Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction

Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka·Masuya Ueda 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.52
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseHighGap-6.1%
Cerezo Osaka Rest
2 days
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
2 days

Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale: result, form and history

Kawasaki Frontale beat Cerezo Osaka 4-2 in the J1 League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.75
X
26%3.65
2
40%2.37
Double Chance
1X
60%1.57
X2
66%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.44
No
38%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.27 = 2.62
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
58%1.52
Over 3.5
38%2.32
Under 1.5
20%5.00
Under 2.5
42%2.35
Under 3.5
62%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Pedro RomanoAssist: Sota Miura
19'Ayumu Ohata
31'Asahi Sasaki INReon Yamahara out
36'Pedro RomanoFoul
41'Reon YamaharaFoul
43'Lucas Fernandes(Penalty)
45'Pedro Romano INYuichi Maruyama out
45+3'Kento TachibanadaAssist: Reon Yamahara
48'Yota KomiAssist: Shunta Tanaka
53'Jackson IrvineFoul
65'Pablo SabbagDissent
66'Pablo Sabbag INSolomon Sakuragawa out
74'Yasuto WakizakaAssist: Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa
75'Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa INYuto Ozeki out
76'Lucas Fernandes INShinji Kagawa out
76'Yota Komi INYumeki Yokoyama out
85'Jackson Irvine INKosei Okazawa out
86'Derik Lacerda INYu Kobayashi out
87'Kento Tachibanada INSo Kawahara out
89'Yuto OzekiAssist: So Kawahara

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1Coach: Pablo Machín
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Hasebe
Avg rating6.02
Avg rating6.68
Kosuke Nakamura5.523K. Nakamura
Dion-Johan Cools5.727D. Cools
T. Takahashi6.297T. Takahashi
R. Inoue6.44R. Inoue
H. Okuda6.316H. Okuda
S. Tanaka7.410S. Tanaka
J. Irvine5.536J. Irvine
A. Ohata5.066A. Ohata
Lucas Fernandes6.177L. Fernandes
Y. Komi7.041Y. Komi
P. Sabbag5.619P. Sabbag
S. Brodersen6.149S. Brodersen
A. Sasaki6.05A. Sasaki
Pedro Romano6.94P. Romano
F. Uremović6.722F. Uremović
S. Miura7.413S. Miura
K. Tachibanada8.28K. Tachibanada
Y. Yamamoto7.26Y. Yamamoto
T. Ito6.317T. Ito
Y. Wakizaka7.814Y. Wakizaka
Marcinho6.523Marcinho
Derik Lacerda6.297D. Lacerda

Cerezo Osaka Substitutes

31K. Abe
15Javi Hernández
8S. Kagawa76'for Lucas Fernandes5.8
2T. Nakamura
28K. Okazawa85'for Jackson Irvine5.8
17R. Sakata
9S. Sakuragawa66'for Pablo Sabbag6.1
7S. Uejo
14Y. Yokoyama76'for Yota Komi5.9

Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes

25Shuto Yamaichi
29R. Yamahara31'for Asahi Sasaki41'6.1
1L. Yamaguchi
16Y. Ozeki75'for Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa89'6.9
34Ryuki Osa
20K. Mochiyama
28Y. Maruyama45'for Pedro Romano6.4
11Y. Kobayashi86'for Derik Lacerda6.5
19S. Kawahara87'for Kento Tachibanada6.1

Match Stats

Cerezo OsakaKawasaki Frontale
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
12Total Shots9
3Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
10Fouls15
0Offsides7
1Goalkeeper Saves1
412Total Passes591
329Passes Accurate528
14Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
1596Elo Rating 1671
2.22Attack 2.61
1.13Defense 2.24
41%Hit Rate 100%
16.1Shots per Game 10.5
4.1Shots on Target 4.5
3.1Corners per Game 3.0
3.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1Wins · 10%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League25/10/2025
Cerezo OsakaKawasaki Frontale
20
J1 League18/05/2025
Kawasaki FrontaleCerezo Osaka
20
J1 League14/07/2024
Kawasaki FrontaleCerezo Osaka
11
J1 League13/04/2024
Cerezo OsakaKawasaki Frontale
10
J1 League02/09/2023
Cerezo OsakaKawasaki Frontale
30
J1 League18/03/2023
Kawasaki FrontaleCerezo Osaka
00
J-League Cup10/08/2022
Kawasaki FrontaleCerezo Osaka
22
J-League Cup03/08/2022
Cerezo OsakaKawasaki Frontale
11
J1 League02/07/2022
Cerezo OsakaKawasaki Frontale
21
J1 League02/04/2022
Kawasaki FrontaleCerezo Osaka
14

Recent Form

Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka
5W3D2L
14/10/2026
Gainare TottoriCerezo Osaka
23
W
10/10/2026
Cerezo OsakaYokohama F. Marinos
00
D
07/10/2026
Cerezo OsakaKagoshima United
20
W
29/09/2026
Fujieda MYFCCerezo Osaka
12
W
19/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
11
D
12/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka
61
L
06/09/2026
Cerezo OsakaTokyo Verdy
00
D
02/09/2026
Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol
20
W
29/08/2026
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka
10
L
26/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaFC Gifu
31
W
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
7W1D2L
14/10/2026
Jubilo IwataKawasaki Frontale
04
W
11/10/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
12
L
07/10/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTegevajaro Miyazaki
20
W
29/09/2026
Roasso KumamotoKawasaki Frontale
01
W
19/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKashima
33
D
12/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
01
W
06/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
31
W
02/09/2026
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale
21
L
29/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
42
W
26/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SC
31
W

Referee Profile

Masuya Ueda149 matches

2.70Cards per match
2.58Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Masuya Ueda2.70
Other referees2.53

2.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.53).

Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1393131:8+2330WWDWW
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1392232:10+2229WWLWW
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1384130:10+2028DDWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1391329:19+1028WWDLW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382321:12+926WDLWL
6KashimaKashima1372429:22+723WLDWW
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1364327:22+522LWWWL
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1356220:14+621WDDDD
9UrawaUrawa1370621:27-621LWWWL
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1351715:21-616LLWLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1342715:21-614LDDWW
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1335513:23-1014LDDLD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1342710:22-1214LLLDW
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1334617:23-613WDDLL
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1333716:21-512LLWLD
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1326514:21-712DDWDL
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1325611:22-1111WWDLL
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1324715:24-910WDLDD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1323812:25-139LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka13211013:24-117LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1331:830
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1332:1029
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1330:1028
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1329:1928
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1321:1226
6KashimaKashima1329:2223
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1327:2222
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1320:1421
9UrawaUrawa1321:2721
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1315:2116
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1315:2114
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1313:2314
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1310:2214
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1317:2313
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1316:2112
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1314:2112
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1311:2211
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1315:2410
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1312:259
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1313:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cerezo Osaka and Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kawasaki Frontale are 7th and Cerezo Osaka 12th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Cerezo Osaka 13-23, Kawasaki Frontale 27-22. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kawasaki Frontale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.