Colchester vs Exeter City Prediction

Colchester
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Exeter City
Colchester Community Stadium, Colchester 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-7.2%
Colchester Rest
7 days
Exeter City Rest
7 days

Colchester vs Exeter City: the result in context

Colchester and Exeter City drew 0-0 in the League Two on 17 Oct 2026. Exeter City had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Colchester.

Exeter City have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.14
X
29%3.35
2
31%3.27
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
60%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.78
No
46%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.23 = 2.58
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.97
Over 3.5
26%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.24
Under 2.5
52%1.75
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.51
Over 9.5
48%1.87
Over 10.5
37%2.38
Under 8.5
40%2.39
Under 9.5
52%1.84
Under 10.5
63%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

17'Jay WilliamsFoul
39'Jack FitzwaterFoul
62'Oscar thorn INronnie harvey out
62'George Birch INEthan Sutherland out
62'Anthony Scully INReece Cole out
62'Taylor Perry INSonny Cox out
66'Charlie Cummins
74'Robert Donald Hunt INKane Vincent-Young out
74'Bradley ihionvein INKien Connelly out
79'Beryly LubalaFoul
80'Josh Gordon INVincent Harper out
90+3'Beryly Lubala INLeon Chiwome out

Lineups

Colchester
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Cowley
Exeter City
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Taylor
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.48
T. Lo-Tutala6.822T. Lo-Tutala
R. Hunt6.62R. Hunt
J. Tucker6.25J. Tucker
F. Terry6.524F. Terry
E. Iandolo6.43E. Iandolo
P. Digby6.46P. Digby
J. Williams6.126J. Williams
O. Thorn6.427O. Thorn
M. Sesay6.712M. Sesay
B. Lubala6.015B. Lubala
B. Ihionvien7.09B. Ihionvien
J. Bycroft6.61J. Bycroft
L. Samuel6.22L. Samuel
J. Taylor7.56J. Taylor
J. Fitzwater6.25J. Fitzwater
L. Woodhouse6.73L. Woodhouse
J. Doyle-Hayes6.131J. Doyle-Hayes
C. Cummins6.416C. Cummins
A. Scully6.425A. Scully
T. Perry6.78T. Perry
George Birch6.020G. Birch
J. Gordon6.810J. Gordon

Colchester Substitutes

44S. Kuffour
4Ben Perry
31Oscar Roberts
30K. Vincent-Young74'for Robert Donald Hunt6.5
47R. Harvey62'for Oscar thorn6.6
39K. Connelly74'for Bradley ihionvein6.4
11L. Chiwome90+3'for Beryly Lubala

Exeter City Substitutes

19S. Cox62'for Taylor Perry6.3
12R. Cole62'for Anthony Scully6.5
24V. Harper80'for Josh Gordon6.6
40E. James
18Liam Oakes
22Frankie Phillips
23Ethan Sutherland62'for George Birch6.2

Match Stats

ColchesterExeter City
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box2
11Blocked Shots5
16Fouls11
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
399Total Passes364
277Passes Accurate249
10Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

ColchesterColchester
Exeter CityExeter City
1480Elo Rating 1560
0.37Attack 1.44
1.93Defense 2.45
0%Hit Rate 66%
9.4Shots per Game 9.9
2.5Shots on Target 3.0
3.2Corners per Game 3.2
2.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ColchesterColchester
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
Exeter CityExeter City
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

ColchesterColchester1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
Exeter CityExeter City3Wins · 75%
4.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two15/04/2022
Exeter CityColchester
20
League Two23/11/2021
ColchesterExeter City
31
League Two23/02/2021
ColchesterExeter City
12
League Two24/11/2020
Exeter CityColchester
61

Recent Form

ColchesterColchester
2W3D5L
10/10/2026
Newport CountyColchester
10
L
03/10/2026
ColchesterLuton
3141
L
26/09/2026
ShrewsburyColchester
22
D
22/09/2026
PeterboroughColchester
31
L
19/09/2026
ColchesterCheltenham
11
D
12/09/2026
ColchesterCrewe
11
D
05/09/2026
Swindon TownColchester
31
L
01/09/2026
Bristol RoversColchester
20
L
29/08/2026
ColchesterRochdale
10
W
22/08/2026
ColchesterOldham
21
W
Exeter CityExeter City
4W3D3L
10/10/2026
ShrewsburyExeter City
01
W
06/10/2026
Exeter CityOxford United
4232
W
03/10/2026
Exeter CityRotherham
10
W
26/09/2026
Bristol RoversExeter City
10
L
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
L
19/09/2026
Exeter CityTranmere
00
D
12/09/2026
Port ValeExeter City
10
L
08/09/2026
Exeter CityTottenham Hotspur U21
20
W
05/09/2026
Exeter CityWalsall
00
D
01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
11
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Colchester vs Exeter City forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Colchester and Exeter City in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Exeter City are 8th and Colchester 21st, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Colchester 11-16, Exeter City 10-7. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.