Coventry vs Fulham Prediction

Coventry
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Fulham
Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry·Adam Herczeg 24/10/2026
CoventryCoventry
0-1
Finished
FulhamFulham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Over 1.5
1.51
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+4.3%
Coventry Rest
4 days
Fulham Rest
7 days

Coventry vs Fulham: the result in context

Fulham beat Coventry 1-0 in the Premier League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fulham tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.0 for Coventry.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%3.15
X
27%3.50
2
42%2.25
Double Chance
1X
58%1.62
X2
70%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.58
No
40%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.49 = 2.85
Over 1.5
79%1.22
Over 2.5
56%1.75
Over 3.5
34%2.80
Under 1.5
21%4.14
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.2 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.50
Over 9.5
49%1.88
Over 10.5
38%2.37
Under 8.5
40%2.42
Under 9.5
51%1.91
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.4 = 4.6
Over 3.5
67%1.74
Over 4.5
48%2.60
Under 3.5
33%2.02
Under 4.5
52%1.47

Match Events

36'Shea CharlesFoul
60'Bobby Thomas INStephen Mfuni out
63'Hugo Larsson INSander Berge out
67'Caleb Yirenkyi INFrank Onyeka out
67'Sidiki Cherif INTaiwo Awoniyi out
67'Brandon Thomas-Asante INEphron Mason-Clark out
74'Gonzalo García INRodrigo Muniz out
74'Alex Iwobi INCesar Palacios Perez out
80'Oscar BobbAssist: Josh King
81'Oscar Bobb INKenny Tete out
81'Josh King INTom Cairney out
82'Antonee RobinsonNot retreating
86'Tatsuhiro Sakamoto INGustavo Hamer out

Lineups

Coventry
4-2-3-1Coach: F. Lampard
Fulham
4-2-3-1Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.90
C. Rushworth6.419C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk6.427M. van Ewijk
B. Thomas6.64B. Thomas
E. Pinnock7.02E. Pinnock
J. Dasilva6.83J. Dasilva
M. Grimes6.66M. Grimes
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi5.88C. Marfo Yirenkyi
T. Sakamoto6.27T. Sakamoto
J. Rudoni6.55J. Rudoni
B. Thomas-Asante5.923B. Thomas-Asante
S. Cherif6.749S. Cherif
B. Leno7.31B. Leno
T. Castagne6.921T. Castagne
D. Affengruber7.022D. Affengruber
C. Bassey7.13C. Bassey
A. Robinson6.133A. Robinson
H. Larsson6.315H. Larsson
S. Charles7.119S. Charles
Oscar Bobb8.214O. Bobb
Joshua King7.724J. King
A. Iwobi6.717A. Iwobi
Gonzalo García6.47G. García

Coventry Substitutes

25D. Bentley
12S. Mfuni60'for Bobby Thomas6.0
20K. Kesler-Hayden
10E. Mason-Clark67'for Brandon Thomas-Asante6.1
16F. Onyeka67'for Caleb Yirenkyi6.4
29V. Torp
38G. Hamer86'for Tatsuhiro Sakamoto6.3
14T. Awoniyi67'for Sidiki Cherif6.2
34Y. Gboho

Fulham Substitutes

2K. Tete81'for Oscar Bobb6.7
5J. Andersen
16S. Berge63'for Hugo Larsson7.2
10T. Cairney81'for Josh King6.5
20Manuel Ángel
11Kevin
8César Palacios74'for Alex Iwobi6.6
9Rodrigo Muniz74'for Gonzalo García6.8
23B. Lecomte

Match Stats

CoventryFulham
36%Ball Possession64%
4Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots12
2Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots4
9Fouls11
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
362Total Passes657
289Passes Accurate593
11Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

CoventryCoventry
FulhamFulham
1708Elo Rating 1787
1.31Attack 1.28
1.43Defense 2.16
36%Hit Rate 64%
11.8Shots per Game 13.6
3.1Shots on Target 5.3
3.0Corners per Game 5.9
1.3Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CoventryCoventry
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FulhamFulham
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CoventryCoventry2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
FulhamFulham0Wins · 0%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Championship10/04/2022
FulhamCoventry
13
Championship02/10/2021
CoventryFulham
41

Referee Profile

Adam Herczeg157 matches

3.53Cards per match
3.44Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adam Herczeg3.53
Other referees4.00

3.53 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7LeedsLeeds82519:6+311DDLDW
8NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
9Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland81256:14-85DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7LeedsLeeds89:611
8NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
9Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland86:145
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Coventry vs Fulham forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Coventry and Fulham in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Fulham are 15th and Coventry 19th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Coventry 6-15, Fulham 8-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Coventry and Fulham have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.