Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Prediction

Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv·Todor Kirov 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
4 days
Ludogorets Rest
4 days

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets: result, form and history

Ludogorets beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 in the First League on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Todor Kirov averages 3.90 cards a game, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
13%7.00
X
22%3.95
2
65%1.46
Double Chance
1X
35%2.50
X2
87%1.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.30
No
55%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.77 = 2.85
Over 1.5
72%1.36
Over 2.5
49%2.15
Over 3.5
27%3.90
Under 1.5
28%3.00
Under 2.5
51%1.66
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo
34'Julian Iliev
44'Denis Kirashki
46'Axel Velev INRyan Leijten out
46'Denis Kirashki INjunior burban out
54'Andrei Chindriş
56'Andrei Chindriş
58'Julian Iliev INbrito matheus out
59'Anton Nedyalkov INSon out
59'Kwadwo Duah INRwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz out
62'petar stanic
63'Ivan Zhelizko
68'Christ Longville INAnton Fase out
74'Caio Vidal Rocha INBernard Tekpetey out
74'Deroy Duarte INAmir Hadžiahmetović out
83'Omar Rekik
83'Milan petrovic
87'Bernard Tekpetey

Lineups

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Kosič
Ludogorets
4-2-3-1Coach: I. Jovičević
B. Milosavljevic1B. Milosavljevic
Adrián Cova2A. Cova
A. Chindriş4A. Chindriş
Lucas Ryan13L. Ryan
T. Pavlov5T. Pavlov
D. Mrankov31D. Mrankov
M. Trdan6M. Trdan
P. Umarbayev39P. Umarbayev
J. Iliev10J. Iliev
Christ Longville29C. Longville
1919j. burban
H. Bonmann39H. Bonmann
E. Kurtulus15E. Kurtulus
Hossam Abdelmaguid4H. Abdelmaguid
J. Andersson2J. Andersson
S. Shishkov42S. Shishkov
A. Camara20A. Camara
Deroy Duarte23D. Duarte
I. Zhelizko6I. Zhelizko
B. Tekpetey37B. Tekpetey
Caio Vidal11C. Vidal
Rwan Cruz12R. Cruz

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

3D. Ali
33Yoan Dzhelepov
17A. Fase68'for Christ Longville
26D. Kirashki44'46'for junior burban
99J. Lamy
11R. Leijten46'replaced by Axel Velev
94brito matheus58'replaced by Julian Iliev
44M. Petrović83'
9A. Velev46'for Ryan Leijten
40P. Zovko

Ludogorets Substitutes

9K. Duah59'for Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
5G. Terziev
14P. Stanić62'
44O. Rekik83'
22M. Polendakov
3A. Nedyalkov59'for Son
10Nathan Fernandes
26F. Kaloč
8A. Hadžiahmetović74'for Deroy Duarte
13I. Grbić
77Erick Marcus21'
18I. Chochev

Match Stats

Lokomotiv PlovdivLudogorets
33%Ball Possession67%
2Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots14
2Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
LudogoretsLudogorets
1505Elo Rating 1664
0.93Attack 2.27
2.69Defense 2.15
42%Hit Rate 73%
9.2Shots per Game 14.0
1.8Shots on Target 5.2
1.8Corners per Game 6.5
2.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv1Wins · 10%
Draws440%
LudogoretsLudogorets5Wins · 50%
1.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

First League18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
First League29/05/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
3010
First League02/03/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
11
First League14/09/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivLudogorets
11
First League30/03/2025
Lokomotiv PlovdivLudogorets
10
First League06/10/2024
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
First League22/05/2024
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
30
First League30/03/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivLudogorets
12
Cup06/12/2023
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
40
First League27/09/2023
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
11

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Todor Kirov36 matches

3.90Cards per match
3.80Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Todor Kirov3.90
Other referees4.75

3.90 cards a match, 0.85 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.75).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Ludogorets in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Ludogorets are 3rd in the First League, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv sit 11th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6-17, Ludogorets 24-9. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.