Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

Lokomotiv Sofia
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
CSKA Sofia
Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia·M. Velikov 16/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.45
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.45
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
4 days
CSKA Sofia Rest
3 days

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: the result in context

CSKA Sofia beat Lokomotiv Sofia 2-0 in the First League on 16 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: CSKA Sofia had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Lokomotiv Sofia.

CSKA Sofia have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.8 goals a game. Referee M. Velikov averages 4.18 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
9%6.26
X
22%4.40
2
69%1.45
Double Chance
1X
31%2.62
X2
91%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.67
No
50%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.94 + 1.65 = 2.59
Over 1.5
75%1.17
Over 2.5
49%1.56
Over 3.5
27%2.38
Under 1.5
25%4.60
Under 2.5
51%2.30
Under 3.5
73%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

38'James Eto'o
46'Ioannis Pittas INStefano Sensi out
59'caruzo caue INMark Emilio Papazov out
59'Mohamed Medfai INAdil Taoui out
64'Santiago Godoy INJoel·Zwarts out
67'Mark Emilio Papazov
72'Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira INmohamed brahimi out
72'Barry Cotter INDavid Samuel Custódio Lima out
74'Ante Aralica INGeorgi Minchev out
74'Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho INKrasimir Miloshev out
77'Georgi Minchev
82'Bruno Jordão INJean-Philippe Gbamin out
84'Joel·Zwarts
90'Dimitar Kostadinov INkristian chachev out

Lineups

Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1Coach: L. Penev
CSKA Sofia
4-4-2Coach: Daniel Morales
M. Velichkov99M. Velichkov
A. Lyaskov14A. Lyaskov
R. Bidounga91R. Bidounga
K. Kostov3K. Kostov
Eirô6Eirô
K. Stanoev31K. Stanoev
D. Kostadinov20D. Kostadinov
S. Delev7S. Delev
M. Medfai16M. Medfai
Caue Caruzo77C. Caruzo
A. Aralica29A. Aralica
F. Lapoukhov21F. Lapoukhov
B. Cotter37B. Cotter
T. Ivanov14T. Ivanov
Dinis Almeida4D. Almeida
Á. Martino17Á. Martino
J. Eto'o99J. Eto'o
Bruno Jordão6B. Jordão
M. Ebong7M. Ebong
Léo Pereira38L. Pereira
S. Godoy9S. Godoy
I. Pittas28I. Pittas

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

8I. Yordanov
21K. Chachev90'for Dimitar Kostadinov
22R. Daskalov
5E. Dost
24A. Lyubenov
26K. Miloshev74'for Antonio Miguel Tavares Eiro de Carvalho
9G. Minchev74'for Ante Aralica77'
42N. Neychev
17M. Papazov59'for caruzo caue67'
71N. Penev
11A. Taoui59'for Mohamed Medfai

CSKA Sofia Substitutes

25D. Evtimov
5J. Gbamin82'for Bruno Jordão
67C. Itu
30P. Panayotov
2Pastor72'for Barry Cotter
32Facundo Santiago Rodríguez
8S. Sensi46'for Ioannis Pittas
94I. Solet Bomawoko
19A. Yordanov
10J. Zwarts64'for Santiago Godoy84'
11M. Brahimi72'for Leonardo Augusto dos Santos Pereira

Match Stats

Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
47%Ball Possession53%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal8
8Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
1437Elo Rating 1707
1.46Attack 1.98
1.06Defense 1.93
34%Hit Rate 61%
8.8Shots per Game 16.3
3.8Shots on Target 6.6
5.9Corners per Game 5.1
3.6Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia0Wins · 0%
Draws440%
CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia6Wins · 60%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

First League08/03/2026
CSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
20
Cup13/12/2025
CSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
21
First League27/09/2025
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
11
First League02/04/2025
CSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
10
First League16/09/2024
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
03
First League30/03/2024
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
01
First League28/09/2023
CSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
20
First League06/11/2022
CSKA SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
00
First League16/07/2022
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
11
First League13/02/2022
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA Sofia
11

Referee Profile

M. Velikov68 matches

4.18Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Velikov4.18
Other referees4.90

4.18 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).

Cards come from 17 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia12102025:5+2032WDWDW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1293029:9+2030WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets1292124:9+1529WLWWW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481391331:14+1728WWLWW
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1371522:20+222WLWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1253416:18-218DLDLL
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1334612:23-1113LLWLD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia122649:9012DLLDW
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1332815:22-711LWWDL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv132386:17-119LDDDL
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1316615:25-109LDDWL
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1223713:22-99WLDDL
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1222810:23-138LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1225:532
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1229:930
3LudogoretsLudogorets1224:929
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481331:1428
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1322:2022
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1216:1818
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1312:2313
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia129:912
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1315:2211
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv136:179
12Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1315:259
13Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1213:229
14Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1210:238
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lokomotiv Sofia and CSKA Sofia in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: CSKA Sofia are 2nd in the First League, while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Lokomotiv Sofia 15-25, CSKA Sofia 29-9. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Sofia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.