Rochdale vs Oldham Prediction

Rochdale
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Oldham
Spotland, Rochdale 19/09/2026
RochdaleRochdale
2-0
Finished
OldhamOldham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Rochdale Rest
6 days
Oldham Rest
6 days

Rochdale vs Oldham: the result in context

Rochdale beat Oldham 2-0 in the League Two on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.66
X
28%3.54
2
40%1.91
Double Chance
1X
60%1.80
X2
68%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.64
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.22 = 2.61
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.75
Over 3.5
30%2.75
Under 1.5
25%3.80
Under 2.5
47%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.54
Over 9.5
54%1.93
Over 10.5
41%2.42
Under 8.5
37%2.30
Under 9.5
46%1.80
Under 10.5
59%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
34%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
66%-

Match Events

7'Daniel MossAssist: K. Taylor
45'Kai Payne INCalum Kavanagh out
57'Jonny Smith INLuke Hannant out
63'Dajaune BrownAssist: Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko
66'Favour fawunmi INJosh Hawkes out
66'Donervorn Daniels INLewis Temple out
67'Kaiden Wilson INLaurence Maguire out
67'Daniel Moss INOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling out
77'Dajaune Brown INEmmanuel Dieseruvwe out
77'K. Taylor INEdward Francis out

Lineups

Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Oldham
4-2-3-1Coach: Micky Mellon
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.28
Nils Ramming6.51N. Ramming
C. Tasker7.12C. Tasker
A. Flint6.644A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson7.13K. Wilson
D. Moss8.322D. Moss
H. Gilmour6.88H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko7.317B. Adeeko
J. Smith7.118J. Smith
Kane Taylor7.521K. Taylor
G. Middleton6.345G. Middleton
D. Brown7.739D. Brown
M. Hudson5.71M. Hudson
G. Scott-Morriss5.82G. Scott-Morriss
D. Daniels5.55D. Daniels
E. Monthe6.56E. Monthe
J. Robson6.93J. Robson
O. Norburn6.88O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson6.47K. Appiah-Forson
F. Fawunmi6.717F. Fawunmi
Kai Payne6.326K. Payne
K. Drummond6.415K. Drummond
M. Fondop-Talum6.09M. Fondop-Talum

Rochdale Substitutes

9E. Dieseruvwe77'for Dajaune Brown6.4
14E. Francis77'for K. Taylor6.8
19L. Hannant57'for Jonny Smith6.9
7C. Hayes
5L. Maguire67'for Kaiden Wilson6.7
20Sam William John Waller
13O. Adebayo-Rowling67'for Daniel Moss7.3

Oldham Substitutes

14N. Chilvers
27O. Hammond
21J. Hawkes66'for Favour fawunmi6.1
10C. Kavanagh45'for Kai Payne6.5
4T. Pett
24L. Temple66'for Donervorn Daniels6.3
22Wilson Wilson

Match Stats

RochdaleOldham
49%Ball Possession51%
0Corner Kicks6
7Total Shots18
2Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal15
6Shots Inside Box11
1Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls11
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves0
356Total Passes372
259Passes Accurate273
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

RochdaleRochdale
OldhamOldham
1520Elo Rating 1528
1.01Attack 1.71
0.00Defense 1.52
0%Hit Rate 36%
9.5Shots per Game 14.0
2.3Shots on Target 4.2
4.8Corners per Game 3.8
1.3Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
OldhamOldham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

RochdaleRochdale0Wins · 0%
Draws350%
OldhamOldham3Wins · 50%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

National League15/03/2025
OldhamRochdale
11
National League04/02/2025
RochdaleOldham
01
National League06/04/2024
OldhamRochdale
11
National League21/10/2023
RochdaleOldham
34
League Two29/01/2022
OldhamRochdale
00
League Two25/09/2021
RochdaleOldham
01

Recent Form

RochdaleRochdale
2W2D6L
12/09/2026
WalsallRochdale
00
D
05/09/2026
RochdaleGillingham
14
L
01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
30
W
29/08/2026
ColchesterRochdale
10
L
22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
12
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
L
08/08/2026
BradfordRochdale
20
L
01/08/2026
TranmereRochdale
1222
W
28/07/2026
RochdaleFC Halifax Town
23
L
25/07/2026
RochdaleFarnham Town
22
D
OldhamOldham
3W1D6L
12/09/2026
OldhamChesterfield
12
L
05/09/2026
TranmereOldham
20
L
01/09/2026
Fleetwood TownOldham
11
D
29/08/2026
OldhamSwindon Town
30
W
22/08/2026
ColchesterOldham
21
L
15/08/2026
OldhamPort Vale
20
W
08/08/2026
Stoke CityOldham
20
L
01/08/2026
OldhamSheffield Wednesday
40
W
28/07/2026
OldhamStockport County
01
L
21/07/2026
OldhamBolton
13
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Rochdale vs Oldham forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rochdale and Oldham in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Rochdale are 17th and Oldham 20th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Rochdale 15-22, Oldham 14-18. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.