Newport County vs Grimsby Prediction
England · Regular Season - 8
Rodney Parade, Newport 26/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-12.4%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Newport County Rest
3 days
Grimsby Rest
3 days
Newport County vs Grimsby: result, form and history
Newport County beat Grimsby 2-1 in the League Two on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
126%3.86
X27%3.50
247%1.87
Double Chance
1X53%1.88
X274%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.70
No45%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.17 + 1.51 = 2.68
Over 1.576%1.25
Over 2.553%1.81
Over 3.531%2.92
Under 1.524%3.60
Under 2.547%1.95
Under 3.569%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.30
Over 9.550%1.54
Over 10.539%1.87
Under 8.542%3.16
Under 9.550%2.29
Under 10.561%1.82
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.550%-
Over 4.531%-
Under 3.550%-
Under 4.569%-
Match Events
10'M. Dibley-DiasFoul
36'Mark Shelton INRyley Reynolds out
57'Christian DoidgeAssist: Cameron Norman
59'Iwan Morgan INAndy Cook out
59'Finn Cartwright INSonny Finch out
63'Andy CookArgument
69'Shaquille GwengweAssist: Ciaran Brennan
71'Cameron Norman INjoe thomas out
72'Kieran GreenDissent
73'Charles Vernam INReece Staunton out
73'Jayden Sweeney INJustin Ikechukwu Obiora Amaluzor out
81'M. Dibley-Dias INAaron Lewis out
81'Shaquille Gwengwe INGerard Garner out
83'Jordan WrightOG
90+2'Matty JacobsFoul
90+4'Michael Adu-Poku INYahya Bamba out
Lineups
Newport CountyGrimsby
4-1-4-1Coach: D. ArtellAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Wright
22C. Norman
5L. Jenkins
4K. Cameron
16M. Jacob
24M. Dibley-Dias
6C. Brennan
23M. Adu-Poku
10H. Biggins
9S. Gwengwe
27C. Doidge
31C. Pym
5H. Rodgers
2M. Kacurri
17C. McJannet
3J. Sweeney
29M. Shelton
28F. Cartwright
4K. Green
7J. Walker
30C. Vernam
9I. MorganNewport County Substitutes
7K. Evans
19G. Garner81'for Shaquille Gwengwe
18A. Lewis81'for M. Dibley-Dias
33S. MacDonald
20Y. Bamba90+4'for Michael Adu-Poku
8M. Smith
12Joe Thomas71'for Cameron Norman
Grimsby Substitutes
39A. Cook59'for Iwan Morgan63'
8Cian Doyle
10S. Finch59'for Finn Cartwright
16R. Staunton73'for Charles Vernam
14J. Amaluzor73'for Jayden Sweeney
11Ryley Reynolds36'for Mark Shelton
41S. Auton
Match Stats
Newport CountyGrimsby 33%Ball Possession67%
7Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots4
14Fouls9
2Offsides7
3Goalkeeper Saves3
224Total Passes466
118Passes Accurate363
9Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Newport CountyGrimsby1516Elo Rating 1543
1.77Attack 1.54
1.95Defense 1.72
41%Hit Rate 27%
15.8Shots per Game 17.5
3.6Shots on Target 5.7
4.9Corners per Game 6.7
1.9Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Newport County- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Grimsby- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Newport County2Wins · 20%Draws440%
Grimsby4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%1.4Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10
Previous meetings
07/02/2026Newport CountyGrimsby00
16/08/2025GrimsbyNewport County21
22/03/2025GrimsbyNewport County10
16/11/2024Newport CountyGrimsby00
06/04/2024GrimsbyNewport County10
16/12/2023Newport CountyGrimsby11
07/03/2023GrimsbyNewport County11
03/09/2022Newport CountyGrimsby02
06/02/2021Newport CountyGrimsby10
08/12/2020GrimsbyNewport County02
Recent Form
Newport County2W3D5L
22/09/2026
Swindon TownNewport County
19/09/2026Swindon TownNewport County02
W
Accrington STNewport County00
D12/09/2026Newport County
Fleetwood Town
Newport CountyFleetwood Town11
D05/09/2026
NorthamptonNewport County
NorthamptonNewport County10
L01/09/2026
Salford CityNewport County
Salford CityNewport County21
L29/08/2026Newport County
Tranmere
Newport CountyTranmere22
D22/08/2026
Bristol RoversNewport County
Bristol RoversNewport County53
L15/08/2026Newport County
Rochdale
08/08/2026Newport CountyRochdale30
W
AFC WimbledonNewport County5141
L04/08/2026Newport County
AS Roma
Newport CountyAS Roma14
LGrimsby4W4D2L
22/09/2026
Notts CountyGrimsby
19/09/2026Notts CountyGrimsby21
LGrimsby
Crawley Town20
W12/09/2026GrimsbyBristol Rovers20
W05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
CheltenhamGrimsby22
D01/09/2026Accrington STGrimsby
Accrington STGrimsby22
D29/08/2026GrimsbyFleetwood Town
GrimsbyFleetwood Town22
D22/08/2026
WalsallGrimsby
WalsallGrimsby00
D15/08/2026Grimsby
Exeter City
08/08/2026GrimsbyExeter City10
WGrimsby
Blackpool13
L04/08/2026Grimsby
Grimsby Borough
GrimsbyGrimsby Borough32
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Barnet | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 |  Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  York | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 20 | LWDDD |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 11 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 12 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 13 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 13 | 22:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Newport County | 14 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 11 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 13 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 13 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the Newport County vs Grimsby forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Newport County and Grimsby in the League Two table
Newport County and Grimsby are close in the League Two table, 10th and 12th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Newport County 20-17, Grimsby 19-16. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.