Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction

J1 LeagueJapan Japan · Regular Season - 9
Kawasaki Frontale
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Nagoya Grampus
Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki·Yuzo Sutani 11/10/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
1-2
Finished
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel57%SurpriseHighGap-2.8%
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
3 days
Nagoya Grampus Rest
11 days

Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus: result, form and history

Nagoya Grampus beat Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 in the J1 League on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Kawasaki Frontale had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Nagoya Grampus.

Kawasaki Frontale have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Referee Yuzo Sutani averages 2.05 cards a game, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.76
X
23%4.00
2
20%4.00
Double Chance
1X
80%1.22
X2
43%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.49
No
40%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 1 = 2.82
Over 1.5
81%1.14
Over 2.5
61%1.51
Over 3.5
38%2.30
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
39%2.40
Under 3.5
62%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.8 = 9.6
Over 8.5
59%1.60
Over 9.5
48%1.99
Over 10.5
38%2.50
Under 8.5
41%2.24
Under 9.5
52%1.75
Under 10.5
62%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.6 = 3.2
Over 3.5
41%-
Over 4.5
23%-
Under 3.5
59%-
Under 4.5
77%-

Match Events

2'Haruya FujiiAssist: Tsukasa Morishima
4'Yasuto Wakizaka
11'Kensuke NagaiFoul
40'Reon YamaharaFoul
58'Yuki NogamiFoul
64'Derik Lacerda INKyosuke Mochiyama out
64'Reon Yamahara INAsahi Sasaki out
65'Kensuke Nagai INYuya Yamagishi out
65'Yuki Nogami INMateus out
68'Ryuji Izumi INHidemasa Koda out
68'Takuya Uchida INMasahito Ono out
72'Yuki Yamamoto INYuto Ozeki out
72'Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa INRyuki Osa out
73'Yuya Yamagishi
83'Yasuto Wakizaka INAkihiro Ienaga out
90+1'Tsukasa Morishima INYota Sato out

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Hasebe
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-1-2Coach: Michael Petrovic
Avg rating6.36
Avg rating6.66
S. Brodersen6.249S. Brodersen
R. Yamahara6.429R. Yamahara
Pedro Romano6.94P. Romano
F. Uremović6.522F. Uremović
S. Miura6.613S. Miura
K. Tachibanada7.18K. Tachibanada
Y. Yamamoto6.56Y. Yamamoto
T. Ito5.817T. Ito
Y. Wakizaka7.214Y. Wakizaka
Marcinho6.023Marcinho
Derik Lacerda6.197D. Lacerda
D. Schmidt6.81D. Schmidt
T. Hara6.670T. Hara
H. Fujii7.513H. Fujii
T. Takamine6.531T. Takamine
Y. Nogami6.72Y. Nogami
S. Inagaki6.615S. Inagaki
T. Morishima7.714T. Morishima
R. Izumi6.57R. Izumi
T. Uchida6.417T. Uchida
K. Nagai6.018K. Nagai
Y. Kimura6.222Y. Kimura

Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes

41A. Ienaga83'for Yasuto Wakizaka6.1
19S. Kawahara
28Y. Maruyama
20K. Mochiyama64'for Derik Lacerda6.2
34Ryuki Osa72'for Marcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa5.9
16Y. Ozeki72'for Yuki Yamamoto6.0
5A. Sasaki64'for Reon Yamahara6.4
1L. Yamaguchi
25Shuto Yamaichi

Nagoya Grampus Substitutes

33T. Kikuchi
19H. Koda68'for Ryuji Izumi6.3
58T. Koyamatsu
10Mateus65'for Yuki Nogami6.7
41M. Ono68'for Takuya Uchida6.3
35A. Pisano
3Y. Sato90+1'for Tsukasa Morishima5.9
55S. Tokumoto
11Y. Yamagishi65'for Kensuke Nagai73'7.9

Match Stats

Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots4
16Fouls11
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
493Total Passes482
420Passes Accurate402
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
1671Elo Rating 1562
2.61Attack 1.61
2.24Defense 1.72
100%Hit Rate 17%
10.5Shots per Game 15.3
4.5Shots on Target 4.8
3.0Corners per Game 3.9
1.3Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+109 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus3Wins · 30%
3.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League23/08/2025
Nagoya GrampusKawasaki Frontale
34
J1 League15/02/2025
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
40
J1 League22/09/2024
Nagoya GrampusKawasaki Frontale
20
J1 League02/06/2024
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
21
J1 League01/07/2023
Nagoya GrampusKawasaki Frontale
20
J1 League15/04/2023
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
12
J1 League14/09/2022
Nagoya GrampusKawasaki Frontale
11
J1 League12/03/2022
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
10
J1 League04/05/2021
Kawasaki FrontaleNagoya Grampus
32
J1 League29/04/2021
Nagoya GrampusKawasaki Frontale
04

Recent Form

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
6W3D1L
07/10/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTegevajaro Miyazaki
20
W
29/09/2026
Roasso KumamotoKawasaki Frontale
01
W
19/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKashima
33
D
12/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
01
W
06/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
31
W02/09/2026
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale
21
L29/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
42
W
26/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SC
31
W
22/08/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
11
D15/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga
22
D
Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
3W0D7L
29/09/2026
KitakyushuNagoya Grampus
13
W
19/09/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
10
L12/09/2026
V-varen NagasakiNagoya Grampus
20
L06/09/2026
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
13
L02/09/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
30
L29/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama
21
W
26/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusGainare Tottori
13
L
22/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
31
W15/08/2026
KashimaNagoya Grampus
21
L08/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse
01
L

Referee Profile

Yuzo Sutani24 matches

2.05Cards per match
1.84Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yuzo Sutani2.05
Other referees2.69

2.05 cards a match, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.69).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1393131:8+2330WWDWW
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1392232:10+2229WWLWW
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1384130:10+2028DDWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1391329:19+1028WWDLW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382321:12+926WDLWL
6KashimaKashima1372429:22+723WLDWW
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1364327:22+522LWWWL
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1356220:14+621WDDDD
9UrawaUrawa1370621:27-621LWWWL
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1351715:21-616LLWLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1342715:21-614LDDWW
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1335513:23-1014LDDLD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1342710:22-1214LLLDW
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1334617:23-613WDDLL
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1333716:21-512LLWLD
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1326514:21-712DDWDL
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1325611:22-1111WWDLL
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1324715:24-910WDLDD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1323812:25-139LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka13211013:24-117LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1331:830
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1332:1029
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1330:1028
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1329:1928
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1321:1226
6KashimaKashima1329:2223
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1327:2222
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1320:1421
9UrawaUrawa1321:2721
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1315:2116
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1315:2114
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1313:2314
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1310:2214
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1317:2313
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1316:2112
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1314:2112
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1311:2211
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1315:2410
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1312:259
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1313:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

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About the Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kawasaki Frontale and Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kawasaki Frontale are 7th and Nagoya Grampus 11th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Kawasaki Frontale 27-22, Nagoya Grampus 15-21. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kawasaki Frontale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.