Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Prediction

Fleetwood Town
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Rochdale
Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
Fleetwood Town Rest
3 days
Rochdale Rest
3 days

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: the result in context

Rochdale beat Fleetwood Town 2-1 in the League Two on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.86
X
26%3.58
2
26%3.80
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
52%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.18 = 2.59
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.84
Over 3.5
30%3.10
Under 1.5
27%3.60
Under 2.5
50%1.90
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.44
Over 9.5
50%1.78
Over 10.5
39%2.21
Under 8.5
42%2.56
Under 9.5
50%1.94
Under 10.5
61%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
46%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

8'Dajaune BrownAssist: Glenn Middleton
14'Aden FlintAssist: Dajaune Brown
30'Mark HelmAssist: Aaron Loupalo-Bi
39'Olutobi Adebayo-RowlingHandball
64'Jonny Smith INCian Hayes out
64'K. Taylor INEdward Francis out
64'Kayden Hughes INJake Thomas Batty out
69'Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling
70'Adam Murphy INRonan Coughlan out
73'R. CirinoFoul
84'Glenn Middleton INDevante Rodney out
84'Dajaune Brown INEmmanuel Dieseruvwe out
88'Harvey Gilmour INSam·Sherring out

Lineups

Fleetwood Town
5-3-2Coach: M. Lawlor
Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.62
J. Lynch6.41J. Lynch
R. Cirino5.329R. Cirino
S. Rooney5.826S. Rooney
F. Potter6.65F. Potter
Kayden Hughes6.232K. Hughes
L. McCann6.214L. McCann
A. Murphy6.415A. Murphy
H. Neal6.44H. Neal
M. Helm7.310M. Helm
A. Loupalo-Bi6.820A. Loupalo-Bi
C. Evans6.317C. Evans
Sam William John Waller6.120S. William John Waller
C. Tasker6.42C. Tasker
A. Flint7.344A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson6.93K. Wilson
O. Adebayo-Rowling5.613O. Adebayo-Rowling
H. Gilmour6.48H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko6.417B. Adeeko
J. Smith6.518J. Smith
G. Middleton7.745G. Middleton
Kane Taylor6.321K. Taylor
D. Brown8.639D. Brown

Fleetwood Town Substitutes

19R. Coughlan70'for Adam Murphy7.2
9W. Davies
36J. Dempsey
22J. Pradic
28J. Robertson
24Jake Thomas Batty64'for Kayden Hughes5.9
35S. Costelloe

Rochdale Substitutes

26S. Sherring88'for Harvey Gilmour6.3
7C. Hayes64'for Jonny Smith6.7
19L. Hannant
10D. Rodney84'for Glenn Middleton6.6
14E. Francis64'for K. Taylor6.3
9E. Dieseruvwe84'for Dajaune Brown6.0
12J. Spaven

Match Stats

Fleetwood TownRochdale
54%Ball Possession46%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal6
13Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots3
12Fouls13
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
448Total Passes393
355Passes Accurate297
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
RochdaleRochdale
1540Elo Rating 1520
1.36Attack 1.01
1.35Defense 0.00
17%Hit Rate 0%
11.6Shots per Game 9.5
4.0Shots on Target 2.3
5.1Corners per Game 4.8
2.6Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
RochdaleRochdale1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

League One10/04/2021
Fleetwood TownRochdale
10
League One03/10/2020
RochdaleFleetwood Town
21

Recent Form

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
4W4D2L
22/09/2026
OldhamFleetwood Town
10
L
19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
31
L
16/09/2026
Fleetwood TownSheffield Utd
10
W
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D
05/09/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
20
W
01/09/2026
Fleetwood TownOldham
11
D
29/08/2026
GrimsbyFleetwood Town
22
D
25/08/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
40
W
22/08/2026
Fleetwood TownGillingham
00
D
15/08/2026
ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
01
W
RochdaleRochdale
3W1D6L
22/09/2026
RochdaleLiverpool U21
6373
L
19/09/2026
RochdaleOldham
20
W
12/09/2026
WalsallRochdale
00
D
05/09/2026
RochdaleGillingham
14
L
01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
30
W
29/08/2026
ColchesterRochdale
10
L
22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
12
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
L
08/08/2026
BradfordRochdale
20
L
01/08/2026
TranmereRochdale
1222
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
19RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
20NorthamptonNorthampton123549:9014DWLWD
21OldhamOldham1333714:19-512LDLWD
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
19RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
20NorthamptonNorthampton129:914
21OldhamOldham1314:1912
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

About the Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fleetwood Town and Rochdale in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Fleetwood Town are 16th and Rochdale 19th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Fleetwood Town 18-18, Rochdale 17-26. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fleetwood Town and Rochdale have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.