Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Prediction

Nottingham Forest
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Arsenal
City Ground, Nottingham·Michael Oliver 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Nottingham Forest Rest
7 days
Arsenal Rest
4 days

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: result, form and history

Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Arsenal had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Nottingham Forest.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
16%5.50
X
26%3.90
2
58%1.63
Double Chance
1X
42%2.30
X2
83%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.86
No
48%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.61 = 2.75
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
53%1.88
Over 3.5
32%3.12
Under 1.5
24%3.70
Under 2.5
47%1.95
Under 3.5
68%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.55
Over 9.5
49%1.93
Over 10.5
39%2.55
Under 8.5
39%2.35
Under 9.5
51%1.80
Under 10.5
61%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.9 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%2.19
Over 4.5
38%3.17
Under 3.5
42%1.66
Under 4.5
62%1.33

Match Events

17'Neco WilliamsFoul
45'Eberechi Eze INNoni Madueke out
53'Noni MaduekeFoul
66'Kai Havertz INViktor Gyökeres out
66'Ben White INJurriën Timber out
66'Bruno Guimarães INMikel Merino out
73'Dan Ndoye INArnaud Kalimuendo out
74'Nicolás Domínguez INIbrahim Sangaré out
80'Noni MaduekeAssist: Declan Rice
85'Jair Cunha INChris Wood out
85'James Mcatee INCallum Hudson-Odoi out

Lineups

Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1Coach: O. Glasner
Arsenal
4-2-3-1Coach: Mikel Arteta
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating7.04
M. Sels5.626M. Sels
Jair6.823Jair
O. Diomande6.82O. Diomande
Murillo7.65Murillo
D. Muñoz6.427D. Muñoz
J. McAtee6.624J. McAtee
X. Schlager6.621X. Schlager
N. Williams6.03N. Williams
N. Domínguez6.28N. Domínguez
D. Ndoye6.114D. Ndoye
L. Delap6.719L. Delap
David Raya6.91D. Raya
B. White7.34B. White
E. Konsa7.415E. Konsa
Gabriel Magalhães7.56G. Magalhães
R. Calafiori7.233R. Calafiori
D. Rice7.741D. Rice
Bruno Guimarães6.839B. Guimarães
B. Saka6.57B. Saka
M. Ødegaard7.08M. Ødegaard
E. Eze6.710E. Eze
K. Havertz6.329K. Havertz

Nottingham Forest Substitutes

7C. Hudson-Odoi85'for James Mcatee6.4
22R. Yates
15A. Kalimuendo73'for Dan Ndoye6.3
9C. Wood85'for Jair Cunha6.3
12John
25L. Netz
31N. Milenković
34O. Aina
6I. Sangaré74'for Nicolás Domínguez6.5

Arsenal Substitutes

3Cristhian Mosquera
12J. Timber66'for Ben White7.1
49M. Lewis-Skelly
23Mikel Merino66'for Bruno Guimarães7.1
56M. Dowman
36Martín Zubimendi
14V. Gyökeres66'for Kai Havertz6.6
30I. Meslier
20N. Madueke45'for Eberechi Eze53'80'7.4

Match Stats

Nottingham ForestArsenal
26%Ball Possession74%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots3
14Fouls8
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves2
224Total Passes634
158Passes Accurate569
7Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
ArsenalArsenal
1775Elo Rating 2045
0.75Attack 1.97
1.61Defense 2.40
14%Hit Rate 77%
19.5Shots per Game 14.8
4.5Shots on Target 4.6
5.9Corners per Game 7.1
1.9Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
ArsenalArsenal
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest2Wins · 22%
Draws222%
ArsenalArsenal5Wins · 56%
2.1Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Premier League17/01/2026
Nottingham ForestArsenal
00
Premier League13/09/2025
ArsenalNottingham Forest
30
Premier League26/02/2025
Nottingham ForestArsenal
00
Premier League23/11/2024
ArsenalNottingham Forest
30
Premier League30/01/2024
Nottingham ForestArsenal
12
Premier League12/08/2023
ArsenalNottingham Forest
21
Premier League20/05/2023
Nottingham ForestArsenal
10
Premier League30/10/2022
ArsenalNottingham Forest
50
FA Cup09/01/2022
Nottingham ForestArsenal
10

Referee Profile

Michael Oliver312 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.78Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Oliver3.93
Other referees3.94

3.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 305 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Manchester CityManchester City870120:9+1121LWWWW
2ArsenalArsenal870113:5+821WWWLW
3BrightonBrighton851223:7+1616LWWWW
4LiverpoolLiverpool843111:8+315WWLWD
5ChelseaChelsea841317:15+213LWWLD
6BrentfordBrentford825114:9+511DLDWD
7LeedsLeeds82519:6+311DDLDW
8NewcastleNewcastle832312:14-211WLLWL
9Aston VillaAston Villa83239:12-311WWDWL
10Hull CityHull City82429:8+110DLDLD
11EvertonEverton82428:9-110LLDWD
12IpswichIpswich831412:16-410DLWLW
13BournemouthBournemouth823312:13-19WWLLD
14TottenhamTottenham82338:10-29WWDLD
15FulhamFulham82248:10-28WWLDD
16Manchester UnitedManchester United814310:13-37LDDDL
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace82159:19-107LLWDL
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest81346:10-46DLLLW
19CoventryCoventry82066:15-96LLWWL
20SunderlandSunderland81256:14-85DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Manchester CityManchester City820:921
2ArsenalArsenal813:521
3BrightonBrighton823:716
4LiverpoolLiverpool811:815
5ChelseaChelsea817:1513
6BrentfordBrentford814:911
7LeedsLeeds89:611
8NewcastleNewcastle812:1411
9Aston VillaAston Villa89:1211
10Hull CityHull City89:810
11EvertonEverton88:910
12IpswichIpswich812:1610
13BournemouthBournemouth812:139
14TottenhamTottenham88:109
15FulhamFulham88:108
16Manchester UnitedManchester United810:137
17Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace89:197
18Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest86:106
19CoventryCoventry86:156
20SunderlandSunderland86:145
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nottingham Forest and Arsenal in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: Arsenal are 2nd in the Premier League, while Nottingham Forest sit 18th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Nottingham Forest 6-10, Arsenal 13-5. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.