Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia Prediction

Arena Arda, Kerdjali·Piskov·Gero 27/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.65
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Arda Kardzhali Rest
9 days
Levski Sofia Rest
4 days

Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia: the result in context

Arda Kardzhali and Levski Sofia drew 1-1 in the First League on 27 Oct 2026. Levski Sofia had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Arda Kardzhali.

Levski Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Levski Sofia tend to win more corners, 3.9 a game to 1.5 for Arda Kardzhali.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
17%5.75
X
28%3.37
2
55%1.65
Double Chance
1X
45%2.10
X2
83%1.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.31
No
55%1.53
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.96 + 1.72 = 2.68
Over 1.5
69%1.44
Over 2.5
43%2.43
Over 3.5
24%4.55
Under 1.5
31%2.50
Under 2.5
57%1.51
Under 3.5
76%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Preslav·BachevAssist: Dimitar Velkovski
59'Dimitar Velkovski
62'Álex Centelles
66'Preslav·Bachev INNabil Makni out
68'Armstrong Oko-Flex INMaicon out
68'Marko Grujić INbala everton out
69'Wabo Oliver Kamdem INAldair out
71'Nikola Serafimov
72'Dimitar Velkovski INDominik Yankov out
72'Birsent Karagaren INAtanas Kabov out
76'Derick Fernando da Silva INViktor Lyubenov out
77'Stanislav Ivanov INAntonio Vutov out
77'Mazire Soula INMustapha Sangaré out
83'Álex Centelles INJuan Perea out
90'Svetoslav Kovachev
90+2'Lachezar Kotev

Lineups

Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Tunchev
Levski Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: Julio Velázquez
A. Gospodinov1A. Gospodinov
V. Popov6V. Popov
M. Paskalev24M. Paskalev
22D. Fernando da Silva
D. Velkovski35D. Velkovski
L. Kotev80L. Kotev
V. Velev21V. Velev
B. Karagaren99B. Karagaren
S. Ivanov91S. Ivanov
S. Kovachev10S. Kovachev
P. Bachev16P. Bachev
O. Vladimirov1O. Vladimirov
O. Kamdem71O. Kamdem
K. Dimitrov50K. Dimitrov
N. Serafimov31N. Serafimov
Álex Centelles20Á. Centelles
M. Grujić8M. Grujić
E. El Moubarik19E. El Moubarik
M. Soula22M. Soula
Serginho35Serginho
A. Oko-Flex11A. Oko-Flex
Reinaldo7Reinaldo

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

26B. Akandzha
22Y. Georgiev
11A. Kabov72'for Birsent Karagaren
5V. Lyubenov76'replaced by Derick Fernando da Silva
70Nabil Makni66'replaced by Preslav·Bachev
44Adama Ardile Traoré
18S. Vasilev
39A. Vutov77'for Stanislav Ivanov
8D. Yankov72'for Dimitar Velkovski
4David Akintola Idowu

Levski Sofia Substitutes

55P. Hristov
3Maicon68'for Armstrong Oko-Flex
4C. Makoun
21Aldair69'for Wabo Oliver Kamdem
9J. Perea83'for Álex Centelles
77A. Raychev
12M. Sangaré77'for Mazire Soula
28S. Stoyanchov
92S. Vutsov
17Everton Bala68'for Marko Grujić
47A. Bouras

Match Stats

Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia
37%Ball Possession63%
0Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards1
5Total Shots9
1Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
1564Elo Rating 1739
1.03Attack 1.56
0.80Defense 2.34
23%Hit Rate 56%
6.2Shots per Game 8.5
2.8Shots on Target 3.1
1.5Corners per Game 3.9
3.6Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali0Wins · 0%
Draws330%
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia7Wins · 70%
2.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

First League09/04/2026
Levski SofiaArda Kardzhali
10
First League02/11/2025
Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia
03
First League14/05/2025
Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia
03
First League26/04/2025
Levski SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
First League16/03/2025
Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia
11
First League29/09/2024
Levski SofiaArda Kardzhali
21
First League24/02/2024
Levski SofiaArda Kardzhali
40
First League01/11/2023
Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia
00
First League11/06/2023
Levski SofiaArda Kardzhali
20
First League19/03/2023
Arda KardzhaliLevski Sofia
03

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
5W1D4L
18/10/2026
Spartak PlovdivArda Kardzhali
12
W
12/10/2026
LudogoretsArda Kardzhali
50
L
02/10/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
19/09/2026
Arda KardzhaliCherno More Varna
11
D
12/09/2026
CSKA SofiaArda Kardzhali
41
L
04/09/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Plovdiv
23
L
31/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliBotev Vratsa
20
W
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
W
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
W
08/08/2026
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
02
W
Levski SofiaLevski Sofia
6W2D2L
22/10/2026
PlzenLevski Sofia
12
W
18/10/2026
Spartak PlevenLevski Sofia
02
W
15/10/2026
NEC NijmegenLevski Sofia
11
D
11/10/2026
Cherno More VarnaLevski Sofia
02
W
17/09/2026
Levski SofiaRed Bull Salzburg
01
L
13/09/2026
Botev VratsaLevski Sofia
00
D
09/09/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA Sofia
24
L
05/09/2026
Levski SofiaCSKA 1948
10
W
02/09/2026
Slavia SofiaLevski Sofia
12
W
30/08/2026
Botev PlovdivLevski Sofia
13
W

Referee Profile

Piskov·Gero3 matches analysed

4.95Cards per match
4.72Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 73% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Arda Kardzhali and Levski Sofia in the First League table

In the First League table, Levski Sofia are 1st and Arda Kardzhali 6th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Arda Kardzhali 16-18, Levski Sofia 25-5. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Levski Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.