Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets Prediction

Lokomotiv Sofia
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Ludogorets
Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+5.4%
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
6 days
Ludogorets Rest
7 days

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets: the result in context

Ludogorets beat Lokomotiv Sofia 2-1 in the First League on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ludogorets had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Lokomotiv Sofia.

Ludogorets have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%5.75
X
27%4.05
2
58%1.50
Double Chance
1X
42%2.38
X2
85%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.87
No
50%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.95 + 1.49 = 2.44
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
47%1.81
Over 3.5
26%2.92
Under 1.5
26%3.60
Under 2.5
53%1.95
Under 3.5
74%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Ivajlo ČočevAssist: aleksandar marinov
8'petar stanic(Penalty missed)
19'aleksandar marinov
29'caruzo caueAssist: Erol Dost
33'Erol Dost
46'petar stanic INAguibou Camara out
53'aleksandar marinov INCaio Vidal Rocha out
54'Spas Delev
55'Krasimir Stanoev
56'Angel Lyaskov
62'Georgi Minchev
62'Bernard Tekpetey INErick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo out
70'Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
76'Ivajlo Čočev
80'Ivajlo Čočev INFilip Kaloc out
80'Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz INKwadwo Duah out
80'Erol Dost INKrasimir Miloshev out
80'Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho INReyan Daskalov out
80'caruzo caue INNicholas Penev out
81'Spas Delev INMark Emilio Papazov out
81'Georgi Minchev INAnte Aralica out
84'Erick Marcus dos Santos Oliveira do Carmo
88'Hossam Abdelmaguid

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Penev
Ludogorets
4-1-4-1Coach: T. Reis
A. Lyubenov24A. Lyubenov
A. Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
B. Katsarov44B. Katsarov
K. Kostov3K. Kostov
Eirô6Eirô
K. Stanoev31K. Stanoev
E. Dost5E. Dost
S. Delev7S. Delev
D. Kostadinov20D. Kostadinov
Caue Caruzo77C. Caruzo
G. Minchev9G. Minchev
H. Bonmann39H. Bonmann
Son17Son
Hossam Abdelmaguid4H. Abdelmaguid
A. Nedyalkov3A. Nedyalkov
S. Shishkov42S. Shishkov
Deroy Duarte23D. Duarte
B. Tekpetey37B. Tekpetey
I. Chochev18I. Chochev
P. Stanić14P. Stanić
A. Marinov40A. Marinov
Rwan Cruz12R. Cruz

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

29A. Aralica81'for Georgi Minchev
21K. Chachev
22R. Daskalov80'for Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho
16M. Medfai
26K. Miloshev80'for Erol Dost
19M. Mitkov
42N. Neychev
17M. Papazov81'for Spas Delev
71N. Penev80'for caruzo caue
99M. Velichkov

Ludogorets Substitutes

2J. Andersson
11Caio Vidal53'for aleksandar marinov
20A. Camara46'for petar stanic
9K. Duah80'for Rwan Philipe Rodrigues de Souza Cruz
77Erick Marcus62'for Bernard Tekpetey
13I. Grbić
26F. Kaloč80'for Ivajlo Čočev
15E. Kurtulus
22M. Polendakov
7Alberto Salido
82I. Yordanov

Match Stats

Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
4Yellow Cards3

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
LudogoretsLudogorets
1437Elo Rating 1664
1.46Attack 2.27
1.06Defense 2.15
34%Hit Rate 73%
8.8Shots per Game 14.0
3.8Shots on Target 5.2
5.9Corners per Game 6.5
3.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LudogoretsLudogorets
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1Wins · 10%
Draws110%
LudogoretsLudogorets8Wins · 80%
3.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

First League07/02/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
13
First League17/08/2025
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
00
First League09/03/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
12
First League21/09/2024
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
20
First League16/03/2024
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
60
First League24/09/2023
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
13
First League21/04/2023
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League01/10/2022
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
10
First League05/12/2021
Lokomotiv SofiaLudogorets
24
First League21/08/2021
LudogoretsLokomotiv Sofia
50

Recent Form

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
1W5D4L
31/08/2026
Dunav RuseLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
17/08/2026
Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
31
L
08/08/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
13
L
31/07/2026
Slavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
25/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
11/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaTeuta Durrës
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaDukagjini
33
D
22/05/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Sofia
30
L
18/05/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaSlavia Sofia
20
W
LudogoretsLudogorets
6W3D1L
30/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLudogorets
11
D
22/08/2026
LudogoretsSlavia Sofia
11
D
15/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Plovdiv
20
W
09/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaLudogorets
23
W
02/08/2026
LudogoretsBotev Vratsa
21
W
30/07/2026
LudogoretsHapoel Tel Aviv
22
D
27/07/2026
Dunav RuseLudogorets
02
W
23/07/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivLudogorets
20
L
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
W
10/07/2026
LudogoretsTeuta Durrës
10
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Sofia and Ludogorets in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: Ludogorets are 3rd in the First League, while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Sofia 15-25, Ludogorets 24-9. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.