Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction

Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.95
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Botev Plovdiv Rest
8 days
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Rest
7 days

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: result, form and history

Botev Plovdiv beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 in the First League on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches. Botev Plovdiv tend to win more corners, 4.8 a game to 1.8 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%1.77
X
26%3.44
2
38%4.40
Double Chance
1X
62%1.18
X2
64%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.83
No
46%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.54 = 2.95
Over 1.5
80%1.29
Over 2.5
59%1.95
Over 3.5
31%3.33
Under 1.5
20%3.33
Under 2.5
41%1.80
Under 3.5
69%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Asen ChandarovAssist: Carlos Meotti
44'Mauro RodriguesAssist: Samuel Kalu
46'Christ Longville INjunior burban out
46'sevi idriz INJulian Iliev out
51'Todor Pavlov INali dalil out
53'Adrián Cova
55'samuil tsonov
55'Efe Ali
61'Bryan Hein
62'Asen Chandarov INalberto tajero saido out
69'Efe Ali INAnton Fase out
69'Asen Chandarov
77'Ryan Leijten INaleksandar aleksandrov out
81'Mauro Rodrigues INGeorgi Milanov out
90+2'Samuel Kalu INwilliams chimezie out

Lineups

Botev Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Genchev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Kosič
D. Naumov29D. Naumov
B. Hein27B. Hein
N. Soldo4N. Soldo
S. Petrov87S. Petrov
V. Mendes82V. Mendes
Lucas Araújo77L. Araújo
A. Chandarov10A. Chandarov
S. Kalu90S. Kalu
Mauro Rodrigues19M. Rodrigues
C. Meotti66C. Meotti
S. Tsonov13S. Tsonov
B. Milosavljevic1B. Milosavljevic
Adrián Cova2A. Cova
M. Petrović44M. Petrović
Lucas Ryan13L. Ryan
T. Pavlov5T. Pavlov
I. Ivanov22I. Ivanov
E. Ali12E. Ali
R. Leijten11R. Leijten
P. Umarbayev39P. Umarbayev
Sevi Idriz7S. Idriz
Christ Longville29C. Longville

Botev Plovdiv Substitutes

14Carlos Algarra
16V. Vidolov
20T. Awany
88W. Chimezie90+2'for Samuel Kalu
28Henrique Jocú
15B. Kostov
30Franklin Mascote
17G. Milanov81'for Mauro Rodrigues
7Alberto Salido62'for Asen Chandarov
22M. Senger
1H. Slavkov

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Substitutes

40P. Zovko
9A. Velev
6M. Trdan
99J. Lamy
26D. Kirashki
10J. Iliev46'for sevi idriz
17A. Fase69'for Efe Ali
4A. Chindriş
19junior burban46'replaced by Christ Longville
30A. Aleksandrov77'for Ryan Leijten
3D. Ali51'for Todor Pavlov

Match Stats

Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
38%Ball Possession62%
2Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
1592Elo Rating 1505
2.60Attack 0.93
1.54Defense 2.69
77%Hit Rate 42%
12.3Shots per Game 9.2
5.6Shots on Target 1.8
4.8Corners per Game 1.8
2.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

First League25/05/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
21
First League03/05/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
02
First League08/04/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
11
Cup12/02/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
10
First League01/12/2024
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
01
First League28/07/2024
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
22
First League03/11/2023
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
00
First League16/07/2023
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
11
First League19/03/2023
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
11
First League03/09/2022
Lokomotiv PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
10

Recent Form

Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv
5W1D4L
Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv
4W0D6L
06/09/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivCherno More Varna
10
W
28/08/2026
CSKA 1948Lokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L
24/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
01
L
16/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
12
L
07/08/2026
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
20
L
03/08/2026
Spartak VarnaLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
26/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivSeptemvri Sofia
21
W
18/07/2026
LudogoretsLokomotiv Plovdiv
10
L
08/07/2026
Rilski SportistLokomotiv Plovdiv
02
W
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1394029:9+2031DWWDW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1363418:19-121WDLDL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia132749:9013DDLLD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1333714:22-812WWLDD
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1324710:22-1210LDLDD
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1322911:25-148LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1329:931
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1318:1921
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia139:913
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
9Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1314:2212
10Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
11Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1310:2210
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1311:258
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv forecast

As a derby, this First League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Botev Plovdiv and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the First League table

In the First League table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Botev Plovdiv 22-20, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6-17. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Botev Plovdiv have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.