Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers Prediction
England · Regular Season - 11
New Meadow, Shrewsbury 17/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-6.5%
Shrewsbury Rest
6 days
Bristol Rovers Rest
6 days
Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers: the result in context
Shrewsbury beat Bristol Rovers 1-0 in the League Two on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Bristol Rovers have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%3.10
X30%3.21
238%2.27
Double Chance
1X62%1.57
X268%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.80
No49%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.26 = 2.44
Over 1.570%1.33
Over 2.545%2.05
Over 3.524%3.50
Under 1.530%3.05
Under 2.555%1.73
Under 3.576%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.65
Over 9.549%2.01
Over 10.538%2.32
Under 8.539%2.13
Under 9.551%1.75
Under 10.562%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.558%-
Over 4.538%-
Under 3.542%-
Under 4.562%-
Match Events
10'Shaqai FordeFoul
16'Josh RuffelsFoul
34'Steve EvansDissent
43'George LloydFoul
58'Richard Smallwood INJoe Quigley out
58'Bobby Kamwa INArvin Appiah out
64'Keenan GoughFoul
68'Clinton Mola INReiss-Alexander Russell-Denny out
73'Ciaran Kelly INJack Sparkes out
77'George Lloyd(Penalty)
80'J. Turner-CookSerious foul
84'Josh Davison INIsaac Fletcher out
84'Kian McMahon-Brown INwill gray out
88'Ben PurringtonFoul
90+4'Isaac FletcherSerious foul
Lineups
ShrewsburyBristol Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: S. EvansAvg ratingAvg rating
1W. Michael Brook
6S. Stubbs
5W. Boyle
3J. Ruffels
2L. Hoole
10T. Sang
7J. Turner-Cooke
11K. Berkoe
18K. M. Brown
9G. Lloyd
13J. Davison
1B. Young
2T. James
4K. Balmer
17C. Kelly
14B. Purrington
21R. Smallwood
6C. Mola
7S. Forde
22K. Gough
10B. Kamwa
29F. CavegnShrewsbury Substitutes
8Isaac Andrew Fletcher84'for Josh Davison90+4'
20M. Golding
21will gray84'replaced by Kian McMahon-Brown
17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
24L. Sousa
23I. Lee
32Cameron Gregory
Bristol Rovers Substitutes
28A. Appiah58'for Bobby Kamwa
9J. Quigley58'for Richard Smallwood
8R. Russell-Denny68'for Clinton Mola
3J. Sparkes73'for Ciaran Kelly
27P. Sanyaolu
32Charlie Binns
19E. Harrison
Match Stats
ShrewsburyBristol Rovers 45%Ball Possession55%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
2Red Cards0
10Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots4
15Fouls15
1Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves2
280Total Passes344
169Passes Accurate228
14Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
ShrewsburyBristol Rovers1470Elo Rating 1484
1.98Attack 0.54
1.51Defense 1.29
63%Hit Rate 0%
14.7Shots per Game 15.7
6.2Shots on Target 5.1
6.4Corners per Game 4.9
2.0Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Shrewsbury- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
Bristol Rovers- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Shrewsbury1Wins · 10%Draws330%
Bristol Rovers6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%1.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
17/03/2026Bristol RoversShrewsbury10
01/01/2026ShrewsburyBristol Rovers03
04/03/2025ShrewsburyBristol Rovers00
22/10/2024Bristol RoversShrewsbury10
01/04/2024Bristol RoversShrewsbury00
16/09/2023ShrewsburyBristol Rovers02
02/05/2023ShrewsburyBristol Rovers21
27/08/2022Bristol RoversShrewsbury11
27/02/2021Bristol RoversShrewsbury21
20/10/2020ShrewsburyBristol Rovers01
Recent Form
Shrewsbury3W2D5L
10/10/2026Shrewsbury
Exeter City
GrimsbyShrewsburyShrewsbury
Northampton
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
ShrewsburyExeter City01
L06/10/2026Shrewsbury
Stockport County
03/10/2026ShrewsburyStockport County02
LGrimsbyShrewsbury12
W26/09/2026Shrewsbury
Colchester
ShrewsburyColchester22
D22/09/2026
TranmereShrewsbury
TranmereShrewsbury10
L19/09/2026
CreweShrewsbury
12/09/2026CreweShrewsbury11
DShrewsburyNorthampton20
W05/09/2026Fleetwood TownShrewsbury20
L01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
RochdaleShrewsbury30
L29/08/2026Shrewsbury
Salford City
ShrewsburySalford City10
WBristol Rovers4W0D6L
10/10/2026Bristol Rovers
BarnetBristol RoversExeter CityGrimsbyBristol Rovers
Bristol RoversBarnet13
L06/10/2026
WycombeBristol Rovers
WycombeBristol Rovers41
L03/10/2026CreweBristol Rovers
26/09/2026CreweBristol Rovers31
LBristol RoversExeter City10
W19/09/2026
GillinghamBristol Rovers
12/09/2026GillinghamBristol Rovers30
LGrimsbyBristol Rovers20
L05/09/2026Bristol Rovers
Rotherham
Bristol RoversRotherham10
W01/09/2026Bristol RoversColchester
Bristol RoversColchester20
W29/08/2026
Crawley TownBristol Rovers
Crawley TownBristol Rovers02
W25/08/2026Bristol Rovers
Chelsea U21
Bristol RoversChelsea U212242
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 13:21 | 9 |
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About the Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Shrewsbury and Bristol Rovers in the League Two table
Shrewsbury and Bristol Rovers are close in the League Two table, 15th and 17th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Shrewsbury 17-22, Bristol Rovers 17-23. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.