2.553%1.81
Under 3.573%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.6 + 5.6 = 9.2
Over 8.555%1.52
Over 9.542%1.94
Over 10.531%2.47
Under 8.545%2.27
Under 9.558%1.78
Under 10.569%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.1 = 4.4
Over 3.565%-
Over 4.546%-
Under 3.535%-
Under 4.554%-
Match Events
15'Yorleys MenaAssist: Jhon Vasquez
24'Howell MenaFoul
32'Jhon VasquezDissent
34'Frank CastanedaAssist: Jimmy Medranda
38'Juan CastillaFoul
45'Juan Zapata INJorman Campuzano out
45'Xavi Eshayth Rios Blanquicet INElías Lautaro Cabrera out
45'Jhon Vasquez INJoel Jesús Contreras Torres out
45'Neider Ospina INKelvin Osorio out
45'Juan Rengifo INJames Rodríguez out
45+2'Neider OspinaDissent
58'Chicho Arango INIan Carlo Poveda out
59'Yorleys Mena INCarlos Cortés out
71'Frank CastanedaDissent
72'Milton Casco INYeicar Perlaza out
75'Frank Castaneda INDaniel Mantilla out
83'Luis Miranda INJuan Ramirez out
85'Red card cancelledYeicar Perlaza
85'Yeicar PerlazaFoul
90+5'Jorman CampuzanoFoul
Lineups
LlanerosAtletico Nacional
4-2-3-1Coach: L. GonzálezAvg ratingAvg rating
22R. Romaña
26D. Quintero
2H. Mena
21F. Meza
94J. Medranda
13J. Castilla
95J. Vásquez
7L. Miranda
10N. Ospina
32F. Castañeda
17Y. Mena
25L. Marquinez
6A. Román
3N. Parra
4C. Haydar
20M. Casco
80J. Zapata
31X. Rios
29A. Sarmiento
19J. Rengifo
7M. Moreno
17C. ArangoLlaneros Substitutes
70J. Contreras45'for Jhon Vasquez
9C. Cortés59'for Yorleys Mena
12J. Loaiza
19D. Mantilla75'for Frank Castaneda
23A. Moralez
33K. Osorio45'for Neider Ospina
8J. RamÃrez83'for Luis Miranda
14Kevin Rincón
36Alisson Sánchez
Atletico Nacional Substitutes
99I. Poveda58'for Chicho Arango
15A. Reyes
23J. Rodríguez45'for Juan Rengifo
24J. Rosa
30K. Parra
21J. Campuzano45'for Juan Zapata90+5'
22E. Cabrera45'for Xavi Eshayth Rios Blanquicet
44E. Zea
27Y. Perlaza72'for Milton Casco85'
Match Stats
LlanerosAtletico Nacional 21%Ball Possession79%
4Corner Kicks9
5Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots9
15Fouls12
2Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves3
141Total Passes540
76Passes Accurate480
9Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
LlanerosAtletico Nacional1469Elo Rating 1759
0.36Attack 2.15
1.24Defense 2.46
19%Hit Rate 83%
12.1Shots per Game 11.8
4.7Shots on Target 4.9
6.5Corners per Game 3.7
5.0Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Llaneros- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Llaneros0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Atletico Nacional3Wins · 100%
3Wins · 100%2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
14/03/2026Atletico NacionalLlaneros20
31/10/2025LlanerosAtletico Nacional03
12/05/2025Atletico NacionalLlaneros21
Recent Form
Llaneros4W2D4L
12/09/2026
Internacional de BogotaLlanerosLlaneros
Millonarios
Deportivo PastoLlaneros
Águilas DoradasLlanerosLlaneros
Fortaleza FC
BucaramangaLlanerosLlaneros
Deportivo Pereira
Internacional de BogotaLlaneros32
L08/09/2026Llaneros
Deportes Tolima
LlanerosDeportes Tolima12
L03/09/2026
QuindioLlaneros
QuindioLlaneros3141
W30/08/2026
Independiente MedellinLlaneros
28/08/2026Independiente MedellinLlaneros21
LLlanerosMillonarios02
L23/08/2026Deportivo PastoLlaneros01
W19/08/2026Águilas DoradasLlaneros11
D04/08/2026LlanerosFortaleza FC31
W31/07/2026BucaramangaLlaneros11
D25/07/2026LlanerosDeportivo Pereira10
WAtletico Nacional9W0D1L
17/09/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico NacionalAtletico NacionalÁguilas DoradasAtletico Nacional
Deportivo Cali
Alianza ValleduparAtletico NacionalFortaleza FCAtletico Nacional
America de CaliAtletico Nacional
JaguaresAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional23
W13/09/2026Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas20
W08/09/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali30
W30/08/2026Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional15
W27/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali
23/08/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali21
WFortaleza FCAtletico Nacional12
W10/08/2026America de CaliAtletico Nacional10
L02/08/2026JaguaresAtletico Nacional03
W29/07/2026
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional
Tigres FCAtletico Nacional02
W21/07/2026Atletico NacionalTigres FC
Atletico NacionalTigres FC20
WReferee Profile
6.94Cards per match
6.22Yellow cards per match
0.72Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.94 cards a match, 0.84 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.10).
Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LLWLW |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | LDWDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LLWDL |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LWLWL |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | +9 | 28 | WLLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 25 | LLWLW |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 20 | LDWDD |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 18 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 16 | WWLWW |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 16 | LWLWL |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 12 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 17 | 26:10 | 33 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 17 | 25:25 | 26 |
| 8 | Águilas Doradas | 17 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 17 | 19:23 | 20 |
| 14 | Alianza Valledupar | 17 | 17:29 | 18 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 17 | 23:27 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 17 | 13:28 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 17 | 17:25 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta 20/09/26
- Deportivo Pasto vs Once Caldas 20/09/26
- Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota 20/09/26
- Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali 21/09/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Jaguares 23/09/26
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali 23/09/26
- America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas 24/09/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios 25/09/26
About the Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Llaneros and Atletico Nacional in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Atletico Nacional are 1st and Llaneros 14th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Llaneros 17-20, Atletico Nacional 35-15. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.