Crewe vs Rochdale Prediction
England · Regular Season - 11
Alexandra Stadium, Crewe 17/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseHighGap-7.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Crewe Rest
7 days
Rochdale Rest
7 days
Crewe vs Rochdale: result, form and history
Crewe beat Rochdale 3-2 in the League Two on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 3.3 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.84
X25%3.58
225%3.98
Double Chance
1X75%1.21
X250%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.72
No44%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.22 = 2.65
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.552%1.81
Over 3.532%3.00
Under 1.525%3.60
Under 2.548%1.92
Under 3.568%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.6 = 9.9
Over 8.564%1.45
Over 9.552%1.79
Over 10.541%2.23
Under 8.536%2.52
Under 9.548%1.90
Under 10.559%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.565%-
Over 4.546%-
Under 3.535%-
Under 4.554%-
Match Events
39'Matúš HolíčekAssist: Jordan Gibson
45'Jordan GibsonAssist: Owen lunt
45'Matúš Holíček INConor Thomas out
50'Joe WhiteFoul
55'Jordan GibsonAssist: Kyle Ure
60'Joe White INCalum·Agius out
63'Dajaune Brown INEmmanuel Dieseruvwe out
63'Cian Hayes INEdward Francis out
63'Charlie Tasker INsam beckwith out
65'Joel TabinerOG
75'Jordan Gibson INStan Dancey out
75'Kyle Ure INReece Hutchinson out
75'Joel Tabiner INAdrien thibaut out
79'Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko INZain Silcott-Duberry out
90'Aden FlintAssist: Edward Francis
Lineups
CreweRochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian WatsonAvg ratingAvg rating
1T. Booth
2L. Billington
6L. Offord
12J. Stephenson
4K. Ure
19O. Lunt
10J. White
11J. Tabiner
17M. Holíček
14J. Gibson
9J. March
20S. William John Waller
13O. Adebayo-Rowling
44A. Flint
3K. Wilson
2C. Tasker
8H. Gilmour
17B. Adeeko
7C. Hayes
21K. Taylor
45G. Middleton
39D. BrownCrewe Substitutes
20Calum Agius60'for Joe White
3R. Hutchinson75'for Kyle Ure
13I. Lawlor
23C. McNeill
29A. Thibaut75'for Joel Tabiner
8C. Thomas45'for Matúš Holíček
30Stan Dancey75'for Jordan Gibson
Rochdale Substitutes
11Z. Silcott-Duberry79'for Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko
26S. Sherring
19L. Hannant
14E. Francis63'for Cian Hayes
9E. Dieseruvwe63'for Dajaune Brown
33S. Beckwith63'for Charlie Tasker
12J. Spaven
Match Stats
CreweRochdale 40%Ball Possession60%
1Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
10Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots8
7Fouls7
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
371Total Passes559
293Passes Accurate458
7Free Kicks7
Team Comparison
CreweRochdale1550Elo Rating 1520
1.30Attack 1.01
0.52Defense 0.00
36%Hit Rate 0%
9.3Shots per Game 9.5
3.6Shots on Target 2.3
3.7Corners per Game 4.8
1.0Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Crewe- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Rochdale- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Crewe1Wins · 25%Draws375%
Rochdale0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%3.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4
Previous meetings
25/02/2023CreweRochdale11
30/07/2022RochdaleCrewe12
24/04/2021CreweRochdale11
09/01/2021RochdaleCrewe33
Recent Form
Crewe3W6D1L
10/10/2026
Swindon TownCrewe
Swindon TownCrewe01
W06/10/2026
BlackpoolCrewe
BlackpoolCrewe4222
L03/10/2026Crewe
Bristol Rovers
26/09/2026CreweBristol Rovers31
W
RotherhamCrewe11
D22/09/2026Crewe
Aston Villa U21
CreweAston Villa U2141
W19/09/2026Crewe
Shrewsbury
CreweShrewsbury11
D12/09/2026
ColchesterCrewe
ColchesterCrewe11
D05/09/2026Crewe
York
CreweYork11
D01/09/2026Crewe
Walsall
CreweWalsall22
D29/08/2026
Port ValeCrewe
Port ValeCrewe00
DRochdale4W2D4L
10/10/2026
TranmereRochdaleRochdaleSwindon Town
Fleetwood TownRochdaleRochdale
OldhamWalsallRochdaleRochdale
Gillingham
TranmereRochdale11
D06/10/2026
HuddersfieldRochdale
03/10/2026HuddersfieldRochdale50
LRochdaleSwindon Town10
W26/09/2026Fleetwood TownRochdale12
W22/09/2026Rochdale
Liverpool U21
19/09/2026RochdaleLiverpool U216373
LRochdaleOldham20
W12/09/2026WalsallRochdale00
D05/09/2026RochdaleGillingham14
L01/09/2026RochdaleShrewsbury
RochdaleShrewsbury30
W29/08/2026ColchesterRochdale
ColchesterRochdale10
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 6 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 7 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 8 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 9 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 10 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 11 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 12 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 13 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 18 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 19 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 20 |  Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 21 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 22 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 23 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 14 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 6 | York | 14 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Walsall | 12 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 14 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 9 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 10 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Newport County | 14 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 12 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 18 | Rochdale | 14 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 19 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 20 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 21 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 22 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the Crewe vs Rochdale forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Crewe and Rochdale in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Crewe are 4th and Rochdale 18th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Crewe 16-16, Rochdale 17-26. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.