Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna Prediction
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna: the result in context
Arda Kardzhali and Cherno More Varna drew 1-1 in the First League on 19 Sep 2026. Arda Kardzhali had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Cherno More Varna.
Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game. Referee Georgi Nikolov Kabakov averages 5.46 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
1A. Gospodinov
21V. Velev
24M. Paskalev
44A. Ardile Traoré
6V. Popov
80L. Kotev
35D. Velkovski
99B. Karagaren
91S. Ivanov
10S. Kovachev
16P. Bachev
31D. Hristov
50E. Tombak
3Z. Atanasov
37V. Kerchev
26J. Bandaró
29B. Beyhan
99I. Bounaas
7M. Barandas
11M. Achi
8A. Donchev
19G. LazarovArda Kardzhali Substitutes
Cherno More Varna Substitutes
Match Stats
Team Comparison
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.46 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.77).
Cards come from 157 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25:5 | +20 | 32 | WDWDW | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 31 | DWWDW | |
| 3 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:9 | +15 | 29 | WLWWW | |
| 4 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31:14 | +17 | 28 | WWLWW | |
| 5 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 22 | WLWWW | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 | WDLDL | |
| 7 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 | DDLLD | |
| 8 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 13 | LLWLD | |
| 9 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 | WWLDD | |
| 10 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | LWWDL | |
| 11 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 | LDLDD | |
| 12 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 | LDDWL | |
| 13 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6:17 | -11 | 9 | LDDDL | |
| 14 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 8 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 25:5 | 32 | |
| 2 | 13 | 29:9 | 31 | |
| 3 | 12 | 24:9 | 29 | |
| 4 | 13 | 31:14 | 28 | |
| 5 | 13 | 22:20 | 22 | |
| 6 | 13 | 18:19 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 13 | 12:23 | 13 | |
| 9 | 13 | 14:22 | 12 | |
| 10 | 13 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 11 | 13 | 10:22 | 10 | |
| 12 | 13 | 15:25 | 9 | |
| 13 | 13 | 6:17 | 9 | |
| 14 | 13 | 11:25 | 8 |
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About the Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna forecast
The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Arda Kardzhali and Cherno More Varna in the First League table
In the First League table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th and Cherno More Varna 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Arda Kardzhali 18-19, Cherno More Varna 14-22. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


