Chesterfield vs York Prediction

Chesterfield
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
York
Proact Stadium, Chesterfield 19/09/2026
ChesterfieldChesterfield
2-0
Finished
YorkYork

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Chesterfield Rest
3 days
York Rest
3 days

Chesterfield vs York: result, form and history

Chesterfield beat York 2-0 in the League Two on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.50
X
28%3.36
2
41%2.60
Double Chance
1X
59%1.44
X2
69%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.53
No
33%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.76 = 3.10
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
64%1.65
Over 3.5
44%2.52
Under 1.5
16%4.33
Under 2.5
36%2.14
Under 3.5
56%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
57%1.57
Over 9.5
45%1.95
Over 10.5
39%2.50
Under 8.5
43%2.25
Under 9.5
55%1.77
Under 10.5
61%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

23'George McEachranFoul
57'Lee BonisAssist: George McEachran
63'Jeff King INjovan malcolm out
70'George McEachran INKiano Dyer out
71'Josh Koroma INJoel Randall out
71'Louie Marsh INLiam Mandeville out
73'Alex Newby INFrankie Maguire out
73'Alex Hunt INArthur Read out
80'Ollie BanksFoul
84'Mark Kitching INZech Medley out
84'Joey Grey INJoseph Rabole Felix out
85'Lewis Gordon INTom Pearce out
89'Lee Bonis INF. Bryden out
90'Ollie PearceFoul
90+7'Dilan MarkandayAssist: F. Bryden

Lineups

Chesterfield
4-2-3-1Coach: P. Cook
York
3-5-2Coach: S. Lindsey
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.32
R. Boot6.423R. Boot
R. Hutton7.433R. Hutton
K. McFadzean7.35K. McFadzean
J. Simpson7.26J. Simpson
L. Gordon7.619L. Gordon
G. McEachran7.520G. McEachran
R. Stirk6.88R. Stirk
D. Markanday8.224D. Markanday
L. Marsh6.818L. Marsh
J. Koroma6.737J. Koroma
L. Bonis8.010L. Bonis
Alfie Shane McNally7.01A. Shane McNally
R. Fallowfield6.72R. Fallowfield
Z. Johnson6.55Z. Johnson
M. Kitching6.83M. Kitching
J. King5.915J. King
A. Hunt6.48A. Hunt
O. Banks6.128O. Banks
A. Newby6.030A. Newby
H. Boyes6.212H. Boyes
J. Grey6.67J. Grey
O. Pearce5.810O. Pearce

Chesterfield Substitutes

27K. Dyer70'for George McEachran7.1
7L. Mandeville71'for Louie Marsh7.0
4T. Naylor
46T. Pearce85'for Lewis Gordon7.0
9F. Bryden89'for Lee Bonis6.5
26J. Eccleston
31J. Randall71'for Josh Koroma6.9

York Substitutes

16A. Read73'for Alex Hunt6.1
18J. Malcolm63'for Jeff King6.4
4Z. Medley84'for Mark Kitching6.3
32J. Hunt
31G. Sykes-Kenworthy
23J. Felix84'for Joey Grey6.3
11F. Maguire73'for Alex Newby6.1

Match Stats

ChesterfieldYork
48%Ball Possession52%
7Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
27Total Shots7
9Shots on Goal0
10Shots off Goal7
20Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots0
12Fouls12
1Offsides4
0Goalkeeper Saves7
426Total Passes469
329Passes Accurate368
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

ChesterfieldChesterfield
YorkYork
1569Elo Rating 1606
1.89Attack 1.23
1.05Defense 1.69
23%Hit Rate 23%
14.6Shots per Game 11.7
4.1Shots on Target 3.1
5.5Corners per Game 4.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.1 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ChesterfieldChesterfield
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
YorkYork
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ChesterfieldChesterfield1Wins · 25%
Draws125%
YorkYork2Wins · 50%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

National League29/03/2024
YorkChesterfield
21
National League24/10/2023
ChesterfieldYork
40
National League07/04/2023
ChesterfieldYork
13
National League25/10/2022
YorkChesterfield
11

Recent Form

ChesterfieldChesterfield
3W3D4L
15/09/2026
ChesterfieldManchester City U21
53
W
12/09/2026
OldhamChesterfield
12
W
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
11
D
29/08/2026
RotherhamChesterfield
21
L
22/08/2026
Salford CityChesterfield
01
W
15/08/2026
ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
01
L
08/08/2026
Fleetwood TownChesterfield
10
L
31/07/2026
ScunthorpeChesterfield
11
D
14/07/2026
FC Halifax TownChesterfield
32
L
YorkYork
3W3D4L
15/09/2026
YorkNewcastle United U21
13
L
12/09/2026
YorkSwindon Town
40
W
05/09/2026
CreweYork
11
D
01/09/2026
CheltenhamYork
32
L
29/08/2026
YorkExeter City
21
W
22/08/2026
RotherhamYork
11
D
15/08/2026
YorkBristol Rovers
32
W
03/08/2026
YorkCrawley Town
02
L
28/07/2026
YorkPeterborough
12
L
24/07/2026
YorkAl-Ettifaq
22
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
6YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
7WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
9Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
10Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
11Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
13GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
14TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
17Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
18RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
20NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
21OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
22ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
23RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
6YorkYork1424:2120
7WalsallWalsall1218:1119
8ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
9Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
10Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
11Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
12ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
13GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
14TranmereTranmere1316:1616
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
17Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
18RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
19Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
20NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
21OldhamOldham1214:1812
22ColchesterColchester1211:1612
23RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
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About the Chesterfield vs York forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chesterfield and York in the League Two table

York and Chesterfield are close in the League Two table, 6th and 8th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Chesterfield 24-21, York 24-21. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Chesterfield have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.