Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna Prediction

Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+0.8%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
8 days
Cherno More Varna Rest
6 days

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna: result, form and history

Lokomotiv Plovdiv beat Cherno More Varna 1-0 in the First League on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.58
X
31%3.00
2
26%2.80
Double Chance
1X
74%1.40
X2
57%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.94
No
48%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.15 = 2.54
Over 1.5
74%1.41
Over 2.5
46%2.30
Over 3.5
26%4.45
Under 1.5
26%2.65
Under 2.5
54%1.55
Under 3.5
74%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Christ Longville
21'Ryan LeijtenAssist: Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
46'Miguel barandas INAleksandar Kolev out
55'sevi idriz
68'Aleksandar Kolev
70'Ivan·Tasev INIdris·Bounaas out
70'emanuil nyagolov INbandaro joao out
71'Adrián Cova
76'Ryan Leijten INali dalil out
76'Parvizdzhon Umarbaev INMiha·Trdan out
83'David Teles INPadilla Jorge out
83'Vasil Panayotov INPetar Dimitrov Andreev out
87'Ryan lucas
87'celso sidney
89'Ivaylo Ivanov INAxel Velev out
89'Milan petrovic INAndrei Chindriş out
90+1'Asen Donchev

Lineups

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-1-4-1Coach: D. Kosič
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1Coach: Ilian Iliev
B. Milosavljevic1B. Milosavljevic
Adrián Cova2A. Cova
A. Chindriş4A. Chindriş
Lucas Ryan13L. Ryan
T. Pavlov5T. Pavlov
E. Ali12E. Ali
Sevi Idriz7S. Idriz
I. Ivanov22I. Ivanov
P. Umarbayev39P. Umarbayev
D. Ali3D. Ali
Christ Longville29C. Longville
D. Hristov31D. Hristov
E. Tombak50E. Tombak
Z. Atanasov3Z. Atanasov
L. Squadrone5L. Squadrone
V. Kerchev37V. Kerchev
V. Panayotov71V. Panayotov
David Teles24D. Teles
A. Donchev8A. Donchev
M. Achi11M. Achi
Celso Sidney10C. Sidney
G. Lazarov19G. Lazarov

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

40P. Zovko
30A. Aleksandrov
10Yoan Dzhelepov
26D. Kirashki
11R. Leijten21'76'for ali dalil
44M. Petrović89'for Andrei Chindriş
6M. Trdan76'for Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
9A. Velev89'for Ivaylo Ivanov

Cherno More Varna Substitutes

29B. Beyhan
99I. Bounaas70'replaced by Ivan·Tasev
26João Bandaró70'replaced by emanuil nyagolov
22N. Kostadinov
13E. Nyagolov70'for bandaro joao
9Jorge Padilla83'for David Teles
14A. Todorov
81K. Tomov
7M. Barandas46'for Aleksandar Kolev
18P. Andreev83'for Vasil Panayotov
53M. Banev

Match Stats

Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
3Yellow Cards3

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1505Elo Rating 1467
0.93Attack 1.26
2.69Defense 2.30
42%Hit Rate 46%
9.2Shots per Game 9.4
1.8Shots on Target 3.8
1.8Corners per Game 3.0
2.7Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First League12/05/2026
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
First League26/04/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
01
First League15/02/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
11
First League23/08/2025
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
11
First League08/02/2025
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
12
First League19/08/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
12
First League28/04/2024
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
First League08/04/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
First League07/10/2023
Cherno More VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
22
First League02/06/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
21

Recent Form

Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
3W0D7L
28/08/2026
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
L
16/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
12
L
07/08/2026
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L
03/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
W
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
08/07/2026
Rilski SportistLokomotiv Plovdiv
02
W
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
W
29/05/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
3010
L
Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
2W3D5L
30/08/2026
CSKA SofiaCherno More Varna
31
L
21/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
31
W
14/08/2026
CSKA 1948Cherno More Varna
41
L
09/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaLudogorets
23
L
01/08/2026
Botev PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
L
26/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaSpartak Varna
03
L
19/07/2026
Botev VratsaCherno More Varna
11
D
11/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
11
D
08/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDobrudzha
22
D
08/07/2026
Farul ConstantaCherno More Varna
01
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1363418:19-121WDLDL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1333714:22-812WWLDD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1324710:22-1210LDLDD
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1322911:25-148LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1318:1921
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1314:2212
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1310:2210
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1311:258
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv and Cherno More Varna in the First League table

In the First League table, Cherno More Varna are 9th and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6-17, Cherno More Varna 14-22. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.