CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Varna Prediction

CSKA 1948
6-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Spartak Varna
Bistritsa Stadium, Bistritsa·Martin Markov 30/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel69%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
CSKA 1948 Rest
6 days
Spartak Varna Rest
6 days

CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Varna: the result in context

CSKA 1948 beat Spartak Varna 6-1 in the First League on 30 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: CSKA 1948 had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Spartak Varna.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.40
X
20%4.50
2
12%6.99
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
32%2.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.82
No
50%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.91 + 0.86 = 2.77
Over 1.5
78%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.63
Over 3.5
34%2.49
Under 1.5
22%4.25
Under 2.5
43%2.17
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Joey Tshitoku
14'Elias Correa Franco
20'anton ivanovAssist: Joao Lopes
22'Elias Correa FrancoAssist: Emerson
28'Benaissa Benamar
46'Angel Granchov INboris ivanov out
46'Brian Sobrero INAtanas Iliev out
48'Atanas Iliev
59'Georgi Rusev
61'anton ivanov INTomas Silva out
61'Joao Lopes INDavid Valverde out
67'Hector Cuellar
68'Elias Correa Franco INBernardo Marques Duarte Couto out
68'danilo terasenko INOgnjen Gasevic out
72'Okoh chidera INTsvetelin Chunchukov out
82'Atanas Iliev
85'Bua

Lineups

CSKA 1948
4-4-2Coach: Ognyan Mladenov
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Petrov
A. Bozhev31A. Bozhev
B. Benamar5B. Benamar
Emerson6Emerson
L. Dvali3L. Dvali
B. Sobrero20B. Sobrero
H. Cuellar33H. Cuellar
J. Meyer30J. Meyer
M. Zemzemi8M. Zemzemi
7171d. terasenko
Elias Franco77E. Franco
G. Rusev11G. Rusev
P. Iliev23P. Iliev
A. Granchov44A. Granchov
D. Krastev5D. Krastev
J. Tshitoku45J. Tshitoku
Z. Tindano29Z. Tindano
S. Major19S. Major
T. Marinov17T. Marinov
A. Ivanov77A. Ivanov
Boubacar Hanne11B. Hanne
C. Okoh90C. Okoh
J. Lopes10J. Lopes

CSKA 1948 Substitutes

14K. Strinski
10B. Tsonev
34P. Vitanov
7Berna68'for Elias Correa Franco
93M. Diallo
67Frédéric Maciel
22O. Gašević68'replaced by danilo terasenko
4A. Hoffmann
9A. Iliev46'for Brian Sobrero48'82'
70K. Iliev
13D. Sheytanov

Spartak Varna Substitutes

76David Valverde61'for Joao Lopes
6José Ricardo Gomes Sousa
82Tomás Silva61'for anton ivanov
72Vasco Oliveira
3Mateo Jurić-Petrašilo
9T. Chunchukov72'for Okoh chidera
7Bua85'
1Pedro Victor

Match Stats

CSKA 1948Spartak Varna
68%Ball Possession32%
3Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
22Total Shots9
10Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
1675Elo Rating 1451
3.93Attack 1.21
2.09Defense 0.39
83%Hit Rate 36%
16.2Shots per Game 10.9
7.9Shots on Target 3.4
3.3Corners per Game 4.6
2.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+224 Elo
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

CSKA 1948CSKA 19482Wins · 29%
Draws571%
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

First League17/07/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
22
First League14/03/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
12
First League04/10/2025
CSKA 1948Spartak Varna
11
First League29/11/2024
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
11
First League28/07/2024
CSKA 1948Spartak Varna
22
First League03/05/2023
Spartak VarnaCSKA 1948
33
First League16/10/2022
CSKA 1948Spartak Varna
20

Recent Form

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
6W0D4L
23/10/2026
CSKA 1948Botev Plovdiv
40
W
16/10/2026
Neftochimic BurgasCSKA 1948
04
W
11/10/2026
CSKA 1948CSKA Sofia
23
L
18/09/2026
Slavia SofiaCSKA 1948
12
W
12/09/2026
CSKA 1948Dunav Ruse
21
W
05/09/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA 1948
10
L
28/08/2026
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
20
W
23/08/2026
Septemvri SofiaCSKA 1948
10
L
14/08/2026
CSKA 1948Cherno More Varna
41
W
11/08/2026
CSKA 1948Panathinaikos
1121
L
Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna
2W3D5L
24/10/2026
Dunav RuseSpartak Varna
20
L
19/10/2026
Etar Veliko TarnovoSpartak Varna
24
W
10/10/2026
Botev VratsaSpartak Varna
01
W
20/09/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
01
L
13/09/2026
Slavia SofiaSpartak Varna
00
D
05/09/2026
Spartak VarnaCSKA Sofia
11
D
30/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLudogorets
11
D
22/08/2026
Levski SofiaSpartak Varna
60
L
17/08/2026
Spartak VarnaSeptemvri Sofia
01
L
10/08/2026
Botev PlovdivSpartak Varna
32
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Varna forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA 1948 and Spartak Varna in the First League table

In the First League table, CSKA 1948 are 4th and Spartak Varna 8th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: CSKA 1948 31-14, Spartak Varna 12-23. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.